MIL vs STL — MainMarket Sports

The Cardinals have a solid home advantage at Busch Stadium, which historically gives them an edge over the Brewers.
Both teams have had their ups and downs recently, but the Cardinals' lineup appears to be more consistent in producing runs.
Pitching matchups will play a crucial role. If the Cardinals' starter can keep the Brewers' bats in check, they should be able to secure a win.

Our analysis

What to watchLow confidence

Henderson and Brewers face Pallante's Cardinals

Logan Henderson takes the mound for Milwaukee, boasting a solid 2.74 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
Andre Pallante brings his 10-5 record and 3.60 ERA to the hill for St. Louis, looking to keep the Cardinals in contention.
Willy Contreras leads the Brewers with a .288 batting average, providing a consistent threat at the plate.
Jordan Walker stands out for the Cardinals with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, making him a key player to watch in this matchup.

On the mound: Logan Henderson (RHP) vs Andre Pallante (RHP)Batting average: J. Walker (.294)

Probable pitchers

Logan Henderson

RHP · #43

Andre Pallante

RHP · #53

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
MIL	2-1	2.74	1.04	23.0	18	30	6	2
STL	10-5	3.60	1.22	95.0	89	70	27	9

MIL · arsenal

4-Seam45%28% whiff

Changeup31%34% whiff

Cutter20%22% whiff

Slider5%25% whiff

STL · arsenal

4-Seam95.230%14% whiff

Slider87.730%31% whiff

Sinker95.419%13% whiff

Curveball78.118%25% whiff

Splitter883%36% whiff

Team leaders

Batting

Batting average

W. Contreras

.284

vs L .272 · vs R .289

J. Walker

.294

vs L .322 · vs R .285

Home runs

J. Bauers

16 HR

vs L .253 · vs R .270

J. Walker

21 HR

vs L .322 · vs R .285

RBI

J. Bauers

54 RBI

vs L .253 · vs R .270

J. Walker

70 RBI

vs L .322 · vs R .285

Pitching

ERA

J. Misiorowski

1.62

M. McGreevy

3.01

Wins

A. Ashby

12 W

A. Pallante

10 W

Strikeouts

J. Misiorowski

167 K

D. May

85 K

Top hitters

MIL

AVG

.329▼

Andrew Vaughn

Milwaukee Brewers

Max Exit Velo 40th

2William Contreras.284▼
3Jackson Chourio.282
4Garrett Mitchell.276▲

STL

AVG

.294

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals

xwOBA 91st

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

STL

Starter

Andre Pallante

St. Louis Cardinals · 10-5

xwOBA 63rd

3.60 ERA · 70 K · 1.22 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

William Contreras is 3-for-14 (.214, 1 HR) vs Pallante

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	H	RBI	HR	SB	K	AVG
J. Wetherholt	89-338	338	89	36	13	9	61	.263
I. Herrera	83-331	331	83	40	11	5	66	.251
A. Burleson	96-346	346	96	66	15	3	58	.277
J. Walker	101-343	343	101	70	21	12	95	.294
L. Nootbaar	25-95	95	25	8	2	0	24	.263
M. Winn	76-304	304	76	38	4	7	66	.250
B. Torres	12-57	57	12	8	4	1	13	.211
J. Fermin	40-148	148	40	18	4	3	23	.270
N. Church	56-228	228	56	28	8	5	52	.246

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
A. Pallante	--.--	--	--	--	--	--	--	-----	3.60	--

Win probability

MIL 60%STL 40%

Team stats

MILSTL

797

Hits

748

468

Runs

416

Home Runs

104

442

RBI

404

Stolen Bases

379

Walks

292

751

Strikeouts

702

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MILSTL

7.94%

Barrel%

8.44%

40.18%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant