BOS vs CWS — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballRate Field · Chicago, Illinois

Boston

Red Sox

42-48 · 25-21 away

Bot 6th

Chicago

White Sox

47-44 · 28-16 home

MLB.TV

Win probabilityBot 6th

Boston Red SoxBOS

52%

Chicago White SoxCWS

48%

Leverage 1.6 · medium

⚡

Turning point · swung BOS +19%

Caleb Durbin homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Romy Gonzalez scores.

Biggest swing: Durbin homered to left (379 feet), González scored. (+20% BOS)

How our call is holding up

Too close to call

We called CWS 5–4Bot 6th

White Sox trail 1–2; they still have to answer.
Live model has CWS at 48% (we called it low confidence).
Quieter than we projected — under our 9-total pace.

Our analysis

What to watchLow confidence

Contreras leads Red Sox against Kay's White Sox.

Patrick Sandoval takes the mound for Boston, facing Anthony Kay, who has a 4.39 ERA this season. The Red Sox will rely on W.
Chicago's S. Antonacci holds a slight edge in batting average at .291, looking to capitalize on any pitching mistakes.
C. Montgomery leads the White Sox with 23 home runs, and his power could be a key factor against Sandoval's pitching.
With the over/under set at 9, both teams will need strong offensive performances to exceed that total.

Top hitters

BOS

AVG

.321

CWS

AVG

.293

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

BOS

Starter

Patrick Sandoval

Boston Red Sox · 0-0

4.1 IP, ER, 5 K, BB

2.08 ERA · 5 K · 1.38 WHIP

CWS

Starter

Anthony Kay

Chicago White Sox · 6-3

5.1 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 14th

4.23 ERA · 71 K · 1.38 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	R	H	E
BOS	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4	0
CWS	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · BOS
W. Abreu · Single
107.7 mph · .780 xBA
Hardest hit · CWS
B. Montgomery · Single
105.7 mph · .890 xBA
Longest hit
C. Durbin · Home Run
379 ft · .300 xBA
Fastest pitch
T. Guerrero · Sinker
102.2 mph

Scoring summary

Durbin homered to left (379 feet), González scored.4th Inning2-0
Benintendi reached on infield single to catcher, Acuña scored, Meidroth to second.5th Inning2-1

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
A. Seigler	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	.283	.368	.433
C. Rafaela	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	.284	.330	.439
W. Abreu	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	7	.261	.331	.422
R. Gonzalez	1-2	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	19	.321	.387	.536
C. Durbin	1-3	3	1	1	2	1	0	0	12	.226	.289	.398
A. Monasterio	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	.219	.263	.371
N. Eaton	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	11	.138	.306	.310
B. Harris	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	.000	.375	.000
C. Wong	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	9	.298	.388	.404

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
P. Sandoval	4.1	5	1	1	1	5	0	65-41	2.08	65
T. Guerrero	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	0	13-10	2.60	13

Team stats

BOSCWS

739

Hits

728

370

Runs

429

Home Runs

125

353

RBI

411

Stolen Bases

268

Walks

311

744

Strikeouts

815

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

BOSCWS

7.51%

Barrel%

10.8%

37.41%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.310

xwOBA

.340

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant