PHI vs CIN — MainMarket Sports

The Phillies have shown flashes of strong offensive capabilities but have also struggled with consistency on the road. Their ability to score runs can vary significantly from game to game.
The Reds, playing at home in Great American Ball Park, have an advantage with their hitting, particularly with the dimensions of the park favoring hitters. This could play a crucial role in today's matchup.
Both teams are capable of generating runs, but the Reds' home field advantage and the potential for a favorable pitching matchup could give them the edge in this contest.

Our analysis

What to watchLow confidence

Luzardo leads the Phillies against Reds

Jesus Luzardo takes the mound for the Phillies, boasting a solid 3.75 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. The Phillies' B.

On the mound: Jesus Luzardo (RHP) vs Brady Singer (RHP)Batting average: E. De La Cruz (.274)

Probable pitchers

Jesus Luzardo

RHP · #44

Brady Singer

RHP · #51

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
PHI	7-4	3.75	1.27	103.1	98	125	33	9
CIN	3-8	5.03	1.54	82.1	97	71	30	20

PHI · arsenal

Sweeper86.437%50% whiff

4-Seam97.125%17% whiff

Changeup86.321%39% whiff

Sinker9618%12% whiff

CIN · arsenal

Sinker91.247%15% whiff

Slider82.430%34% whiff

Sweeper81.512%42% whiff

Cutter86.97%24% whiff

4-Seam90.73%14% whiff

Starting lineups

PHI

1Trea TurnerSS
2Kyle SchwarberDH
3Bryce Harper1B
4Brandon MarshLF
5Alec Bohm3B
6Bryson Stott2B
7Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF
8J.T. RealmutoC
9Justin CrawfordCF

CIN

1Elly De La CruzSS
2Sal Stewart3B
3JJ BledayLF
4Spencer Steer1B
5Eugenio SuárezDH
6Tyler StephensonC
7Noelvi MarteRF
8Edwin Arroyo2B
9TJ FriedlCF

Team leaders

Batting

Batting average

B. Marsh

.305

vs L .253 · vs R .325

E. De La Cruz

.274

vs L .341 · vs R .246

Home runs

K. Schwarber

32 HR

vs L .273 · vs R .243

S. Stewart

19 HR

vs L .277 · vs R .250

RBI

K. Schwarber

58 RBI

vs L .273 · vs R .243

S. Stewart

64 RBI

vs L .277 · vs R .250

Pitching

ERA

C. Sanchez

2.62

C. Burns

2.54

Wins

C. Sanchez

10 W

C. Burns

11 W

Strikeouts

C. Sanchez

137 K

C. Burns

118 K

Top hitters

PHI

AVG

.305

Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies

xwOBA 52nd

CIN

AVG

.274

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds

xwOBA 84th

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PHI

Starter

Jesús Luzardo

Philadelphia Phillies · 7-4

xwOBA 86th

3.75 ERA · 125 K · 1.27 WHIP

CIN

Starter

Brady Singer

Cincinnati Reds · 3-8

xwOBA 7th

5.03 ERA · 71 K · 1.54 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Kyle Schwarber is 2-for-8 (.250) vs Singer
Elly De La Cruz is 2-for-5 (.400) vs Luzardo

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	H	RBI	HR	SB	K	AVG
T. Turner	90-373	373	90	32	10	16	90	.241
K. Schwarber	85-334	334	85	58	32	2	137	.254
B. Harper	86-326	326	86	57	20	5	79	.264
B. Marsh	99-325	325	99	46	15	8	91	.305
A. Bohm	72-324	324	72	47	11	1	51	.222
B. Stott	75-306	306	75	41	7	16	59	.245
G. Rincones Jr.	12-57	57	12	6	2	0	16	.211
J.T. Realmuto	44-218	218	44	28	7	3	51	.202
J. Crawford	69-263	263	69	20	2	12	59	.262

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J. Luzardo	--.--	--	--	--	--	--	--	-----	3.75	--

Win probability

PHI 56%CIN 44%

Team stats

PHICIN

745

Hits

695

412

Runs

384

123

Home Runs

113

397

RBI

365

Stolen Bases

278

Walks

342

816

Strikeouts

862

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PHICIN

8.39%

Barrel%

10.13%

42.67%

Hard-hit%

39.52%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant