SEA vs MIA — MainMarket Sports

The Mariners have shown flashes of offensive power but have been inconsistent on the road. Their ability to score in clutch situations will be crucial in this matchup.
The Marlins, playing at home, have a slight edge in their recent performances. Their pitching staff has been effective, especially in limiting runs against teams with similar profiles.
Both teams have strengths and weaknesses that could balance out. However, the Marlins' home-field advantage can make a difference in close games.

Our analysis

What to watchLow confidence

Miller's dominance faces off against Junk

Bryce Miller takes the mound for Seattle, boasting a stellar 1.71 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. His ability to keep runs off the board will be crucial against Miami's offense.
O. Lopez leads Miami with a .345 batting average and has been a consistent force at the plate. His performance could be pivotal in breaking through Miller's tough pitching.
L. Raley, Seattle's home run leader with 14, will be key in providing power against Miami's Janson Junk. If he can connect early, it could set the tone for the Mariners' lineup.
With both teams having strong pitching options, the over/under is set at 8 runs. This could mean a tightly contested game, where every run matters.

On the mound: Bryce Miller (RHP) vs Janson Junk (RHP)Batting average: O. Lopez (.345)

Probable pitchers

Bryce Miller

RHP · #50

Janson Junk

RHP · #26

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
SEA	4-2	1.71	0.66	52.2	30	62	5	7
MIA	3-5	4.80	1.30	60.0	65	43	13	8

SEA · arsenal

4-Seam96.444%26% whiff

Splitter85.424%33% whiff

Slider87.912%30% whiff

Sweeper84.36%35% whiff

Cutter90.86%39% whiff

MIA · arsenal

4-Seam94.333%14% whiff

Slider86.424%18% whiff

Changeup87.320%33% whiff

Sweeper80.114%13% whiff

Curveball80.77%17% whiff

Starting lineups

SEA

1J.P. Crawford3B
2Randy ArozarenaLF
3Dominic CanzoneDH
4Cal RaleighC
5Josh Naylor1B
6Luke RaleyRF
7Cole Young2B
8Victor RoblesCF
9Colt EmersonSS

MIA

1Liam HicksC
2Otto LopezSS
3Xavier Edwards2B
4Kyle Stowers1B
5Heriberto HernándezDH
6Griffin ConineLF
7Esteury RuizRF
8Jakob MarseeCF
9Leo Jiménez3B

Team leaders

Batting

Batting average

R. Arozarena

.286

vs L .280 · vs R .288

O. Lopez

.345

vs L .446 · vs R .316

Home runs

L. Raley

14 HR

vs L .190 · vs R .234

L. Hicks

13 HR

vs L .214 · vs R .306

RBI

C. Young

42 RBI

L. Hicks

56 RBI

vs L .214 · vs R .306

Pitching

ERA

L. Gilbert

3.19

M. Meyer

2.58

Wins

G. Kirby

7 W

S. Alcantara

10 W

Strikeouts

L. Gilbert

114 K

M. Meyer

116 K

Top hitters

SEA

AVG

.286

Randy Arozarena

Seattle Mariners

xwOBA 76th

MIA

AVG

.345▲

Otto Lopez

Miami Marlins

xwOBA 68th

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

SEA

Starter

Bryce Miller

Seattle Mariners · 4-2

xwOBA 99th

1.71 ERA · 62 K · 0.66 WHIP

MIA

Starter

Janson Junk

Miami Marlins · 3-5

xwOBA 54th

4.80 ERA · 43 K · 1.30 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Esteury Ruiz is 2-for-7 (.286) vs Miller

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	H	RBI	HR	SB	K	AVG
J.P. Crawford	57-268	268	57	25	10	1	66	.213
R. Arozarena	89-311	311	89	41	9	19	79	.286
D. Canzone	57-214	214	57	37	14	1	51	.266
C. Raleigh	39-229	229	39	29	9	2	84	.170
J. Naylor	85-339	339	85	36	8	16	47	.251
L. Raley	52-226	226	52	36	14	1	81	.230
C. Young	85-334	334	85	42	10	2	67	.254
V. Robles	20-87	87	20	4	0	6	16	.230
C. Emerson	28-138	138	28	19	7	2	52	.203

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
B. Miller	--.--	--	--	--	--	--	--	-----	1.71	--

Win probability

SEA 43%MIA 57%

Team stats

SEAMIA

709

Hits

787

377

Runs

426

110

Home Runs

364

RBI

410

Stolen Bases

309

Walks

318

808

Strikeouts

753

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SEAMIA

9.64%

Barrel%

7.61%

40.96%

Hard-hit%

39.97%

.340

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant