KC vs NYM — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCiti Field · Queens, New York

Kansas City

Royals

Final

MLB.TVRoyals.TV

Top hitters

AVG

.370▲

NYM

AVG

.297

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

Starter

Michael Wacha

Kansas City Royals · 5-7

4.2 IP, 6 ER, 5 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 50th

3.77 ERA · 96 K · 1.19 WHIP

NYM

Starter

Sean Manaea

New York Mets · 2-4

7.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, BB

xwOBA 48th

4.56 ERA · 74 K · 1.32 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Mets take down the Royals 7-3 at Citi Field! The big difference was a powerful offensive showing, led by a standout performance. With this win, the Mets keep their playoff hopes alive, while the Royals continue to struggle.

The Mets showcased their offensive firepower, racking up seven runs to take down the Royals decisively. It's a stellar performance that highlights their capability to capitalize on scoring opportunities when it counts.
The Mets' lineup proved too much for the Royals, as they consistently found ways to get on base and drive in runs. This offensive explosion is crucial as they push for a strong finish in the standings.
Despite the Royals' efforts, they couldn't keep pace with the Mets' relentless attack, which featured key contributions throughout the lineup. This win not only boosts the Mets' morale but also adds pressure on their competitors for a postseason spot.

Starters: Michael Wacha vs Sean ManaeaBatting average: J. Soto (.295)ERA: N. McLean (3.73)

How our pick did

Pick to winMets to winHit ✓

Contact quality

KC3 R · .320 xBA

NYM7 R · .343 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — NYM both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

NYM win5th in the NL East, 14½ GB

How our keys played out

Michael Wacha takes the mound for Kansas City with a solid 3.45 ERA, aiming to secure his sixth win of the season.
Held. Wacha pitched but did not secure a win, as the Mets scored 7 runs against his team.
Sean Manaea looks to improve his 5.16 ERA for New York, as the Mets seek to climb out of their recent slump.
Broke. Manaea did not improve his ERA as the Mets won, but he allowed 3 runs.
Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with a .289 batting average, providing a spark at the plate.
Broke. Witt Jr. did not significantly impact the game, as the Royals scored only 3 runs.
Juan Soto is the Mets' offensive standout with a .295 average and 20 home runs, looking to power his team to victory.
Held. Soto contributed to the Mets' offense, helping secure a 7-run total.

2 of 4 held

Looking ahead

The Mets sit 5th in the NL East, 14½ games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Royals sit 5th in the AL Central, 10½ games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
NYM win series 2-1.
The Mets are up next home vs BOS (Jul 10-12).
The Royals are up next at BAL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
KC	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	7	1
NYM	0	1	0	0	5	0	1	0		7	10	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · NYM
F. Alvarez · Single
106.9 mph · .630 xBA
Hardest hit · KC
S. Perez · Lineout
105.4 mph · .540 xBA
Longest hit
J. Soto · Home Run
435 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
J. Soto · Home Run
106.6 mph · 1.000 xBA
Fastest pitch
H. Brazobán · 4-Seam Fastball
97.9 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Carson Benge
NYM
+19%
Tyrone Taylor
NYM
+14%
Jared Young
NYM
+10%

Scoring summary

Thomas homered to left (406 feet).1st Inning1-0
Young doubled to right, Benge scored.2nd Inning1-1
Witt Jr. homered to left (386 feet).4th Inning2-1
Taylor homered to left center (380 feet).5th Inning2-2
Bichette hit sacrifice fly to center, Baty scored.5th Inning2-3
Benge singled to center, Ewing scored, Soto to third. Soto scored on throwing error by center fielder Thomas, Benge to third.5th Inning2-5
Alvarez singled to left, Benge scored.5th Inning2-6
Caglianone doubled to right, Loftin scored.7th Inning3-6
Soto homered to right center (435 feet).7th Inning3-7

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
L. Thomas	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	0	1	11	.233	.339	.393
B. Witt Jr.	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	0	0	17	.288	.359	.464
S. Perez	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	.209	.251	.345
S. Marte	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	14	.268	.328	.330
J. Rojas	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	.154	.185	.308
N. Loftin	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	0	1	17	.254	.348	.426
J. Caglianone	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	0	2	15	.257	.320	.456
I. Collins	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	10	.237	.347	.346
T. Tolbert	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	14	.370	.407	.500
L. Maile	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	.167	.286	.667
C. Jensen	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	.246	.312	.438

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
M. Wacha	4.2	6	6	6	3	5	1	104-67	3.77	104
L. Erceg	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	15-10	5.00	15
B. Way	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	1	8-6	3.38	8
J. Cuas	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	0	18-10	2.84	18

Win probability

KC 0%NYM 100%

Win probability over timeNYM win %

Biggest swing: Witt Jr. homered to left (386 feet). (+19% KC)

Team stats

KCNYM

776

Hits

732

402

Runs

387

Home Runs

108

383

RBI

369

Stolen Bases

306

Walks

286

747

Strikeouts

765

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

KCNYM

8.6%

Barrel%

10.09%

44.22%

Hard-hit%

42.38%

.320

xwOBA

.340

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant