MIN vs HOU — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballDaikin Park · Houston, Texas

Minnesota

Twins

Final

MLB.TVTwins.TV

Top hitters

MIN

AVG

.291

HOU

AVG

.319▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIN

Starter

Taj Bradley

Minnesota Twins · 7-3

5.0 IP, ER, 11 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 60th

3.86 ERA · 102 K · 1.29 WHIP

HOU

Starter

Tatsuya Imai

Houston Astros · 5-4

1.1 IP, 5 ER, 2 K, 5 BB

xwOBA 17th

6.14 ERA · 60 K · 1.47 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Twins powered past the Astros with a decisive 8-3 victory at Daikin Park! Their offensive explosion, driven by standout performances, truly set the tone for this game.

The Twins showcased their offensive prowess, racking up eight runs and leaving the Astros in the dust. With a powerful lineup, they took command early and never looked back, securing a strong win.
Pitching played a critical role, as the Twins' arms effectively stifled the Astros' bats, allowing just three runs. This solid performance on the mound complemented their explosive offense perfectly, sealing the game with authority.
This win keeps the Twins competitive in their standings, proving they are a force to be reckoned with as the season progresses. The combination of batting and pitching excellence positions them well for upcoming matchups.

Starters: Taj Bradley vs Tatsuya ImaiBatting average: Y. Alvarez (.314)ERA: M. Burrows (5.58)

How our pick did

Pick to winHOU to winMiss

Contact quality

MIN8 R · .290 xBA

HOU3 R · .230 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — MIN both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIN win3rd in the AL Central, 2 GB

Looking ahead

The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Astros sit 3rd in the AL West, 1½ games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
MIN wins series 2-1.
The Twins are up next home vs LAA (Jul 10-12).
The Astros are up next at TEX (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	8	8	2
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	8	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIN
J. Bell · Home Run
112.6 mph · 1.000 xBA
Hardest hit · HOU
Y. Alvarez · Flyout
107.1 mph · .080 xBA
Longest hit
J. Bell · Home Run
452 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
T. Larnach · Double
104.9 mph · .840 xBA
Fastest pitch
T. Bradley · 4-Seam Fastball
100.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Josh Bell
MIN
+17%
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
+14%
Kody Clemens
MIN
+14%

Scoring summary

Bell homered to center (452 feet), Larnach scored.1st Inning2-0
Paredes grounded into double play, third to second to first, Altuve scored, Alvarez out at second.1st Inning2-1
Clemens homered to right center (399 feet), Keaschall scored and Lee scored.2nd Inning5-1
Larnach singled to center, Caratini scored and Keaschall scored.5th Inning7-1
Loperfido singled to left, Matthews scored, Smith to third.6th Inning7-2
Allen singled to right, Smith scored, Loperfido to third.6th Inning7-3
Keaschall homered to left center (373 feet).8th Inning8-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Larnach	3-5	5	1	3	2	0	0	1	21	.291	.381	.436
B. Lee	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	23	.251	.306	.440
K. Clemens	1-5	5	1	1	3	1	0	2	20	.241	.303	.474
J. Bell	1-4	4	1	1	2	1	1	1	22	.244	.301	.412
R. Lewis	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	22	.211	.289	.376
V. Caratini	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	17	.239	.337	.373
R. Kreidler	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	23	.279	.353	.490
T. Gray	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	24	.232	.274	.342
L. Keaschall	1-2	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	17	.246	.333	.329

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Bradley	5.0	4	1	1	3	11	97-63	3.86	97
C. Laweryson	0.2	2	2	0	1	0	23-14	4.86	23
A. Morris	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	17-13	3.89	17
T. Rogers	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15-10	5.97	15
Y. Gomez	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18-15	3.57	18

Win probability

MIN 100%HOU 0%

Win probability over timeHOU win %

Biggest swing: Clemens homered to right center (399 feet), Keaschall scored and Lee scored. (+19% MIN)

Team stats

MINHOU

725

Hits

715

421

Runs

397

107

Home Runs

116

399

RBI

380

Stolen Bases

284

Walks

293

707

Strikeouts

721

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MINHOU

8.83%

Barrel%

9.39%

37.83%

Hard-hit%

39.86%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant