PIT vs PHI — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Pittsburgh

Pirates

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

PIT

AVG

.302▲

PHI

AVG

.319▼

Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies

2-4 · HR · 1 RBI

xwOBA 52nd

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PIT

Starter

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates · 6-8

4.0 IP, 7 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 93rd

3.62 ERA · 119 K · 1.01 WHIP

PHI

Starter

Zack Wheeler

Philadelphia Phillies · 8-1

4.2 IP, 4 ER, 10 K, BB

xwOBA 94th

2.36 ERA · 84 K · 0.94 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Phillies triumphed over the Pirates, clinching a 10-6 victory! Their explosive offense was the key, showcasing a powerful performance that overwhelmed Pittsburgh.

The Phillies’ offense was firing on all cylinders, racking up 10 runs to secure a decisive win at Citizens Bank Park.
This victory pushed the Phillies closer in the standings, as they continue their pursuit of a playoff spot with this crucial win.
The Pirates struggled to contain the Phillies’ lineup, which demonstrated their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities throughout the game.

Starters: Paul Skenes vs Zack WheelerBatting average: B. Marsh (.317)ERA: C. Sanchez (2.00)

How our pick did

Pick to winPHI to winHit ✓

Contact quality

PIT6 R · .363 xBA

PHI10 R · .399 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — PHI both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PHI win2nd in the NL East, 3½ GB

Looking ahead

The Phillies sit 2nd in the NL East, 3½ games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12 games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Phillies are up next at CIN (Jul 9), then at DET.
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0	0	6	12	1
PHI	0	5	1	2	0	0	0	2		10	11	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · PHI
G. Rincones Jr. · Single
111.1 mph · .440 xBA
Hardest hit · PIT
B. Lowe · Groundout
106.7 mph · .160 xBA
Longest hit
A. Bohm · Home Run
419 ft · .760 xBA
Best barrel
A. Bohm · Home Run
103 mph · .760 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Duran · 4-Seam Fastball
100.7 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Orion Kerkering
PHI
+17%
Jared Triolo
PIT
+16%
Justin Crawford
PHI
+14%

Scoring summary

Crawford reached on a fielders choice to third; Bohm and Stott scored on third baseman Gonzales throwing error. Crawford advanced to second and Rincones Jr. reached third on the error.2nd Inning0-2
Turner homered to left (372 feet), Rincones Jr. scored and Crawford scored.2nd Inning0-5
Davis homered to left center (379 feet).3rd Inning1-5
Reynolds singled to left, Griffin scored.3rd Inning2-5
Marsh homered to right (351 feet).3rd Inning2-6
Harper doubled to center, Turner scored and Rincones Jr. scored.4th Inning2-8
Gonzales singled to center, Valdez scored, O'Hearn to second.5th Inning3-8
Triolo hit by pitch, O'Hearn scored, Mangum to second, Gonzales to third.5th Inning4-8
Triolo doubled to left, Mangum scored and Gonzales scored.7th Inning6-8
Bohm homered to center (419 feet), Marsh scored.8th Inning6-10

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
K. Griffin	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	22	.269	.323	.406
B. Lowe	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	20	.240	.315	.498
B. Reynolds	1-5	5	0	1	1	0	0	3	29	.280	.395	.462
E. Valdez	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	21	.302	.373	.717
R. O'Hearn	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	18	.286	.342	.472
N. Gonzales	3-4	4	1	3	1	0	1	0	20	.300	.357	.373
J. Mangum	2-3	3	1	2	0	0	1	0	17	.302	.351	.359
T. Callihan	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	.237	.333	.492
J. Triolo	1-2	2	0	1	3	0	0	1	6	.238	.311	.306
H. Davis	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	0	2	16	.150	.241	.327

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
P. Skenes	4.0	6	8	7	2	5	2	81-50	3.62	81
C. Sanders	1.2	1	0	0	2	2	0	44-24	7.04	44
Y. Ramirez	1.1	2	0	0	1	4	0	37-25	3.59	37
D. Santana	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	1	15-9	5.09	15

Win probability

PIT 0%PHI 100%

Win probability over timePHI win %

Biggest swing: Crawford reached on a fielders choice to third; Bohm and Stott scored on third baseman Gonzales throwing error. Crawford advanced to second and Rincones Jr. reached third on the error. (+17% PHI)

Team stats

PITPHI

768

Hits

687

440

Runs

383

108

Home Runs

114

421

RBI

372

Stolen Bases

321

Walks

249

809

Strikeouts

749

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PITPHI

7.77%

Barrel%

8.39%

40.6%

Hard-hit%

42.67%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant