WSH vs BOS — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballFenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts

Washington

Nationals

48-46 · 28-18 away

Final

Boston

Red Sox

43-48 · 17-27 home

MLB.TVNationals.TV

Top hitters

WSH

AVG

.280▲

Luis García Jr.

Washington Nationals

1-4 · 2 RBI

xwOBA 86th

2James Wood2-4 · HR · 3 RBI.265
3Daylen Lile1-5 · 2B.250
4Jorbit Vivasvs LHP .2800-5.250

BOS

AVG

.318

Anthony Seigler

Boston Red Sox

0-4

Arm Strength 20th

2Connor Wong2-4.289▲
3Willson Contreras2-4.283
4Ceddanne Rafaela2-4 · 2B.282

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

WSH

Starter

Brad Lord

Washington Nationals · 5-1

2.1 IP, 0 ER, K, 2 BB

xwOBA 47th

3.18 ERA · 52 K · 1.16 WHIP

BOS

Starter

Payton Tolle

Boston Red Sox · 4-6

3.0 IP, 6 ER, 5 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 86th

3.39 ERA · 74 K · 1.12 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Nationals dominated the Red Sox with a decisive 10-2 victory at Fenway Park! A standout offensive performance propelled the Nationals to this impressive win, showcasing their power at the plate.

The Nationals exploded for ten runs, highlighting a potent offensive display that overwhelmed the Red Sox pitching staff.
With this victory, the Nationals showcased their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, leaving the Red Sox scrambling on defense.
This win not only boosts the Nationals' confidence but also sends a clear message in the standings, making their mark in the playoff race.

Starters: Brad Lord vs Payton TolleBatting average: W. Contreras (.280)ERA: R. Suarez (2.94)

How our pick did

Pick to winBOS to winMiss

Contact quality

WSH10 R · .359 xBA

BOS2 R · .238 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — WSH both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

WSH win4th in the NL East, 7 GB

Looking ahead

The Nationals sit 4th in the NL East, 7 games back — coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Red Sox sit 4th in the AL East, 11½ games back — winners of 6 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
WSH wins series 2-1.
The Nationals are up next home vs NYY (Jul 10-12).
The Red Sox are up next at NYM (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
WSH	2	0	0	5	0	0	3	0	0	10	13	0
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	9	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · BOS
W. Contreras · Single
113.4 mph · .800 xBA
Hardest hit · WSH
D. Crews · Single
112.3 mph · .710 xBA
Longest hit
A. Chaparro · Home Run
396 ft · .870 xBA
Best barrel
A. Chaparro · Home Run
106.1 mph · .870 xBA
Fastest pitch
R. Cornelio · 4-Seam Fastball
97.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Andrew Alvarez
WSH
+17%
Andrés Chaparro
WSH
+11%
Curtis Mead
WSH
+9%

Scoring summary

Chaparro homered to left center (396 feet), Mead scored.1st Inning2-0
Nuñez homered to left center (372 feet).4th Inning3-0
García Jr. singled to left, Millas scored and Wood scored, Mead to second.4th Inning5-0
Lile grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Mead scored, Crews out at second, García Jr. to third.4th Inning6-0
Young doubled to left, García Jr. scored.4th Inning7-0
Wood homered to left center (393 feet), Young scored and Millas scored.7th Inning10-0
Durbin walked, Rafaela scored, González to second, Contreras to third.8th Inning10-1
Eaton grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Contreras scored, Durbin out at second, González to third.8th Inning10-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Wood	2-4	4	2	2	3	1	2	1	26	.265	.389	.522
C. Mead	2-5	5	2	2	0	0	1	0	23	.227	.324	.467
A. Chaparro	1-2	2	1	1	2	1	0	1	6	.170	.328	.298
L. Garcia Jr.	1-4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0	9	.280	.310	.537
D. Crews	2-3	3	0	2	0	0	2	1	18	.234	.284	.372
D. Lile	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	17	.250	.304	.396
J. Young	2-3	3	1	2	1	0	2	1	17	.225	.275	.376
J. Vivas	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	13	.250	.326	.350
N. Nunez	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	1	3	27	.233	.320	.286
D. Millas	1-3	3	2	1	0	0	2	1	22	.190	.279	.273

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
B. Lord	2.1	2	0	0	2	1	53-38	3.18	53
A. Alvarez	4.2	2	0	0	1	6	74-46	3.05	74
R. Cornelio	1.0	3	2	2	1	2	35-19	7.71	35
C. Palmquist	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	16-12	2.08	16

Win probability

WSH 100%BOS 0%

Win probability over timeBOS win %

Biggest swing: Nuñez homered to left center (372 feet). (+23% WSH)

Team stats

WSHBOS

735

Hits

681

460

Runs

335

114

Home Runs

437

RBI

320

Stolen Bases

284

Walks

242

728

Strikeouts

688

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

WSHBOS

8.66%

Barrel%

8.45%

38.78%

Hard-hit%

37.33%

.330

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant