NYM vs TOR — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballRogers Centre · Toronto, Ontario

New York

Mets

40-54 · 17-27 away

Final

Toronto

Blue Jays

44-49 · 24-25 home

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV

Top hitters

NYM

AVG

.293

Juan Soto

New York Mets

0-4

xwOBA 100th

2A.J. Ewing0-4.268▲
3Carson Benge2-4 · 2B · HR · 2 RBI.259▲
4Bo Bichette0-2.250

TOR

AVG

.400▼

Luis Urías

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

Max Exit Velo 18th

2Nathan Lukes2-5.299▼
3Ernie Clement2-4 · 2B · 1 RBI.299
4Yohendrick Piñango0-3.268▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

NYM

Starter

Freddy Peralta

New York Mets · 5-7

4.0 IP, 5 ER, 4 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 62nd

4.81 ERA · 92 K · 1.42 WHIP

TOR

Starter

Braydon Fisher

Toronto Blue Jays · 3-3

1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, BB

xwOBA 57th

3.40 ERA · 43 K · 1.13 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Blue Jays soared past the Mets with a resounding 9-3 victory! Their explosive offense was led by a standout performance that left no doubt about who ruled the Rogers Centre today.

The Blue Jays showcased their power at the plate, racking up nine runs and leaving the Mets' pitching staff scrambling all game long.
Toronto's offensive onslaught was highlighted by several key contributions, making it a team effort that overwhelmed the Mets' defense.
With this win, the Blue Jays continue to solidify their position in the standings, proving they are a force to be reckoned with this season.

Starters: Freddy Peralta vs Braydon Fisher

How our pick did

Pick to winTOR to winHit ✓

Contact quality

NYM3 R · .328 xBA

TOR9 R · .305 xBA

TOR scored more despite the lower team xBA — NYM squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

TOR win3rd in the AL East, 11½ GB

Looking ahead

The Blue Jays sit 3rd in the AL East, 11½ games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Mets sit 5th in the NL East, 15 games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
TOR wins series 2-1.
The Blue Jays are up next at SD (Jul 10-12).
The Mets are up next home vs BOS (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	5	0
TOR	1	0	4	0	0	0	4	0		9	12	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · TOR
V. Guerrero Jr. · Double
112.2 mph · .840 xBA
Hardest hit · NYM
B. Baty · Single
108.4 mph · .930 xBA
Longest hit
F. Lindor · Home Run
408 ft · .810 xBA
Best barrel
K. Okamoto · Single
104.9 mph · .590 xBA
Fastest pitch
S. Miles · 4-Seam Fastball
99.4 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Spencer Miles
TOR
+14%
Sean Keys
TOR
+13%
Alejandro Kirk
TOR
+9%

Scoring summary

Okamoto reached on infield single to shortstop, Lukes scored.1st Inning0-1
Clement doubled to right, Okamoto scored, Kirk to third.3rd Inning0-2
Keys homered to left (349 feet), Kirk scored and Clement scored.3rd Inning0-5
Varsho singled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored.7th Inning0-6
Straw homered to left center (397 feet), Varsho scored and Kirk scored.7th Inning0-9
Benge homered to left center (406 feet), Baty scored.8th Inning2-9
Lindor homered to left (408 feet).9th Inning3-9

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
C. Benge	2-4	4	1	2	2	1	0	0	20	.259	.318	.402
J. Soto	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	18	.293	.403	.554
B. Bichette	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	13	.250	.296	.379
R. Mauricio	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	.178	.178	.267
F. Lindor	1-3	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	16	.216	.300	.388
A.J. Ewing	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	14	.268	.352	.401
F. Alvarez	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	.245	.307	.429
J. Young	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	12	.228	.299	.421
B. Baty	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	9	.211	.295	.295
T. Taylor	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	11	.206	.229	.333

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
F. Peralta	4.0	7	5	5	3	4	1	91-52	4.81	91
J. Gerber	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	0	16-9	1.23	16
C. Perez	1.1	5	4	4	1	2	1	30-20	5.73	30
A.J. Minter	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	14-10	0.00	14

Win probability

NYM 0%TOR 100%

Win probability over timeTOR win %

Biggest swing: Keys homered to left (349 feet), Kirk scored and Clement scored. (+13% TOR)

Team stats

NYMTOR

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

NYMTOR

10.06%

Barrel%

6.63%

42.35%

Hard-hit%

36.1%

.340

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant