NYM vs TOR — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballRogers Centre · Toronto, Ontario

New York

Mets

40-54 · 17-26 away

Final

Toronto

Blue Jays

44-49 · 23-25 home

MLB.TV

Top hitters

NYM

AVG

.298

Juan Soto

New York Mets

0-2

xwOBA 100th

2A.J. Ewing1-4.275▲
3Carson Benge1-5.256▲
4Bo Bichette1-4.251

TOR

AVG

.400▼

Luis Urías

Toronto Blue Jays

2-3

Max Exit Velo 18th

2Ernie Clement0-3.297
3Nathan Lukesvs RHP .3270-4.296▼
4Yohendrick Piñango1-2.273▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

NYM

Starter

Nolan McLean

New York Mets · 5-5

6.0 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 72nd

3.78 ERA · 113 K · 1.12 WHIP

TOR

Starter

Kevin Gausman

Toronto Blue Jays · 4-7

6.0 IP, ER, 7 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 57th

4.19 ERA · 100 K · 1.19 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Mets shut out the Blue Jays 3-0 in a thrilling finale at Rogers Centre! The decisive edge came from a stellar pitching performance that kept Toronto off the scoreboard all night long.

The Mets' pitching was on fire, delivering a flawless shutout that left the Blue Jays searching for answers at the plate.
With three runs crossing the plate, the Mets showcased their offensive prowess, making the most of their opportunities against a tough Toronto lineup.
This victory not only adds a W to the Mets' record but also boosts their confidence as they gear up for the next challenge ahead.

Starters: Nolan McLean vs Kevin Gausman

How our pick did

Pick to winTOR to winMiss

Contact quality

NYM3 R · .335 xBA

TOR0 R · .335 xBA

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

NYM win5th in the NL East, 15 GB

Looking ahead

The Mets sit 5th in the NL East, 15 games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Blue Jays sit 3rd in the AL East, 11½ games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
TOR wins series 2-1.
The Mets are up next home vs BOS (Jul 10-12).
The Blue Jays are up next at SD (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYM	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	7	0
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · NYM
B. Bichette · Groundout
108.8 mph · .490 xBA
Hardest hit · TOR
D. Varsho · Double
107.4 mph · .860 xBA
Longest hit
F. Alvarez · Home Run
415 ft · .810 xBA
Best barrel
F. Alvarez · Home Run
105.2 mph · .810 xBA
Fastest pitch
N. McLean · 4-Seam Fastball
98 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Nolan McLean
NYM
+38%
Kevin Gausman
TOR
+19%
Luke Weaver
NYM
+9%

Scoring summary

Alvarez homered to center (415 feet).5th Inning1-0
Torrens homered to right (375 feet).7th Inning2-0
Baty hit sacrifice fly to center, Ewing scored.9th Inning3-0

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
C. Benge	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	2	19	.256	.316	.388
J. Soto	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	17	.298	.408	.563
B. Bichette	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	10	.251	.296	.382
F. Lindor	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	18	.212	.294	.363
J. Young	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	10	.234	.306	.432
A.J. Ewing	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	14	.275	.360	.412
F. Alvarez	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	0	2	18	.250	.313	.439
B. Baty	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	17	.210	.294	.294
L. Torrens	1-3	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	22	.217	.277	.322

Pitching

Player	IP	H	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
N. McLean	6.0	5	2	7	91-63	3.78	91
B. Raley	1.0	0	0	2	10-7	2.32	10
L. Weaver	1.0	0	0	0	11-8	2.00	11
D. Williams	1.0	1	0	0	18-14	4.13	18

Win probability

NYM 100%TOR 0%

Win probability over timeTOR win %

Biggest swing: Alvarez homered to center (415 feet). (+16% NYM)

Team stats

NYMTOR

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

NYMTOR

10.06%

Barrel%

6.63%

42.35%

Hard-hit%

36.1%

.340

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant