TEX vs CLE — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballProgressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio

Texas

Rangers

47-46 · 25-25 away

Final

Cleveland

Guardians

49-46 · 22-20 home

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV

Top hitters

TEX

AVG

.312▲

Nicky Lopez

Texas Rangers

1-3 · 2B · 1 RBI

Sprint Speed 62ndvs LHP .450

2Josh Jungvs LHP .3290-3.294
3Elias Díazvs LHP .3332-4 · HR · 2 RBI.288▼
4Justin Foscuevs LHP .3671-4.275▲

CLE

AVG

.286▼

Kahlil Watson

Cleveland Guardians

2-4 · 2B

Sprint Speed 66th

2Chase DeLautervs LHP .3683-5 · 2B · 1 RBI.275▲
3Brayan Rocchio1-4.270
4Austin Hedges1-3 · HR · 3 RBI.270▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

TEX

Starter

MacKenzie Gore

Texas Rangers · 5-7

5.0 IP, 5 ER, 7 K, BB

xwOBA 54th

4.31 ERA · 104 K · 1.27 WHIP

CLE

Starter

Joey Cantillo

Cleveland Guardians · 7-3

5.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 5 BB

xwOBA 51st

3.86 ERA · 89 K · 1.36 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Guardians took down the Rangers with a decisive 9-4 victory at Progressive Field! Their offensive explosion was fueled by standout performances that overwhelmed Texas.

Cleveland's bats came alive, racking up nine runs to outpace Texas, showcasing their offensive firepower throughout the game.
The Guardians capitalized on key moments, turning the tide with a relentless approach that kept the pressure on the Rangers' pitching staff.
This victory not only boosts the Guardians' playoff aspirations but also sends a message that they are ready to compete at the highest level.

Starters: MacKenzie Gore vs Joey CantilloBatting average: B. Rocchio (.270)ERA: P. Messick (2.85)

How our pick did

Pick to winTEX to winMiss

Contact quality

TEX4 R · .314 xBA

CLE9 R · .285 xBA

CLE scored more despite the lower team xBA — TEX squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CLE win1st in the AL Central, +0½

Looking ahead

The Guardians lead the AL Central by 0½ — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Rangers lead the AL West by 1 — coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
TEX wins series 2-1.
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 11-12), then home vs PIT.
The Rangers are up next home vs HOU (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TEX	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	4	8	0
CLE	0	5	0	0	0	0	2	2		9	11	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · CLE
C. DeLauter · Single
110.4 mph · .580 xBA
Hardest hit · TEX
E. Díaz · Home Run
105.8 mph · .870 xBA
Longest hit
E. Díaz · Home Run
402 ft · .870 xBA
Best barrel
E. Díaz · Home Run
105.8 mph · .870 xBA
Fastest pitch
W. Santos · 4-Seam Fastball
98.6 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Ezequiel Duran
TEX
+15%
Tim Herrin
CLE
+14%
Joey Cantillo
CLE
+13%

Scoring summary

Hedges hit sacrifice bunt, Rocchio scored, Arias to second.2nd Inning0-1
Arias scored on Gore wild pitch, Schneemann to second on wild pitch by Gore, Hedges to third on wild pitch by Gore.2nd Inning0-2
Arias scored on Gore wild pitch, Schneemann to second on wild pitch by Gore, Hedges to third on wild pitch by Gore.2nd Inning0-2
Fry homered to right center (380 feet), Hedges scored and Schneemann scored.2nd Inning0-5
Higashioka walked, Foscue scored, Duran to second, Jung to third. Cleveland Guardians challenged: call on the field was upheld.3rd Inning1-5
Díaz grounded out to second, Higashioka scored, Osuna to second.6th Inning2-5
Lopez doubled to left, Osuna scored.6th Inning3-5
DeLauter singled to right, Kwan scored.7th Inning3-6
Hoskins walked, DeLauter scored on Santos wild pitch.7th Inning3-7
Díaz homered to left center (402 feet).8th Inning4-7
Hedges homered to left center (400 feet), Watson scored.8th Inning4-9

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Foscue	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	21	.275	.343	.505
J. Jung	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	29	.294	.357	.443
E. Duran	3-5	5	0	3	0	0	0	0	16	.273	.326	.413
J. Burger	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	17	.250	.315	.432
K. Higashioka	0-1	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	20	.220	.308	.348
J. Pederson	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.240	.337	.472
C. Cauley	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	.111	.200	.333
J. Smith	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	.223	.319	.252
A. Osuna	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	8	.247	.341	.274
E. Diaz	2-4	4	1	2	2	1	0	0	11	.318	.311	.455
N. Lopez	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	15	.330	.366	.386

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
M. Gore	5.0	7	5	5	1	7	1	92-58	4.31	92
C. Winn	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	0	12-9	7.00	12
W. Santos	2.0	2	2	2	1	1	1	33-21	9.00	33

Win probability

TEX 0%CLE 100%

Win probability over timeCLE win %

Biggest swing: Kwan tripled to left. (+16% CLE)

Team stats

TEXCLE

699

Hits

643

350

Runs

336

Home Runs

335

RBI

321

Stolen Bases

283

Walks

317

726

Strikeouts

701

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

TEXCLE

9.83%

Barrel%

6.43%

45.16%

Hard-hit%

35.86%

.330

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant