TEX vs CLE — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballProgressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio

Texas

Rangers

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

TEX

AVG

.333▼

CLE

AVG

.286

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

TEX

Starter

Tyler Alexander

Texas Rangers · 1-1

1.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 86th

2.55 ERA · 29 K · 1.30 WHIP

CLE

Starter

Parker Messick

Cleveland Guardians · 7-5

6.2 IP, 4 ER, 5 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 80th

2.85 ERA · 106 K · 1.06 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Rangers triumphed over the Guardians 6-3 in a thrilling contest! Texas showcased their offensive power, leading to a strong victory fueled by key performances.

The Rangers' offense was on fire, scoring six runs to secure their win, clearly outpacing the Guardians.
Standout performances from the Texas lineup created the momentum they needed to dominate the game.
With this victory, the Rangers continue to assert their position in the standings, leaving the Guardians to regroup after a tough loss.

Starters: Tyler Alexander vs Parker MessickBatting average: B. Rocchio (.268)ERA: P. Messick (2.67)

How our pick did

Pick to winTEX to winHit ✓

Contact quality

TEX6 R · .297 xBA

CLE3 R · .291 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — TEX both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

TEX win2nd in the AL West, 0½ GB

Looking ahead

The Rangers sit 2nd in the AL West, 0½ games back — coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Rangers back to .500 at 46-46.
TEX wins series 2-1.
The Rangers are up next home vs LAA (Jul 9), then home vs HOU.
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	6	11	1
CLE	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	3	10	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · CLE
C. DeLauter · Double
110.7 mph · .710 xBA
Hardest hit · TEX
J. Burger · Single
104.4 mph · .940 xBA
Longest hit
G. Arias · Home Run
429 ft · .970 xBA
Best barrel
G. Arias · Home Run
107.5 mph · .970 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Holderman · Sinker
99 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Chase DeLauter
CLE
+19%
Jacob Latz
TEX
+19%
Justin Foscue
TEX
+16%

Scoring summary

Burger grounded out to third, Jung scored.4th Inning1-0
Arias homered to center (429 feet).5th Inning1-1
DeLauter doubled to right, Hedges scored.5th Inning1-2
Burger singled to center, Carter scored, Jung to third.6th Inning2-2
Lopez singled to center, Cauley scored.7th Inning3-2
Foscue doubled to left, Lopez scored.7th Inning4-2
Rocchio scored on Junis wild pitch, DeLauter to second on wild pitch by Junis.7th Inning4-3
Rocchio scored on Junis wild pitch, DeLauter to second on wild pitch by Junis.7th Inning4-3
Foscue doubled to left, Carter scored on fielding error by left fielder Kwan and Cauley scored.9th Inning6-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Foscue	2-5	5	0	2	2	0	1	18	.276	.340	.517
J. Jung	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	2	17	.294	.355	.437
E. Duran	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	15	.267	.323	.412
J. Burger	1-4	4	0	1	2	0	2	9	.257	.320	.443
K. Higashioka	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	9	.221	.301	.350
E. Diaz	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.324	.316	.405
A. Osuna	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	1	12	.252	.350	.281
C. Cauley	1-3	3	2	1	0	1	0	9	.333	.500	1.000
N. Lopez	2-4	4	1	2	1	0	1	16	.329	.360	.378
E. Carter	2-3	3	2	2	0	0	1	15	.182	.294	.323

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Alexander	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	0	16-12	2.55	16
C. Paddack	4.0	7	2	2	0	1	1	68-47	6.79	68
R. Ahlstrom	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13-7	4.09	13
J. Junis	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	16-12	2.80	16
J. Latz	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17-12	1.76	17

Win probability

TEX 100%CLE 0%

Win probability over timeCLE win %

Biggest swing: Arias homered to center (429 feet). (+18% CLE)

Team stats

TEXCLE

682

Hits

628

340

Runs

331

Home Runs

327

RBI

317

Stolen Bases

282

Walks

316

711

Strikeouts

684

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

TEXCLE

9.59%

Barrel%

6.39%

44.99%

Hard-hit%

35.64%

.330

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant