CWS vs BAL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballOriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, Maryland

Chicago

White Sox

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

CWS

AVG

.291

BAL

AVG

.297

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CWS

Starter

Sean Burke

Chicago White Sox · 5-4

5.1 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 63rd

3.69 ERA · 95 K · 1.22 WHIP

BAL

Starter

Shane Baz

Baltimore Orioles · 4-8

7.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 4 BB

xwOBA 33rd

4.19 ERA · 87 K · 1.37 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The White Sox dominated the Orioles with an impressive 8-2 victory at Camden Yards! A standout offensive performance propelled Chicago to a decisive win, showcasing their power at the plate.

The White Sox's offense exploded for 8 runs, leaving the Orioles struggling to keep pace throughout the game.
Chicago displayed their strength with a solid line, consistently putting pressure on Baltimore's pitching staff.
This win not only boosts the White Sox's confidence but also adds crucial momentum as they continue to battle in the standings.

Starters: Sean Burke vs Shane Baz

How our pick did

Pick to winBAL to winMiss

Contact quality

CWS8 R · .305 xBA

BAL2 R · .193 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — CWS both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CWS win1st in the AL Central

Looking ahead

The White Sox sit atop the AL Central — losers of 3 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 12½ games back — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
CHW win series 2-1.
The White Sox are up next home vs ATH (Jul 10-12).
The Orioles are up next home vs KC (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CWS	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	4	8	10	0
BAL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · CWS
C. Montgomery · Double
107.5 mph · .910 xBA
Hardest hit · BAL
D. Beavers · Lineout
102.2 mph · .530 xBA
Longest hit
S. Antonacci · Flyout
393 ft · .190 xBA
Best barrel
D. Beavers · Lineout
102.2 mph · .530 xBA
Fastest pitch
G. Taylor · Sinker
100.5 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Shane Baz
BAL
+24%
Grant Taylor
CWS
+18%
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
+11%

Scoring summary

Rutschman hit sacrifice fly to left, Henderson scored.1st Inning0-1
Gonzalez doubled to center, Meidroth scored.3rd Inning1-1
Teel reached on infield single to shortstop, Gonzalez scored, Vargas out at home on runner's fielder's choice.3rd Inning2-1
Rutschman hit sacrifice fly to left, Alexander scored.3rd Inning2-2
C. Montgomery doubled to center, Antonacci scored.8th Inning3-2
Grichuk singled to center, C. Montgomery scored, Grichuk to second.8th Inning4-2
Gonzalez singled to center, Peters scored and Meidroth scored.9th Inning6-2
Gonzalez scored on error and Antonacci scored on error, Teel safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Alexander.9th Inning8-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
S. Antonacci	1-4	4	2	1	0	0	0	14	.291	.391	.413
J. Perez	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.250	.308	.500
M. Vargas	1-4	4	0	1	0	1	0	24	.252	.366	.500
C. Montgomery	1-5	5	1	1	1	0	2	23	.221	.312	.476
K. Teel	1-5	5	0	1	1	0	3	18	.227	.320	.364
R. Grichuk	1-5	5	0	1	1	0	0	16	.291	.330	.651
B. Montgomery	1-3	3	0	1	0	1	1	14	.250	.310	.438
T. Peters	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	1	11	.283	.343	.439
C. Meidroth	1-2	2	2	1	0	2	0	28	.277	.346	.386
J. Gonzalez	2-4	4	2	2	3	0	1	18	.235	.325	.353

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Burke	5.1	4	2	2	3	8	89-64	3.69	89
C. Murphy	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	12-6	4.41	12
G. Taylor	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	24-17	2.70	24
B. Eisert	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17-11	4.98	17

Win probability

CWS 100%BAL 0%

Win probability over timeBAL win %

Biggest swing: C. Montgomery doubled to center, Antonacci scored. (+25% CWS)

Team stats

CWSBAL

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CWSBAL

10.8%

Barrel%

8.45%

42.5%

Hard-hit%

42.6%

.340

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant