PIT vs PHI — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Pittsburgh

Pirates

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

PIT

AVG

.296

PHI

AVG

.322▼

Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies

2-5 · 2 HR · 2 RBI

xwOBA 52nd

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PIT

Starter

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates · 8-3

6.0 IP, 5 ER, 8 K, BB

xwOBA 82nd

3.33 ERA · 115 K · 1.08 WHIP

PHI

Starter

Aaron Nola

Philadelphia Phillies · 3-5

4.1 IP, 7 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 43rd

6.04 ERA · 87 K · 1.49 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Pirates triumphed over the Phillies with a final score of 11-7 in a thrilling clash at Citizens Bank Park. The Pirates' offensive explosion, led by a standout performance, was the key to their victory.

The Pirates unleashed a tidal wave of offense, scoring 11 runs to overpower the Phillies and seize the win.
The standout performance came from a key player who made a significant impact, driving the offense and ensuring the Pirates' victory.
With this win, the Pirates continue to show their competitive edge in the standings, solidifying their position as a formidable force in the league.

Starters: Braxton Ashcraft vs Aaron Nola

How our pick did

Pick to winPHI to winMiss

Contact quality

PIT11 R · .393 xBA

PHI7 R · .443 xBA

PIT scored more despite the lower team xBA — PHI squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PIT win4th in the NL Central, 12 GB

Looking ahead

The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12 games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Phillies sit 2nd in the NL East, 3 games back — coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Pirates back to .500 at 47-47.
Series tied 2-2.
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).
The Phillies are up next at DET (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	3	11	11	0
PHI	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	7	9	2

Statcast

Hardest hit · PIT
B. Lowe · Sac Fly
111 mph · .700 xBA
Hardest hit · PHI
B. Harper · Home Run
106.7 mph · .960 xBA
Longest hit
T. Turner · Home Run
424 ft · .730 xBA
Best barrel
E. Valdez · Double
110.8 mph · .820 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Montgomery · 4-Seam Fastball
100 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Endy Rodríguez
PIT
+26%
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT
+16%
J.T. Realmuto
PHI
+14%

Scoring summary

Turner homered to left (424 feet).1st Inning0-1
Marsh homered to left center (389 feet).1st Inning0-2
Schwarber hit sacrifice fly to center, Crawford scored.3rd Inning0-3
Harper homered to right (405 feet), Turner scored.3rd Inning0-5
Valdez homered to left (411 feet), Reynolds scored.4th Inning2-5
Triolo homered to center (419 feet).5th Inning3-5
Lowe hit sacrifice fly to center, Mangum scored.5th Inning4-5
O'Hearn singled to left, Griffin scored, Reynolds to second.5th Inning5-5
Rodríguez walked, Reynolds scored, Valdez to second, O'Hearn to third.5th Inning6-5
Callihan grounded into fielder's choice to first, O'Hearn scored on error and Valdez scored on throwing error by shortstop Turner, Rodríguez out at second.5th Inning8-5
Marsh homered to right center (416 feet).8th Inning8-6
Realmuto singled to right, Stott scored.8th Inning8-7
Rodríguez homered to right center (390 feet), O'Hearn scored and Cook scored.9th Inning11-7

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
K. Griffin	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	0	1	11	.276	.332	.419
B. Lowe	0-4	4	0	0	1	0	0	3	21	.239	.313	.502
B. Reynolds	1-4	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	22	.285	.402	.472
R. O'Hearn	2-5	5	2	2	1	0	0	1	21	.288	.343	.477
E. Valdez	2-3	3	2	2	2	1	2	1	24	.289	.360	.778
B. Cook	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.154	.154	.154
E. Rodriguez	2-3	3	1	2	4	1	2	0	16	.271	.404	.482
T. Callihan	0-3	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	13	.246	.343	.509
N. Gonzales	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	11	.295	.351	.370
J. Triolo	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	0	2	20	.239	.306	.303
J. Mangum	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	10	.296	.340	.354

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
B. Ashcraft	6.0	5	5	5	1	8	3	97-73	3.33	97
E. Sisk	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	14-11	2.23	14
G. Soto	0.2	2	2	2	0	1	1	20-14	4.37	20
Y. Ramirez	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	0	16-7	3.69	16
M. Montgomery	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	19-8	4.68	19

Win probability

PIT 100%PHI 0%

Win probability over timePHI win %

Biggest swing: Rodríguez homered to right center (390 feet), O'Hearn scored and Cook scored. (+19% PIT)

Team stats

PITPHI

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PITPHI

7.77%

Barrel%

8.39%

40.6%

Hard-hit%

42.67%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant