PIT vs PHI — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Pittsburgh

Pirates

47-47 · 21-22 away

Final

Philadelphia

Phillies

52-43 · 25-21 home

MLB.TV

Top hitters

PIT

AVG

.316▲

Esmerlyn Valdez

Pittsburgh Pirates

2-4 · 3B · 3 RBI

Max Exit Velo 87th

2Jake Mangum3-5 · 2B.310
3Nick Gonzales3-5 · HR · 2 RBI.305▲
4Ryan O'Hearn1-5 · 2B.285▲

PHI

AVG

.315▼

Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies

0-4

xwOBA 53rd

2Bryce Harper1-4 · 2B · 1 RBI.274▼
3Justin Crawford0-3.253▲
4Kyle Schwarber0-3.250

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PIT

Starter

Jared Jones

Pittsburgh Pirates · 1-1

4.0 IP, ER, 6 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 66th

5.28 ERA · 31 K · 1.38 WHIP

PHI

Starter

Alan Rangel

Philadelphia Phillies · 0-1

4.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, 4 BB

Fastball Spin 52nd

3.38 ERA · 17 K · 1.31 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Pirates cruised to a dominant 6-1 victory over the Phillies! A standout pitching performance and timely hitting made all the difference in this one.

The Pirates' offense was firing on all cylinders, showcasing their ability to capitalize with six runs on the board.
A stellar pitching performance from the Pirates kept the Phillies at bay, limiting them to just one run and showcasing their dominance on the mound.
With this win, the Pirates are looking to build momentum as they continue their push in the standings, leaving the Phillies searching for answers.

Starters: Jared Jones vs Alan RangelBatting average: B. Marsh (.319)ERA: C. Sanchez (2.00)

How our pick did

Pick to winPhillies to winMiss

Contact quality

PIT6 R · .364 xBA

PHI1 R · .237 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — PIT both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PIT win4th in the NL Central, 12½ GB

Looking ahead

The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12½ games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Phillies sit 2nd in the NL East, 3½ games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Pirates back to .500 at 47-47.
Series tied 2-2.
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 11-12).
The Phillies are up next at DET (Jul 11-12), then home vs NYM.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	1	6	14	0
PHI	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · PIT
E. Valdez · Triple
112.7 mph · .800 xBA
Hardest hit · PHI
B. Harper · Groundout
106.1 mph · .550 xBA
Longest hit
E. Rodríguez · Home Run
395 ft · .630 xBA
Best barrel
B. Lowe · Lineout
109.8 mph · .690 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Jones · 4-Seam Fastball
100.3 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT
+23%
Alan Rangel
PHI
+22%
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT
+17%

Scoring summary

Harper doubled to left, Marchán scored, Schwarber to third.3rd Inning0-1
Valdez singled to center, Mangum scored, Lowe to third.5th Inning1-1
Valdez tripled to center, Lowe scored.7th Inning2-1
Gonzales singled to center, Valdez scored.7th Inning3-1
Rodríguez homered to center (395 feet).8th Inning4-1
Valdez hit sacrifice fly to right, Mangum scored, Lowe to third.8th Inning5-1
Gonzales homered to left center (387 feet).9th Inning6-1

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Mangum	3-5	5	2	3	0	0	0	1	15	.310	.357	.371
B. Lowe	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	1	1	25	.243	.319	.498
B. Reynolds	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	1	2	24	.280	.395	.459
E. Valdez	2-4	4	1	2	3	0	0	1	15	.316	.375	.737
B. Cook	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.167	.167	.200
R. O'Hearn	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	2	20	.285	.340	.471
N. Gonzales	3-5	5	1	3	2	1	0	0	28	.305	.360	.387
M. Ozuna	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	25	.202	.286	.324
E. Rodriguez	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	1	2	24	.269	.398	.495
J. Triolo	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	23	.232	.308	.299

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J. Jones	4.0	2	1	1	2	6	73-41	5.28	73
C. Mlodzinski	3.0	2	0	0	0	0	35-26	3.33	35
G. Soto	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8-8	4.25	8
M. Montgomery	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14-11	4.54	14

Win probability

PIT 100%PHI 0%

Win probability over timePHI win %

Biggest swing: Valdez tripled to center, Lowe scored. (+25% PIT)

Team stats

PITPHI

780

Hits

698

446

Runs

393

109

Home Runs

117

427

RBI

380

Stolen Bases

324

Walks

254

822

Strikeouts

762

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PITPHI

7.86%

Barrel%

8.32%

40.74%

Hard-hit%

42.79%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant