CIN vs MIL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballAmerican Family Field · Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Cincinnati

Reds

43-50 · 21-24 away

Final

Milwaukee

Brewers

59-34 · 29-18 home

MLB.TVReds.TVBrewers.TV

Top hitters

CIN

AVG

.272▼

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds

1-5

xwOBA 81st

2Sal Stewart1-4 · HR · 1 RBI.257▲
3Edwin Arroyo0-3.257▲
4Nathaniel Lowe1-4.253▼

MIL

AVG

.295▼

Jackson Chourio

Milwaukee Brewers

1-4

xwOBA 66th

2William Contreras0-4.293▼
3Garrett Mitchell1-3 · HR · 1 RBI.265▲
4Jake Bauers0-4.264

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CIN

Starter

Chase Burns

Cincinnati Reds · 10-1

6.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 82nd

2.40 ERA · 116 K · 1.08 WHIP

MIL

Starter

Jacob Misiorowski

Milwaukee Brewers · 9-4

5.0 IP, ER, 10 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 99th

1.47 ERA · 156 K · 0.78 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Reds dominated the Brewers with a final score of 7-2! A powerful offensive performance propelled Cincinnati to victory, showcasing their hitting prowess.

Cincinnati's offense was on fire, racking up seven runs to put the game out of reach early. With such a strong showing at the plate, the Reds made it clear they came to play.
The Reds' pitchers kept the Brewers in check, allowing only two runs throughout the game. This solid performance on the mound was crucial in securing their commanding win.
With this victory, the Reds continue to improve their standing, proving they are a force to be reckoned with in the league. Their combination of hitting and pitching could make them a tough opponent moving forward.

Starters: Chase Burns vs Jacob MisiorowskiBatting average: W. Contreras (.296)ERA: J. Misiorowski (1.45)

How our pick did

Pick to winBrewers to winMiss

Contact quality

CIN7 R · .342 xBA

MIL2 R · .284 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — CIN both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CIN win5th in the NL Central, 16 GB

Looking ahead

The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 16 games back — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Brewers lead the NL Central by 7½ — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
MIL wins series 3-1.
The Reds are up next home vs CHC (Jul 11-12), then at COL.
The Brewers are up next at PIT (Jul 11-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CIN	1	0	0	4	0	0	1	1	0	7	11	1
MIL	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	4	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · CIN
E. De La Cruz · Single
116.2 mph · .770 xBA
Hardest hit · MIL
J. Bauers · Lineout
103.8 mph · .770 xBA
Longest hit
S. Stewart · Home Run
402 ft · .760 xBA
Best barrel
S. Stewart · Home Run
102.7 mph · .760 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Misiorowski · 4-Seam Fastball
103.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Jose Trevino
CIN
+22%
Chase Burns
CIN
+17%
Brice Turang
MIL
+9%

Scoring summary

Stewart homered to right center (402 feet).1st Inning1-0
Marte singled to center, Bleday scored, Suárez to second.4th Inning2-0
Trevino homered to left (358 feet), Suárez scored and Marte scored.4th Inning5-0
Mitchell homered to left (366 feet).5th Inning5-1
Turang doubled to left, Chourio scored.6th Inning5-2
Friedl homered to center (395 feet).7th Inning6-2
Friedl singled to right, McLain scored, Trevino to third.8th Inning7-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
E. De La Cruz	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	13	.272	.339	.485
S. Stewart	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	1	2	25	.257	.342	.471
J. Bleday	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	22	.237	.347	.488
E. Suarez	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	23	.207	.278	.370
N. Lowe	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	14	.253	.341	.468
S. Steer	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.235	.313	.414
N. Marte	1-5	5	1	1	1	0	0	1	20	.200	.257	.381
E. Arroyo	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	.257	.309	.297
M. McLain	0-1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.195	.298	.337
J. Trevino	3-4	4	1	3	3	1	0	0	15	.232	.246	.321
T. Friedl	2-3	3	1	2	2	1	0	1	11	.181	.259	.271

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
C. Burns	6.0	4	2	2	2	4	1	89-55	2.40	89
S. Moll	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	24-15	4.00	24
T. Antone	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5-4	2.52	5
B. Burke	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	11-9	3.05	11

Win probability

CIN 100%MIL 0%

Win probability over timeMIL win %

Biggest swing: Trevino homered to left (358 feet), Suárez scored and Marte scored. (+26% CIN)

Team stats

CINMIL

648

Hits

726

357

Runs

434

103

Home Runs

338

RBI

409

Stolen Bases

316

Walks

354

803

Strikeouts

690

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CINMIL

10.13%

Barrel%

7.98%

39.46%

Hard-hit%

40.26%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant