MIA vs COL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCoors Field · Denver, Colorado

Miami

Marlins

Final

MLB.TVRockies.TVMarlins.TV

Top hitters

MIA

AVG

.336▲

COL

AVG

.315

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIA

Starter

Ryan Gusto

Miami Marlins · 0-2

3.0 IP, 3 ER, 2 K, 2 BB

Fastball Spin 68th

5.55 ERA · 22 K · 1.60 WHIP

COL

Starter

Michael Lorenzen

Colorado Rockies · 3-9

4.1 IP, 2 ER, K, 6 BB

xwOBA 10th

6.70 ERA · 67 K · 1.80 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Rockies unleashed a thunderous 14-4 victory over the Marlins at Coors Field! Their explosive offense was powered by a standout performance that left the Marlins reeling all game long.

The Rockies' bats were on fire, racking up an impressive 14 runs, showcasing their offensive prowess and leaving the Marlins in the dust.
The Marlins struggled to contain the Rockies' relentless attack, as they allowed a staggering 14 runs, highlighting a serious defensive breakdown on their end.
This commanding win bolsters the Rockies' confidence moving forward, as they continue to make a push in the standings, demonstrating their potential as a formidable force.

Starters: Ryan Gusto vs Michael LorenzenBatting average: T. Johnston (.312)ERA: M. Meyer (2.53)

How our pick did

Pick to winRockies to winHit ✓

Contact quality

MIA4 R · .245 xBA

COL14 R · .298 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — COL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

COL win5th in the NL West, 23 GB

Looking ahead

The Rockies sit 5th in the NL West, 23 games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 3½ games back — winners of 5 straight, 7-3 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Rockies are up next at SF (Jul 9-11).
The Marlins are up next home vs SEA (Jul 9), then home vs CLE.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	6	0
COL	1	0	2	2	0	7	0	2		14	14	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIA
K. Stowers · Lineout
109 mph · .680 xBA
Hardest hit · COL
M. Moniak · Home Run
105.1 mph · .890 xBA
Longest hit
J. McCarthy · Home Run
429 ft · .800 xBA
Best barrel
M. Moniak · Home Run
105.1 mph · .890 xBA
Fastest pitch
V. Vodnik · 4-Seam Fastball
98.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Jake McCarthy
COL
+38%
Mickey Moniak
COL
+25%
Brennan Bernardino
COL
+16%

Scoring summary

Edwards grounded into fielder's choice to second, Hicks scored, Stowers out at second, Lopez to third.1st Inning1-0
Caissie hit sacrifice fly to left, Lopez scored.1st Inning2-0
Moniak homered to right center (407 feet).1st Inning2-1
Edwards hit sacrifice fly to center, Lopez scored.3rd Inning3-1
Castro singled to center, McCarthy scored and Moniak scored.3rd Inning3-3
Hicks grounded out to first, Marsee scored, Mack to second, Sanoja to third.4th Inning4-3
McCarthy homered to right (429 feet), Julien scored.4th Inning4-5
McCarthy singled to left, Carrigg scored and Sullivan scored, Julien to second.6th Inning4-7
Moniak singled to right, Julien scored, McCarthy to third.6th Inning4-8
Rumfield singled to center, McCarthy scored, Moniak to third.6th Inning4-9
Johnston singled to right, Moniak scored and Rumfield scored, Castro to third.6th Inning4-11
Carrigg hit sacrifice fly to right, Castro scored.6th Inning4-12
Carrigg hit sacrifice fly to left, Rumfield scored.8th Inning4-13
Sullivan singled to right, Johnston scored, Karros to second.8th Inning4-14

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
L. Hicks	0-4	4	1	0	1	0	0	15	.279	.355	.462
L. Jimenez	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.209	.305	.253
O. Lopez	3-5	5	2	3	0	0	0	18	.336	.368	.494
K. Stowers	1-4	4	0	1	0	1	1	20	.231	.321	.424
X. Edwards	0-2	2	0	0	2	1	0	13	.301	.380	.429
G. Conine	0-2	2	0	0	0	2	1	18	.269	.377	.500
O. Caissie	0-1	1	0	0	1	0	0	8	.239	.297	.440
H. Hernandez	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	.218	.294	.397
J. Marsee	0-3	3	1	0	0	1	0	17	.187	.307	.284
J. Sanoja	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	0	16	.281	.324	.417
J. Mack	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	1	16	.250	.311	.419

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J. Sanoja	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	0	18-10	6.00	18
R. Gusto	3.0	4	3	3	2	2	1	51-30	5.55	51
J. King	2.0	1	2	2	1	1	1	28-19	2.31	28
C. Faucher	0.1	3	4	4	1	1	0	14-9	4.37	14
C. Gibson	1.2	4	3	3	0	0	0	34-25	7.00	34

Win probability

MIA 0%COL 100%

Win probability over timeCOL win %

Biggest swing: McCarthy homered to right (429 feet), Julien scored. (+24% COL)

Team stats

MIACOL

721

Hits

750

386

Runs

403

Home Runs

372

RBI

387

Stolen Bases

288

Walks

269

712

Strikeouts

768

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MIACOL

7.61%

Barrel%

7.33%

39.97%

Hard-hit%

38.26%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant