MIN vs HOU — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballDaikin Park · Houston, Texas

Minnesota

Twins

Final

MLB.TVTwins.TV

Top hitters

MIN

AVG

.311

Alex Jackson

Minnesota Twins

0-1

Sprint Speed 54thvs RHP .351

HOU

AVG

.314▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIN

Starter

Joe Ryan

Minnesota Twins · 5-5

4.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 85th

3.05 ERA · 113 K · 1.07 WHIP

HOU

Starter

Mike Burrows

Houston Astros · 4-8

5.0 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 25th

5.58 ERA · 72 K · 1.51 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Astros triumphed over the Twins with a final score of 6-4! Houston's offensive power and key performances propelled them to victory at Daikin Park.

The Astros showcased their offensive prowess, racking up six runs to secure the win against the Twins.
Standout performances from key players made the difference, helping Houston to capitalize on their scoring opportunities.
With this victory, the Astros maintain their strong position in the standings, further solidifying their playoff aspirations.

Starters: Joe Ryan vs Mike BurrowsBatting average: Y. Alvarez (.308)ERA: J. Ryan (3.18)

How our pick did

Pick to winHOU to winHit ✓

Contact quality

MIN4 R · .332 xBA

HOU6 R · .275 xBA

HOU scored more despite the lower team xBA — MIN squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

HOU win3rd in the AL West, 1½ GB

Looking ahead

The Astros sit 3rd in the AL West, 1½ games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
MIN wins series 2-1.
The Astros are up next at TEX (Jul 10-12).
The Twins are up next home vs LAA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	6	1
HOU	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0		6	7	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · HOU
Y. Alvarez · Single
115.1 mph · .790 xBA
Hardest hit · MIN
J. Bell · Double
109.6 mph · .950 xBA
Longest hit
J. Bell · Double
413 ft · .950 xBA
Best barrel
J. Bell · Double
109.6 mph · .950 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Burrows · 4-Seam Fastball
97.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Yordan Alvarez
HOU
+36%
Ryan Kreidler
MIN
+9%
Raynel Delgado
HOU
+8%

Scoring summary

Caratini hit by pitch, Larnach scored, Lewis to second, Clemens to third.1st Inning1-0
Kreidler singled to left, Clemens scored and Lewis scored on error, Kreidler safe at second on fielding error by left fielder Alvarez, Caratini safe at third on error.1st Inning3-0
Diaz singled to left, Smith scored, Trammell to second.4th Inning3-1
Altuve walked, Trammell scored, Delgado to second, Diaz to third. Houston Astros challenged: call on the field was overturned.4th Inning3-2
Alvarez homered to right center (395 feet), Diaz scored, Delgado scored and Altuve scored.4th Inning3-6
Bell doubled to center, Clemens scored.5th Inning4-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Larnach	0-2	2	1	0	0	1	0	17	.284	.376	.428
L. Keaschall	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	7	.245	.328	.317
B. Lee	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	1	17	.251	.305	.442
K. Clemens	2-4	4	2	2	0	0	1	19	.241	.305	.467
J. Bell	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	0	9	.243	.299	.405
R. Lewis	1-3	3	1	1	0	1	1	13	.216	.291	.384
V. Caratini	0-3	3	0	0	1	0	1	11	.237	.335	.374
R. Kreidler	1-4	4	0	1	2	0	1	10	.287	.357	.505
T. Gray	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	17	.238	.280	.351
A. Jackson	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	.311	.340	.378
A. Martin	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	13	.241	.346	.318

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J. Ryan	4.0	5	6	3	5	1	91-57	3.05	91
E. Orze	2.0	0	0	0	3	0	23-17	5.08	23
M. Raya	2.0	2	0	0	1	0	25-15	4.50	25

Win probability

MIN 0%HOU 100%

Win probability over timeHOU win %

Biggest swing: Alvarez homered to right center (395 feet), Diaz scored, Delgado scored and Altuve scored. (+60% HOU)

Team stats

MINHOU

719

Hits

707

417

Runs

391

107

Home Runs

115

395

RBI

374

Stolen Bases

282

Walks

290

698

Strikeouts

712

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MINHOU

8.83%

Barrel%

9.39%

37.83%

Hard-hit%

39.86%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant