TOR vs SF — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballOracle Park · San Francisco, California

Toronto

Blue Jays

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

TOR

AVG

.400

AVG

.327

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

TOR

Starter

Spencer Miles

Toronto Blue Jays · 4-1

4.0 IP, 2 ER, K, 0 BB

xwOBA 79th

2.95 ERA · 56 K · 1.09 WHIP

Starter

Trevor McDonald

San Francisco Giants · 3-7

2.1 IP, 8 ER, 0 K, BB

xwOBA 52nd

5.46 ERA · 50 K · 1.38 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Blue Jays soared to a 9-3 victory over the Giants at Oracle Park! Their explosive offense, led by standout performances, was the key to this decisive win.

The Blue Jays' bats were on fire, racking up nine runs to crush the Giants. With a powerful offensive display, they turned Oracle Park into their playground.
A standout performance from the Blue Jays' lineup showcased their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, leaving the Giants scrambling.
This victory helps the Blue Jays solidify their position in the standings, proving they're a formidable contender as the season progresses.

Starters: Spencer Miles vs Trevor McDonaldBatting average: L. Arraez (.325)ERA: R. Ray (3.45)

How our pick did

Pick to winGiants to winMiss

Contact quality

TOR9 R · .282 xBA

SF3 R · .224 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — TOR both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

TOR win3rd in the AL East, 11 GB

Looking ahead

The Blue Jays sit 3rd in the AL East, 11 games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Giants sit 4th in the NL West, 22 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
TOR wins series 2-1.
The Blue Jays are up next at SD (Jul 10-12).
The Giants are up next home vs COL (Jul 9-11).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	0	3	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	13	0
SF	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	9	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · TOR
S. Keys · Single
108.5 mph · .910 xBA
Hardest hit · SF
B. Eldridge · Single
105.3 mph · .640 xBA
Longest hit
E. Clement · Double
381 ft · .200 xBA
Fastest pitch
L. Varland · 4-Seam Fastball
99.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Jonatan Clase
TOR
+24%
Sean Keys
TOR
+10%
Brandon Valenzuela
TOR
+8%

Scoring summary

Clase homered to right (362 feet), Valenzuela scored and Keys scored.2nd Inning3-0
Bericoto reached on infield single to second, Devers scored, Eldridge to second.2nd Inning3-1
Valenzuela singled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored, Okamoto to second.3rd Inning4-1
Keys singled to right, Okamoto scored and Valenzuela scored.3rd Inning6-1
Giménez singled to left, Keys scored, Clase to third.3rd Inning7-1
Clement hit sacrifice fly to right, Clase scored.3rd Inning8-1
Devers grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Ramos scored, Schmitt out at second, Arraez to third.3rd Inning8-2
Arraez doubled to right, Ramos scored.5th Inning8-3
Guerrero Jr. grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Clement scored, Lukes out at second.9th Inning9-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
E. Clement	3-4	4	1	3	1	0	0	0	21	.298	.319	.434
N. Lukes	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	22	.285	.337	.392
V. Guerrero Jr.	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	12	.263	.345	.344
K. Okamoto	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	16	.235	.313	.454
B. Valenzuela	2-4	4	2	2	1	0	0	1	13	.241	.324	.411
D. Varsho	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	.242	.309	.398
S. Keys	2-4	4	2	2	2	0	0	1	12	.207	.207	.345
J. Clase	2-4	4	2	2	3	1	0	1	16	.400	.400	1.000
M. Straw	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.232	.292	.341
A. Gimenez	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	20	.234	.280	.367

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Miles	4.0	7	2	2	1	55-38	2.95	55
P. Corbin	2.1	2	1	1	2	41-25	5.07	41
J. Hoffman	0.2	0	0	0	1	8-6	4.35	8
M. Fluharty	1.0	0	0	0	1	12-9	4.58	12
L. Varland	1.0	0	0	0	1	19-12	0.94	19

Win probability

TOR 100%SF 0%

Win probability over timeSF win %

Biggest swing: Clase homered to right (362 feet), Valenzuela scored and Keys scored. (+28% TOR)

Team stats

TORSF

737

Hits

791

357

Runs

374

Home Runs

101

343

RBI

362

Stolen Bases

248

Walks

219

674

Strikeouts

701

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

TORSF

6.63%

Barrel%

8.14%

36.1%

Hard-hit%

39.94%

.310

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant