ATH vs DET — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballComerica Park · Detroit, Michigan

Athletics

41-51 · 22-22 away

Final

Detroit

Tigers

42-50 · 24-21 home

MLB.TVTigers.TV

Top hitters

ATH

AVG

.462

Joshua Kuroda-Grauer

Athletics

3-4 · 2B

Sprint Speed 55thvs LHP .500

DET

AVG

.313▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ATH

Starter

J.T. Ginn

Athletics · 7-5

4.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 52nd

3.10 ERA · 86 K · 1.22 WHIP

DET

Starter

Tarik Skubal

Detroit Tigers · 5-4

5.0 IP, ER, 9 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 81st

3.06 ERA · 84 K · 0.95 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Tigers roared past the Athletics with a decisive 6-2 victory! The standout performance from the Tigers' offense proved to be the game-changer, driving in crucial runs to secure the win.

The Tigers showcased their offensive firepower, racking up six runs to take control of the game early and never look back. Their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities was key, as they outperformed the Athletics in run production.
On the mound, the Tigers' pitching staff held the Athletics to just two runs, demonstrating solid control and limiting damage throughout the game. This defensive effort set the tone and allowed the offense to thrive without pressure.
With this win, the Tigers continue to build momentum, solidifying their position as a competitive force in the league. Their combination of strong batting and effective pitching is a recipe for success as the season progresses.

Starters: J.T. Ginn vs Tarik SkubalBatting average: R. Greene (.292)ERA: K. Montero (3.20)

How our pick did

Pick to winTigers to winHit ✓

Contact quality

ATH2 R · .272 xBA

DET6 R · .341 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — DET both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

DET win4th in the AL Central, 5 GB

Looking ahead

The Tigers sit 4th in the AL Central, 5 games back — winners of 4 straight, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Athletics sit 4th in the AL West, 5½ games back — losers of 5 straight, 1-9 over their last 10.
DET leads series 1-0 — they meet again Jul 9.
The Tigers are up next home vs ATH (Jul 9), then home vs PHI.
The Athletics are up next at DET (Jul 9), then at CHW.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATH	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	7	1
DET	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	0		6	8	1

Statcast

Hardest hit
H. Bolte · Home Run
107.8 mph · .790 xBA
Hardest hit · DET
K. McGonigle · Single
104.5 mph · .690 xBA
Longest hit
C. Keith · Home Run
427 ft · .730 xBA
Best barrel
C. Keith · Home Run
103.1 mph · .730 xBA
Fastest pitch
E. Alvarado · 4-Seam Fastball
100.5 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Tarik Skubal
DET
+19%
Colt Keith
DET
+11%
Kevin McGonigle
DET
+11%

Scoring summary

Keith homered to right center (427 feet), McGonigle scored.1st Inning0-2
Bolte homered to left (411 feet).3rd Inning1-2
Malgeri doubled to right, McKinstry scored, Torkelson to third.6th Inning1-3
Vierling doubled to right, Malgeri scored and Torkelson scored.6th Inning1-5
McGonigle singled to center, Vierling scored.6th Inning1-6
Langeliers singled to center, Bolte scored, Kurtz to second.7th Inning2-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
Z. Gelof	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	4	20	.281	.335	.489
N. Kurtz	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	15	.271	.410	.505
S. Langeliers	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	1	2	22	.264	.330	.492
J. Heim	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	15	.248	.303	.514
J. Wilson	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	19	.272	.304	.379
C. Thomas	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	.222	.255	.389
L. Butler	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	.200	.294	.302
J. Kuroda-Grauer	3-4	4	0	3	0	0	0	0	20	.462	.481	.577
M. Muncy	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	20	.227	.303	.396
H. Bolte	1-3	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	14	.286	.368	.379

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J.T. Ginn	4.0	2	2	2	2	4	1	61-40	3.10	61
J. Lopez	3.0	5	4	4	1	4	0	63-39	7.04	63
E. Alvarado	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	0	23-15	5.33	23

Win probability

ATH 0%DET 100%

Win probability over timeDET win %

Biggest swing: Keith homered to right center (427 feet), McGonigle scored. (+13% DET)

Team stats

ATHDET

762

Hits

709

416

Runs

379

114

Home Runs

105

399

RBI

361

Stolen Bases

330

Walks

323

781

Strikeouts

780

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ATHDET

9.07%

Barrel%

9.23%

41.61%

Hard-hit%

40.94%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant