ATL vs PIT — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Atlanta

Braves

53-38 · 25-20 away

Final

Pittsburgh

Pirates

47-46 · 24-22 home

MLB.TVBravesVisionGray Media

Top hitters

ATL

AVG

.353

José Azócar

Atlanta Braves

1-1

Sprint Speed 81stvs RHP .400

2Michael Harris II2-5 · 2B.308
3Mauricio Dubón2-3 · 2B · 1 RBI.276▲
4Matt Olson1-4 · 2B.273

PIT

AVG

.314▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ATL

Starter

Hurston Waldrep

Atlanta Braves · 0-1

3.1 IP, 7 ER, 2 K, 5 BB

Fastball Velo 44th

8.44 ERA · 9 K · 2.16 WHIP

PIT

Starter

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates · 7-8

6.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, BB

xwOBA 93rd

3.58 ERA · 123 K · 1.04 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Pirates dominated the Braves with a final score of 12-4 at PNC Park! A powerful offensive display led by standout performances secured the victory for Pittsburgh.

The Pirates unleashed a barrage of runs, showcasing their offensive prowess with a staggering total of 12 hits in the game.
Pittsburgh's lineup was relentless, driving in runs and capitalizing on scoring opportunities to create a comfortable lead.
This victory not only boosts the Pirates' morale but also strengthens their position in the standings, sending a message to the league.

Starters: Hurston Waldrep vs Paul Skenes

How our pick did

Pick to winBraves to winMiss

Contact quality

ATL4 R · .318 xBA

PIT12 R · .306 xBA

PIT scored more despite the lower team xBA — ATL squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PIT win4th in the NL Central, 12 GB

Looking ahead

The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12 games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Braves lead the NL East by 3½ — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Pirates back to .500 at 47-47.
ATL wins series 2-1.
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	11	0
PIT	4	0	3	0	0	3	1	1		12	14	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · ATL
M. Olson · GIDP
107.9 mph · .540 xBA
Hardest hit · PIT
R. O'Hearn · Home Run
105.1 mph · .850 xBA
Longest hit
R. O'Hearn · Home Run
415 ft · .850 xBA
Best barrel
R. O'Hearn · Home Run
105.1 mph · .850 xBA
Fastest pitch
P. Skenes · 4-Seam Fastball
98.2 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
+37%
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
+10%
Mauricio Dubón
ATL
+9%

Scoring summary

Dubón singled to right, Olson scored, Baldwin to second.1st Inning1-0
O'Hearn homered to right center (384 feet), Mangum scored, Lowe scored and Reynolds scored.1st Inning1-4
Albies singled to center, Harris II scored.3rd Inning2-4
O'Hearn homered to center (415 feet), Reynolds scored and Valdez scored.3rd Inning2-7
O'Hearn homered to right (373 feet), Mangum scored and Lowe scored.6th Inning2-10
Lowe singled to center, Callihan scored, Triolo to second.7th Inning2-11
Gonzales singled to left, Valdez scored, Cook to second.8th Inning2-12
Yastrzemski singled to right, Smith scored and Riley scored.9th Inning4-12

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
M. Harris II	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	0	20	.308	.339	.510
O. Albies	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	1	12	.273	.322	.448
K. Farmer	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.267	.250	.333
M. Olson	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	1	16	.273	.343	.545
D. Baldwin	0-2	2	0	0	0	1	0	13	.253	.340	.448
J. Bart	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	.136	.269	.318
M. Dubon	2-3	3	0	2	1	0	1	13	.276	.332	.432
J. Azocar	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	.353	.389	.471
D. Smith	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	0	12	.267	.308	.396
A. Riley	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	1	17	.212	.290	.340
M. Yastrzemski	1-4	4	0	1	2	0	1	13	.226	.315	.344
J. Jarvis	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	1	13	.211	.250	.211

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
H. Waldrep	3.1	6	7	7	5	2	2	84-45	8.44	84
C. Thomas	3.2	5	4	4	1	2	1	60-36	9.82	60
J. Mateo	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	0	20-13	4.50	20

Win probability

ATL 0%PIT 100%

Win probability over timePIT win %

Biggest swing: O'Hearn homered to right center (384 feet), Mangum scored, Lowe scored and Reynolds scored. (+24% PIT)

Team stats

ATLPIT

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ATLPIT

9.56%

Barrel%

7.77%

41.64%

Hard-hit%

40.6%

.330

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant