ATL vs PIT — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Atlanta

Braves

53-38 · 26-20 away

Final

Pittsburgh

Pirates

47-46 · 24-23 home

MLB.TVBravesVision

Top hitters

ATL

AVG

.307

2Ozzie Albies1-4.273▼
3Mauricio Dubón0-4.273▲
4Matt Olson0-4.270

PIT

AVG

.311▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ATL

Starter

Grant Holmes

Atlanta Braves · 5-4

5.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, BB

xwOBA 30th

3.61 ERA · 76 K · 1.32 WHIP

PIT

Starter

Jared Jones

Pittsburgh Pirates · 1-1

6.0 IP, 0 ER, 8 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 67th

4.37 ERA · 39 K · 1.14 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Braves shut out the Pirates with a commanding 3-0 victory at PNC Park! The standout performance came from the Braves' pitching staff, who dominated the game and kept the Pirates off the scoreboard.

The Braves' pitching staff was on fire, delivering a masterclass with a shutout that left the Pirates searching for answers at the plate.
Offensively, the Braves capitalized on their opportunities, scoring three runs and effectively sealing the game early on.
This win solidifies the Braves' position, showcasing their strength as they continue to assert themselves in the standings.

Starters: Grant Holmes vs Jared JonesBatting average: N. Gonzales (.314)ERA: B. Ashcraft (3.24)

How our pick did

Pick to winBraves to winHit ✓

Contact quality

ATL3 R · .274 xBA

PIT0 R · .266 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — ATL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

ATL win1st in the NL East, +3½

Looking ahead

The Braves lead the NL East by 3½ — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12 games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
ATL wins series 2-1.
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	5	0
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · ATL
J. Bart · Home Run
106.3 mph · .940 xBA
Hardest hit · PIT
N. Gonzales · Lineout
102.6 mph · .490 xBA
Longest hit
J. Bart · Home Run
422 ft · .940 xBA
Best barrel
R. O'Hearn · Flyout
99.6 mph · .510 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Jones · 4-Seam Fastball
100.6 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Jared Jones
PIT
+36%
Joey Bart
ATL
+33%
Grant Holmes
ATL
+29%

Scoring summary

Bart homered to left center (422 feet), Yastrzemski scored.8th Inning2-0
Baldwin singled to center, Harris II scored, Baldwin to second.9th Inning3-0

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
M. Harris II	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	2	15	.307	.338	.509
O. Albies	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	1	13	.273	.321	.446
M. Olson	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	3	16	.270	.339	.539
D. Baldwin	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	3	18	.253	.339	.445
M. Dubon	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	11	.273	.329	.426
A. Riley	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	15	.210	.288	.337
M. Yastrzemski	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	0	11	.228	.315	.348
J. Bart	1-3	3	1	1	2	1	0	7	.160	.276	.440
J. Mateo	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	2	15	.242	.288	.379

Pitching

Player	IP	H	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
G. Holmes	5.0	3	1	5	90-56	3.61	90
D. Fuentes	1.0	1	0	2	19-11	2.52	19
D. Dodd	1.0	0	0	0	8-6	2.16	8
D. Lee	1.0	0	0	2	10-10	1.52	10
R. Iglesias	1.0	0	1	2	20-13	2.30	20

Win probability

ATL 100%PIT 0%

Win probability over timePIT win %

Biggest swing: Bart homered to left center (422 feet), Yastrzemski scored. (+39% ATL)

Team stats

ATLPIT

763

Hits

845

441

Runs

487

116

Home Runs

117

429

RBI

467

Stolen Bases

269

Walks

349

718

Strikeouts

864

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ATLPIT

9.56%

Barrel%

7.77%

41.64%

Hard-hit%

40.6%

.330

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant