NYY vs TB — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida

New York

Yankees

50-42 · 27-21 away

Final

Tampa Bay

Rays

54-36 · 32-13 home

MLB.TVRays.TV

Top hitters

NYY

AVG

.273

2Ali Sánchezvs LHP .3162-3 · 1 RBI.267
3Paul Goldschmidtvs LHP .3370-4.261▼
4Cody Bellinger1-4.248▼

AVG

.319

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays

2-4 · HR · 2 RBI

xwOBA 87th

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

NYY

Starter

Will Warren

New York Yankees · 7-4

4.0 IP, 6 ER, 3 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 43rd

4.15 ERA · 94 K · 1.37 WHIP

Starter

Ian Seymour

Tampa Bay Rays · 6-1

5.1 IP, 3 ER, 12 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 80th

4.11 ERA · 72 K · 1.08 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Rays triumphed over the Yankees with a final score of 6-4 in a thrilling matchup at Tropicana Field. The standout performance came from the Rays' offense, which capitalized on key moments to secure the victory.

The Rays showcased their offensive firepower, scoring six runs to outpace the Yankees' four, demonstrating their ability to capitalize when it mattered most.
A crucial edge for the Rays was their ability to hit with runners in scoring position, which allowed them to convert opportunities into runs and ultimately seal the game.
This win keeps the Rays competitive in the playoff hunt, underscoring their determination as the season heads into its final stretch.

Starters: Will Warren vs Ian SeymourBatting average: Y. Diaz (.317)ERA: N. Martinez (2.61)

How our pick did

Pick to winRays to winHit ✓

Contact quality

NYY4 R · .474 xBA

TB6 R · .345 xBA

TB scored more despite the lower team xBA — NYY squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

TB win1st in the AL East, +4

Looking ahead

The Rays lead the AL East by 4 — coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Yankees sit 2nd in the AL East, 4 games back — coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Rays are up next home vs SEA (Jul 10-12).
The Yankees are up next at WSH (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYY	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	11	0
TB	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	0		6	8	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · TB
J. Caminero · Groundout
116.9 mph · .580 xBA
Hardest hit · NYY
B. Rice · Groundout
105.3 mph · .540 xBA
Longest hit
H. Feduccia · Home Run
396 ft · .690 xBA
Best barrel
B. Rice · Home Run
103.2 mph · .710 xBA
Fastest pitch
B. Baker · 4-Seam Fastball
98.2 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Ben Rice
NYY
+33%
Hunter Feduccia
TB
+20%
Richie Palacios
TB
+16%

Scoring summary

Mesa Jr. homered to right (367 feet).2nd Inning0-1
Díaz singled to left, Palacios scored, Feduccia to second.2nd Inning0-2
Rice homered to left center (382 feet), Schuemann scored and Grisham scored.3rd Inning3-2
Palacios doubled to center, Walls scored.4th Inning3-3
Feduccia homered to right center (396 feet), Palacios scored.4th Inning3-5
Díaz homered to right (368 feet).4th Inning3-6
Sánchez hit sacrifice fly to right, Chisholm Jr. scored.7th Inning4-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Grisham	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	2	21	.231	.335	.413
P. Goldschmidt	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	4	22	.261	.320	.496
B. Rice	3-4	4	1	3	3	1	0	13	.273	.364	.577
A. Rosario	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	2	9	.243	.287	.472
R. McMahon	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	.210	.274	.359
A. Volpe	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	.240	.338	.326
C. Bellinger	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	2	15	.248	.343	.419
J. Caballero	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	4	20	.245	.300	.401
J. Chisholm Jr.	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	2	11	.224	.306	.391
M. Schuemann	1-2	2	1	1	0	0	1	10	.227	.404	.455
J. Dominguez	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	7	.214	.254	.393
A. Sanchez	2-3	3	0	2	1	0	0	11	.267	.303	.333

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
W. Warren	4.0	7	6	6	2	3	3	75-48	4.15	75
T. Hill	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	16-12	3.97	16
P. Blackburn	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	0	20-11	2.22	20
B. Headrick	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	11-9	1.42	11

Win probability

NYY 0%TB 100%

Win probability over timeTB win %

Biggest swing: Rice homered to left center (382 feet), Schuemann scored and Grisham scored. (+29% NYY)

Team stats

NYYTB

694

Hits

755

432

Runs

397

131

Home Runs

411

RBI

378

Stolen Bases

352

Walks

316

807

Strikeouts

631

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

NYYTB

10.61%

Barrel%

4.83%

42.84%

Hard-hit%

34.16%

.330

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant