HOU vs WSH — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballNationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia

Houston

Astros

46-49 · 23-24 away

Final

Washington

Nationals

48-46 · 19-28 home

MLB.TVNationals.TV

Top hitters

HOU

AVG

.313▼

WSH

AVG

.285▲

Luis García Jr.

Washington Nationals

2-3

xwOBA 85th

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

HOU

Starter

Tatsuya Imai

Houston Astros · 5-4

3.2 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 17th

6.06 ERA · 63 K · 1.50 WHIP

WSH

Starter

Andrew Alvarez

Washington Nationals · 2-2

5.2 IP, 5 ER, 3 K, 5 BB

xwOBA 50th

3.64 ERA · 51 K · 1.40 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Astros triumphed over the Nationals with a 6-3 victory! Houston's offensive firepower and ability to capitalize on opportunities were pivotal in this clash.

The Astros showcased their offensive depth, scoring six runs and proving too much for the Nationals' pitching staff.
With this win, Houston continues to solidify its position in the standings, demonstrating their prowess as a formidable contender.
Key performances from the Astros' lineup highlighted their ability to hit in crucial situations, making the difference in this tightly contested matchup.

Starters: Tatsuya Imai vs Andrew AlvarezBatting average: L. Garcia Jr. (.281)ERA: F. Griffin (2.87)

How our pick did

Pick to winAstros to winHit ✓

Contact quality

HOU6 R · .274 xBA

WSH3 R · .336 xBA

HOU scored more despite the lower team xBA — WSH squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

HOU win3rd in the AL West, 2 GB

Looking ahead

The Astros sit 3rd in the AL West, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Nationals sit 4th in the NL East, 7 games back — coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
WSH wins series 2-1.
The Astros are up next at TEX (Jul 10-12).
The Nationals are up next home vs NYY (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	1	0	3	0	1	0	1	0	6	6	1
WSH	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · WSH
J. Wood · Home Run
111.4 mph · .990 xBA
Hardest hit · HOU
C. Walker · Single
105 mph · .530 xBA
Longest hit
J. Wood · Home Run
419 ft · .990 xBA
Best barrel
C. Mead · Double
103.9 mph · .700 xBA
Fastest pitch
B. Abreu · 4-Seam Fastball
98.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Nick Allen
HOU
+15%
Steven Okert
HOU
+12%
Christian Walker
HOU
+9%

Scoring summary

Wood homered to right center (419 feet).1st Inning0-1
Allen hit sacrifice fly to right, Walker scored, Smith to third.2nd Inning1-1
Abrams hit sacrifice fly to center, Wood scored.3rd Inning1-2
Allen singled to left, Dezenzo scored and Walker scored, Matthews to second.4th Inning3-2
Vázquez hit sacrifice fly to center, Matthews scored.4th Inning4-2
Vázquez singled to right, Dezenzo scored, Allen to third.6th Inning5-2
Altuve homered to left center (402 feet).8th Inning6-2
Tena homered to right center (398 feet).9th Inning6-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Altuve	1-5	5	1	1	1	1	0	1	22	.234	.310	.401
B. Shewmake	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.256	.272	.423
Y. Alvarez	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	20	.313	.420	.621
I. Paredes	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	2	21	.250	.344	.415
C. Walker	1-2	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	16	.242	.319	.472
C. Smith	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	19	.223	.300	.379
Z. Dezenzo	0-2	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	23	.196	.281	.333
T. Trammell	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.243	.308	.393
B. Matthews	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	15	.199	.253	.338
N. Allen	1-2	2	0	1	3	0	1	1	18	.241	.293	.313
C. Vazquez	1-3	3	0	1	2	0	0	1	9	.220	.275	.327

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Imai	3.2	4	2	2	3	3	1	84-52	6.06	84
S. Okert	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	0	17-13	2.42	17
E. De Los Santos	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	13-8	4.54	13
B. King	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	9-6	2.03	9
B. Abreu	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	9-7	5.70	9
A. Santa	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	1	19-13	1.35	19
J. Hader	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	0	13-7	0.59	13

Win probability

HOU 100%WSH 0%

Win probability over timeWSH win %

Biggest swing: Allen singled to left, Dezenzo scored and Walker scored, Matthews to second. (+16% HOU)

Team stats

HOUWSH

757

Hits

789

424

Runs

497

125

Home Runs

128

405

RBI

473

Stolen Bases

305

Walks

310

760

Strikeouts

764

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

HOUWSH

9.39%

Barrel%

8.66%

39.86%

Hard-hit%

38.78%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant