STL vs CHC — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballWrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois

St. Louis

Cardinals

48-43 · 24-18 away

Final

Chicago

Cubs

52-41 · 26-19 home

MLB.TVERADM

Top hitters

STL

AVG

.291

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals

1-3 · 2B

xwOBA 91stvs LHP .322

CHC

AVG

.289▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

STL

Starter

Kyle Leahy

St. Louis Cardinals · 7-4

5.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 7th

3.86 ERA · 73 K · 1.45 WHIP

CHC

Starter

Shota Imanaga

Chicago Cubs · 5-7

4.2 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 65th

4.28 ERA · 100 K · 1.10 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Cardinals shut out the Cubs with a commanding 3-0 victory at Wrigley Field! The standout pitching performance led the way, stifling the Cubs' offense all game long.

The Cardinals' pitching was lights-out, delivering a shutout that kept the Cubs off the scoreboard.
With three runs on the board, the Cardinals maximized their opportunities while the Cubs struggled to find their rhythm at the plate.
This victory not only boosts the Cardinals' confidence but also tightens the race in the standings as they continue to chase postseason aspirations.

Starters: Kyle Leahy vs Shota ImanagaBatting average: P. Crow-Armstrong (.287)ERA: S. Imanaga (4.30)

How our pick did

Pick to winCubs to winMiss

Contact quality

STL3 R · .414 xBA

CHC0 R · .288 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — STL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

STL win3rd in the NL Central, 9½ GB

Looking ahead

The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 9½ games back — coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
STL wins series 2-1.
The Cardinals are up next home vs MIL (Jul 9), then home vs ATL.
The Cubs are up next at CIN (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	8	0
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · STL
J. Walker · Double
112.1 mph · .750 xBA
Hardest hit · CHC
I. Happ · Single
106.1 mph · .760 xBA
Longest hit
M. Winn · Flyout
369 ft · .530 xBA
Best barrel
J. Wetherholt · Home Run
101.1 mph · .550 xBA
Fastest pitch
R. O'Brien · Sinker
99.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Kyle Leahy
STL
+25%
JJ Wetherholt
STL
+19%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHC
+15%

Scoring summary

Wetherholt homered to left center (364 feet).1st Inning1-0
Herrera singled to center, Church scored, Wetherholt to second.3rd Inning2-0
Burleson singled to right, Walker scored.8th Inning3-0

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Wetherholt	3-4	4	1	3	1	1	1	1	17	.266	.363	.415
I. Herrera	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	14	.259	.397	.406
J. Walker	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	23	.291	.350	.520
A. Burleson	2-4	4	0	2	1	0	0	2	17	.279	.343	.473
M. Winn	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	15	.249	.321	.343
J. Fermin	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	18	.271	.319	.398
L. Nootbaar	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	13	.286	.371	.440
P. Pages	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	21	.216	.255	.345
N. Church	0-2	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	18	.255	.301	.420

Pitching

Player	IP	H	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
K. Leahy	5.0	3	2	6	77-45	3.86	77
G. Soriano	1.0	0	0	2	12-8	3.29	12
R. Stanek	1.0	1	0	1	11-8	4.81	11
J. Romero	1.0	1	1	2	18-10	3.69	18
R. O'Brien	1.0	0	1	1	13-7	3.72	13

Win probability

STL 100%CHC 0%

Win probability over timeCHC win %

Biggest swing: Suzuki struck out swinging. (+11% STL)

Team stats

STLCHC

710

Hits

737

396

Runs

449

Home Runs

112

384

RBI

420

Stolen Bases

281

Walks

391

653

Strikeouts

743

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

STLCHC

8.44%

Barrel%

7.99%

42.5%

Hard-hit%

40.11%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant