STL vs CHC — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballWrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois

St. Louis

Cardinals

48-43 · 23-18 away

Final

Chicago

Cubs

52-41 · 26-18 home

MLB.TVCardinals.TV

Top hitters

STL

AVG

.290

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals

1-4 · 2B

xwOBA 91stvs LHP .322

2Nelson Velázquez0-3 · 2 RBI.286▼
3Alec Burleson2-5 · 4 RBI.276▼
4José Fermín2-5 · 2 2B · 1 RBI.271

CHC

AVG

.400

Justin Dean

Chicago Cubs

0-1

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

STL

Starter

Andre Pallante

St. Louis Cardinals · 10-5

5.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, BB

xwOBA 63rd

3.60 ERA · 70 K · 1.22 WHIP

CHC

Starter

David Peterson

Chicago Cubs · 4-7

3.2 IP, 10 ER, 3 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 16th

6.75 ERA · 68 K · 1.67 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

In a stunning display of dominance, the Cardinals crushed the Cubs 17-1 at Wrigley Field! The Cardinals' explosive offense was the driving force, overwhelming the Cubs with relentless scoring throughout the game.

The Cardinals' batters unleashed a torrent of runs, showcasing their offensive firepower and leaving the Cubs scrambling defensively.
This game was a masterclass in hitting, as the Cardinals clearly outmatched the Cubs, turning Wrigley Field into their personal playground.
As the Cardinals continue to assert their dominance, this victory serves as a stark reminder of their potential as they push toward the postseason.

Starters: Andre Pallante vs David PetersonBatting average: P. Crow-Armstrong (.287)ERA: S. Imanaga (4.30)

How our pick did

Pick to winCubs to winMiss

Contact quality

STL17 R · .413 xBA

CHC1 R · .211 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — STL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

STL win3rd in the NL Central, 9½ GB

Looking ahead

The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 9½ games back — coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
STL wins series 2-1.
The Cardinals are up next home vs MIL (Jul 9), then home vs ATL.
The Cubs are up next at CIN (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	0	3	3	5	3	2	1	0	0	17	17	1
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · STL
I. Herrera · Lineout
111.5 mph · .690 xBA
Hardest hit · CHC
P. Crow-Armstrong · Double
111.1 mph · .700 xBA
Longest hit
S. Suzuki · Flyout
391 ft · .480 xBA
Best barrel
P. Crow-Armstrong · Double
111.1 mph · .700 xBA
Fastest pitch
R. Stanek · 4-Seam Fastball
98.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Nathan Church
STL
+25%
Andre Pallante
STL
+12%
José Fermín
STL
+6%

Scoring summary

Church homered to right (384 feet), Fermín scored and Jordan scored.2nd Inning3-0
Velázquez hit sacrifice fly to center, Herrera scored, Walker to third.3rd Inning4-0
Winn singled to right, Walker scored.3rd Inning5-0
Fermín doubled to center, Winn scored.3rd Inning6-0
Burleson singled to right, Herrera scored and Walker scored, Velázquez to third.4th Inning8-0
Winn homered to left center (391 feet), Velázquez scored and Burleson scored.4th Inning11-0
Velázquez walked, Jordan scored, Walker to second, Herrera to third.5th Inning12-0
Burleson singled to right, Herrera scored and Walker scored, Velázquez to third.5th Inning14-0
Herrera singled to center, Church scored and Jordan scored, Wetherholt to second.6th Inning16-0
Torres homered to right (369 feet).7th Inning17-0
Bregman doubled to left, Ramirez scored.7th Inning17-1

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Wetherholt	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	22	.260	.357	.398
I. Herrera	3-4	4	3	3	2	0	1	0	19	.258	.396	.406
J. Crooks	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.164	.258	.255
J. Walker	1-4	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	24	.290	.348	.519
N. Velazquez	0-3	3	1	0	2	0	2	0	25	.286	.380	.548
A. Burleson	2-5	5	1	2	4	0	0	0	13	.276	.342	.472
P. Pages	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	.222	.262	.356
M. Winn	2-4	4	2	2	4	1	0	1	18	.253	.325	.347
B. Torres	1-2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	8	.245	.315	.531
J. Fermin	2-5	5	1	2	1	0	0	1	20	.271	.321	.403
B. Jordan	3-5	5	3	3	0	0	0	1	12	.246	.265	.377
N. Church	2-5	5	2	2	3	1	0	1	24	.257	.298	.424

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
A. Pallante	5.2	5	0	0	1	2	102-61	3.60	102
M. Rajcic	2.1	2	1	1	0	3	34-24	5.00	34
R. Stanek	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13-7	4.96	13

Win probability

STL 100%CHC 0%

Win probability over timeCHC win %

Biggest swing: Church homered to right (384 feet), Fermín scored and Jordan scored. (+28% STL)

Team stats

STLCHC

693

Hits

730

379

Runs

448

Home Runs

112

367

RBI

419

Stolen Bases

277

Walks

390

646

Strikeouts

737

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

STLCHC

8.44%

Barrel%

7.99%

42.5%

Hard-hit%

40.11%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant