CWS vs CLE — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballProgressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio

Chicago

White Sox

Final

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV

Top hitters

CWS

AVG

.292

CLE

AVG

.271▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CWS

Starter

Anthony Kay

Chicago White Sox · 6-3

4.0 IP, ER, 2 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 14th

4.39 ERA · 67 K · 1.39 WHIP

CLE

Starter

Gavin Williams

Cleveland Guardians · 9-4

4.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 30th

3.89 ERA · 123 K · 1.18 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Guardians edged out the White Sox with a thrilling 4-3 victory at Progressive Field! A standout performance from the Guardians' lineup, combined with crucial runs, sealed the deal for the home team.

The Guardians capitalized with a solid offensive showing, scoring four runs and making the most of their opportunities at the plate.
The White Sox fought valiantly, but ultimately fell short, proving that every run counts in a tightly contested matchup.
With this win, the Guardians continue to position themselves strongly in the standings, showcasing their resilience and determination.

Starters: Anthony Kay vs Gavin WilliamsBatting average: C. DeLauter (.274)ERA: P. Messick (2.85)

How our pick did

Pick to winGuardians to winHit ✓

Contact quality

CWS3 R · .383 xBA

CLE4 R · .267 xBA

CLE scored more despite the lower team xBA — CWS squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CLE win2nd in the AL Central

Looking ahead

The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The White Sox sit atop the AL Central — losers of 3 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).
The White Sox are up next home vs ATH (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
CWS	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	1
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	6	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · CWS
K. Teel · Lineout
108.2 mph · .620 xBA
Hardest hit · CLE
D. Schneemann · Flyout
103.3 mph · .720 xBA
Longest hit
D. Schneemann · Flyout
391 ft · .720 xBA
Best barrel
M. Vargas · Home Run
106.3 mph · .900 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Holderman · Sinker
100.5 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Miguel Vargas
CWS
+38%
Erik Sabrowski
CLE
+31%
Trevor Richards
CWS
+25%

Scoring summary

Bazzana singled to center, Arias scored, Hedges to third.3rd Inning0-1
Vargas homered to left (374 feet), Peters scored and Antonacci scored.5th Inning3-1
Hedges reached on infield single to shortstop, Hoskins scored, Rocchio to second.7th Inning3-2
Kwan singled to left, Rocchio scored on error, Hedges to second, Kwan to second, Hedges safe at third on fielding error by left fielder Antonacci.7th Inning3-3
Watson singled to center, Kwan scored, Bazzana to second.10th Inning3-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
S. Antonacci	0-5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	23	.292	.387	.424
M. Vargas	2-3	3	1	2	3	1	1	1	23	.248	.359	.495
K. Teel	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	11	.206	.308	.324
A. Benintendi	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	15	.240	.296	.427
C. Montgomery	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	15	.218	.306	.472
B. Montgomery	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	15	.244	.318	.423
C. Meidroth	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	13	.271	.342	.385
L. Acuna	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.217	.257	.254
T. Peters	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	12	.286	.343	.436
R. Grichuk	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	.284	.323	.636
J. Gonzalez	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	6	.259	.341	.383
J. Perez	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	.235	.278	.588

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
A. Kay	4.0	1	1	1	2	2	48-27	4.29	48
J. Hicks	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	20-14	4.50	20
C. Murphy	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15-11	3.79	15
S. Dominguez	0.1	0	2	2	2	1	16-7	4.85	16
B. Hudson	0.2	2	0	0	0	2	15-10	2.31	15
T. Richards	2.0	0	0	0	1	3	28-19	3.69	28
S. Newcomb	0.0	2	1	0	0	0	9-6	2.66	9

Win probability

CWS 0%CLE 100%

Win probability over timeCLE win %

Biggest swing: Vargas homered to left (374 feet), Peters scored and Antonacci scored. (+38% CWS)

Team stats

CWSCLE

696

Hits

663

415

Runs

351

120

Home Runs

397

RBI

334

Stolen Bases

296

Walks

328

777

Strikeouts

713

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CWSCLE

10.8%

Barrel%

6.39%

42.5%

Hard-hit%

35.64%

.340

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant