MIN vs NYY — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballYankee Stadium · Bronx, New York

Minnesota

Twins

Final

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVTwins.TV

Top hitters

MIN

AVG

.300

Alex Jackson

Minnesota Twins

1-5 · HR · 1 RBI

Sprint Speed 54thvs RHP .351

NYY

AVG

.271▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIN

Starter

Zebby Matthews

Minnesota Twins · 4-5

4.2 IP, 4 ER, 5 K, 4 BB

xwOBA 34th

4.43 ERA · 51 K · 1.16 WHIP

NYY

Starter

Brendan Beck

New York Yankees · 0-1

3.2 IP, 5 ER, 3 K, 2 BB

Fastball Spin 24th

9.45 ERA · 4 K · 1.80 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Twins took down the Yankees in a commanding 11-4 victory at Yankee Stadium! The decisive edge came from the Twins' explosive offense, showcasing their power and precision at the plate.

The Twins unleashed a relentless offensive barrage, racking up 11 runs and showcasing their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities throughout the game.
Yankee Stadium turned into a showcase for the Twins' power hitters, who delivered a series of big hits that left the Yankees scrambling on defense.
With this victory, the Twins continue to strengthen their position in the standings, leaving the Yankees to regroup after a tough loss at home.

Starters: Zebby Matthews vs Brendan BeckBatting average: B. Rice (.270)ERA: C. Schlittler (2.08)

How our pick did

Pick to winYankees to winMiss

Contact quality

MIN11 R · .320 xBA

NYY4 R · .337 xBA

MIN scored more despite the lower team xBA — NYY squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIN win3rd in the AL Central, 2 GB

Looking ahead

The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Yankees sit 2nd in the AL East, 4 games back — coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
MIN wins series 2-1.
The Twins are up next home vs LAA (Jul 10-12).
The Yankees are up next at WSH (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	3	2	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	11	11	0
NYY	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	4	7	2

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIN
J. Bell · Home Run
107.6 mph · .980 xBA
Hardest hit · NYY
J. Domínguez · Double
107.4 mph · .930 xBA
Longest hit
M. Schuemann · Home Run
418 ft · .710 xBA
Best barrel
J. Bell · Double
105.9 mph · .670 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Doval · Sinker
101.2 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Max Schuemann
NYY
+14%
Taylor Rogers
MIN
+12%
Trevor Larnach
MIN
+11%

Scoring summary

Buxton doubled to center, Larnach scored.1st Inning1-0
Clemens homered to right center (393 feet), Buxton scored.1st Inning3-0
Keaschall homered to right center (368 feet).2nd Inning4-0
Jackson homered to left center (410 feet).2nd Inning5-0
Larnach homered to right (360 feet).4th Inning6-0
Domínguez homered to right center (357 feet).4th Inning6-1
Schuemann homered to left center (418 feet), McMahon scored.5th Inning6-3
Bellinger doubled to right, Grisham scored, Rice to third.5th Inning6-4
Bell homered to left (399 feet).7th Inning7-4
Buxton hit sacrifice fly to left, Keaschall scored.8th Inning8-4
Clemens singled to right, Martin scored.8th Inning9-4
Bell homered to right center (376 feet), Clemens scored.8th Inning11-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Larnach	2-3	3	2	2	1	1	2	0	20	.292	.387	.446
A. Martin	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.241	.346	.318
B. Buxton	1-3	3	1	1	2	0	1	2	18	.269	.326	.574
K. Clemens	2-4	4	2	2	3	1	1	1	29	.248	.311	.500
J. Bell	3-5	5	2	3	3	2	0	1	24	.247	.304	.434
R. Lewis	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	25	.212	.286	.374
B. Lee	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	22	.244	.301	.429
R. Kreidler	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	22	.257	.328	.451
L. Keaschall	1-4	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	17	.251	.337	.345
A. Jackson	1-5	5	1	1	1	1	0	1	22	.300	.327	.420

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
Z. Matthews	4.2	3	4	4	4	5	2	79-45	4.43	79
T. Adams	1.0	3	0	0	1	1	0	19-11	6.75	19
T. Rogers	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	12-7	5.85	12
A. Morris	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5-4	3.83	5
M. Raya	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	0	35-20	3.00	35

Win probability

MIN 100%NYY 0%

Win probability over timeNYY win %

Biggest swing: Bellinger doubled to right, Grisham scored, Rice to third. (+13% NYY)

Team stats

MINNYY

739

Hits

679

431

Runs

422

111

Home Runs

126

409

RBI

402

Stolen Bases

292

Walks

343

733

Strikeouts

770

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MINNYY

8.83%

Barrel%

10.61%

37.83%

Hard-hit%

42.84%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant