NYM vs ATL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTruist Park · Atlanta, Georgia

New York

Mets

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

NYM

AVG

.296

ATL

AVG

.301

2Matt Olson1-5.272
3Ozzie Albies1-4 · 2B.272
4Mauricio Dubón1-4 · HR · 2 RBI.269▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

NYM

Starter

Sean Manaea

New York Mets · 1-4

5.0 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, BB

xwOBA 48th

4.76 ERA · 68 K · 1.35 WHIP

ATL

Starter

Chris Sale

Atlanta Braves · 9-6

5.0 IP, 3 ER, 3 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 71st

2.27 ERA · 112 K · 1.12 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Braves dominated the Mets with a resounding 14-3 victory at Truist Park! Atlanta's explosive offense was the driving force, showcasing their power at the plate throughout the game.

The Braves unleashed a hitting frenzy, racking up a whopping 14 runs, showcasing their offensive might and leaving Mets pitching in shambles.
With this victory, the Braves solidified their standing, further entrenching themselves as a formidable force in the league.
The Mets struggled to keep pace, unable to contain the Braves' relentless attack, which ultimately led to a lopsided scoreline that highlighted the gap between the two teams.

Starters: Sean Manaea vs Chris SaleBatting average: M. Harris II (.296)ERA: C. Sale (2.10)

How our pick did

Pick to winBraves to winHit ✓

Contact quality

NYM3 R · .372 xBA

ATL14 R · .329 xBA

ATL scored more despite the lower team xBA — NYM squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

ATL win1st in the NL East, +3½

Looking ahead

The Braves lead the NL East by 3½ — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Mets sit 5th in the NL East, 15 games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).
The Mets are up next home vs BOS (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYM	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	3	10	1
ATL	0	1	4	1	0	2	2	4		14	12	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · ATL
A. Riley · Lineout
112.2 mph · .820 xBA
Hardest hit · NYM
F. Lindor · Single
109.4 mph · .510 xBA
Longest hit
M. Yastrzemski · Home Run
420 ft · .860 xBA
Best barrel
M. Yastrzemski · Home Run
105.7 mph · .860 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Sale · 4-Seam Fastball
99 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Eli White
ATL
+26%
Dylan Lee
ATL
+16%
Michael Harris II
ATL
+7%

Scoring summary

White homered to left (358 feet).2nd Inning0-1
Harris II singled to right, Baldwin scored, Riley to second, Olson to third.3rd Inning0-2
Olson scored on error, Riley scored on error and Harris II scored on error, White safe at first on fielding error by center fielder Taylor, White safe at second on error.3rd Inning0-5
Dubón homered to left (365 feet).4th Inning0-6
Taylor homered to left center (404 feet).5th Inning1-6
Vientos homered to left center (396 feet), Bichette scored.6th Inning3-6
Bart doubled to center, Yastrzemski scored.6th Inning3-7
Dubón grounded out to second, Bart scored, Mateo to second.6th Inning3-8
Yastrzemski homered to right (420 feet), Harris II scored.7th Inning3-10
Riley homered to right (362 feet), Dubón scored and Albies scored.8th Inning3-13
Harris II homered to right center (386 feet).8th Inning3-14

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
F. Lindor	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	14	.224	.307	.384
J. Soto	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	16	.296	.404	.560
R. Mauricio	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	.174	.174	.261
B. Bichette	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	11	.253	.300	.379
J. Young	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.218	.288	.403
M. Vientos	2-5	5	1	2	2	1	0	2	17	.213	.252	.391
E. Wagaman	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	17	.214	.313	.429
A.J. Ewing	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	.259	.342	.389
F. Alvarez	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	21	.246	.310	.424
C. Benge	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	13	.259	.316	.398
T. Taylor	1-3	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	14	.206	.234	.355
B. Baty	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	19	.213	.297	.298

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Manaea	5.0	5	6	3	1	4	2	108-72	4.76	108
A. Warren	2.0	4	4	4	1	1	1	44-28	3.34	44
J. Gerber	0.2	1	3	3	2	0	1	22-8	4.32	22
L. Torrens	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	1	7-4	27.00	7

Win probability

NYM 0%ATL 100%

Win probability over timeATL win %

Biggest swing: White homered to left (358 feet). (+9% ATL)

Team stats

NYMATL

677

Hits

714

349

Runs

408

Home Runs

108

335

RBI

397

Stolen Bases

264

Walks

257

731

Strikeouts

683

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

NYMATL

10.09%

Barrel%

9.56%

42.38%

Hard-hit%

41.64%

.340

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant