NYM vs ATL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTruist Park · Atlanta, Georgia

New York

Mets

Final

MLB.TVBravesVision

Top hitters

NYM

AVG

.301

ATL

AVG

.313▲

José Azócar

Atlanta Braves

0-1

Sprint Speed 81stvs RHP .400

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

NYM

Starter

4.68 ERA · 98 K · 1.42 WHIP

ATL

Starter

Reynaldo López

Atlanta Braves · 4-1

5.0 IP, ER, 5 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 34th

3.18 ERA · 51 K · 1.27 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Mets edged out the Braves with a nail-biting 7-6 finish! A standout performance from a key player propelled New York to victory in a thrilling contest.

The Mets showcased their offensive prowess, racking up seven runs to outlast the Braves in a high-scoring affair. A crucial late-game surge sealed the deal for New York, proving their resilience in a tough matchup.
One player truly stole the spotlight, delivering a standout performance that made all the difference in this tight contest. The Mets' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities ultimately tipped the scales in their favor.

Starters: Freddy Peralta vs Reynaldo LopezBatting average: M. Harris II (.302)ERA: C. Sale (2.27)

How our pick did

Pick to winBraves to winMiss

Contact quality

NYM7 R · .325 xBA

ATL6 R · .298 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — NYM both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

NYM win5th in the NL East, 15 GB

Looking ahead

The Mets sit 5th in the NL East, 15 games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Braves lead the NL East by 3½ — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Mets are up next home vs BOS (Jul 10-12).
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
NYM	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	2	7	11	1
ATL	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6	13	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · ATL
M. Harris II · Double
108.8 mph · .910 xBA
Hardest hit · NYM
R. Mauricio · Single
108.7 mph · .530 xBA
Longest hit
J. Soto · Home Run
430 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
J. Soto · Home Run
107.8 mph · 1.000 xBA
Fastest pitch
D. Fuentes · 4-Seam Fastball
99.6 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Juan Soto
NYM
+82%
Luis Torrens
NYM
+49%
Matt Olson
ATL
+47%

Scoring summary

Benge homered to left center (398 feet).2nd Inning1-0
Jarvis singled to left, Smith scored, Yastrzemski to third.2nd Inning1-1
Harris II singled to left, Yastrzemski scored, Jarvis to second.2nd Inning1-2
Olson homered to right (403 feet).3rd Inning1-3
Alvarez singled to right, Benge scored, Young to third.6th Inning2-3
Soto homered to right (430 feet), Taylor scored and Mauricio scored.9th Inning5-3
Olson homered to left (379 feet), Albies scored.9th Inning5-5
Torrens doubled to left, Bichette scored and Young scored.10th Inning7-5
Harris II doubled to right, Azócar scored.10th Inning7-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
A.J. Ewing	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	29	.259	.342	.400
J. Soto	1-2	2	1	1	3	1	3	0	24	.301	.414	.570
B. Bichette	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	0	1	22	.260	.305	.385
F. Lindor	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	18	.216	.300	.366
C. Benge	2-4	4	2	2	1	1	1	0	24	.258	.316	.405
J. Young	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	18	.224	.295	.400
F. Alvarez	2-4	4	0	2	1	0	0	0	7	.251	.313	.426
T. Taylor	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.207	.235	.378
L. Torrens	1-1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	4	.219	.280	.325
B. Baty	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	3	27	.217	.298	.303
R. Mauricio	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	10	.180	.180	.260

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
F. Peralta	4.2	6	3	1	1	6	1	103-61	4.68	103
C. Perez	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	0	16-12	5.50	16
A.J. Minter	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	16-11	0.56	16
G. Zuniga	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	18-11	0.00	18
D. Williams	0.2	3	2	2	1	0	1	30-17	4.85	30
B. Raley	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3-3	2.23	3
L. Weaver	1.0	1	1	0	2	1	0	19-11	1.89	19

Win probability

NYM 100%ATL 0%

Win probability over timeATL win %

Biggest swing: Soto homered to right (430 feet), Taylor scored and Mauricio scored. (+75% NYM)

Team stats

NYMATL

699

Hits

739

362

Runs

431

103

Home Runs

114

348

RBI

419

Stolen Bases

271

Walks

263

746

Strikeouts

699

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

NYMATL

10.09%

Barrel%

9.56%

42.38%

Hard-hit%

41.64%

.340

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant