ARI vs SD — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPetco Park · San Diego, California

Arizona

Diamondbacks

Final

MLB.TVPadres.TVDBACKS.TV

Top hitters

ARI

AVG

.286▲

AVG

.326

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ARI

Starter

Brandon Pfaadt

Arizona Diamondbacks · 2-1

5.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 37th

4.84 ERA · 39 K · 1.34 WHIP

Starter

Walker Buehler

San Diego Padres · 5-5

5.0 IP, 7 ER, 4 K, BB

xwOBA 36th

5.07 ERA · 80 K · 1.39 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Diamondbacks dominated the Padres with an impressive 8-0 victory at Petco Park! The standout performance came from their offense, which unleashed a relentless barrage of runs to secure the win.

The Diamondbacks' bats were on fire, lighting up the scoreboard with a staggering eight runs, showcasing their offensive prowess against the Padres.
On the mound, the Diamondbacks delivered a stellar performance, completely shutting out the Padres and leaving them scoreless throughout the game.
With this win, the Diamondbacks continue to assert their dominance in the standings, leaving the Padres searching for answers in a tough outing.

Starters: Brandon Pfaadt vs Walker BuehlerBatting average: F. Tatis Jr. (.284)ERA: M. King (3.52)

How our pick did

Pick to winPadres to winMiss

Contact quality

ARI8 R · .266 xBA

SD0 R · .278 xBA

ARI scored more despite the lower team xBA — SD squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

ARI win3rd in the NL West, 15 GB

Looking ahead

The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 15 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 14 games back — winners of 2 straight, 3-7 over their last 10.
ARI leads series 1-0 — they meet again Jul 9.
The Diamondbacks are up next at SD (Jul 9), then at LAD.
The Padres are up next home vs ARI (Jul 9), then home vs TOR.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ARI	2	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	8	11	0
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	2

Statcast

Hardest hit
M. Kepler · Home Run
106.6 mph · .950 xBA
Hardest hit · SD
M. Machado · Single
103.2 mph · .460 xBA
Longest hit
M. Kepler · Home Run
417 ft · .950 xBA
Best barrel
K. Marte · Triple
105.6 mph · .630 xBA
Fastest pitch
D. Jameson · 4-Seam Fastball
96.7 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Max Kepler
Win probability added
+22%
Brandon Pfaadt
Win probability added
+15%
Ketel Marte
Win probability added
+7%

Scoring summary

Marte scored on throwing error by pitcher Buehler, Perdomo stole second.1st Inning1-0
Marte scored on throwing error by pitcher Buehler, Perdomo stole second.1st Inning1-0
Kepler singled to left, Perdomo scored on error, Kepler safe at second on throwing error by left fielder Taylor, Moreno safe at third on error.1st Inning2-0
Gurriel Jr. singled to right, Carroll scored, Moreno to second.3rd Inning3-0
Kepler homered to right (417 feet), Moreno scored and Gurriel Jr. scored.3rd Inning6-0
Perdomo homered to right (377 feet).4th Inning7-0
Arenado homered to left (361 feet).6th Inning8-0

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
K. Marte	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	16	.267	.323	.484
J. Barrosa	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.182	.256	.345
G. Perdomo	2-4	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	18	.246	.356	.367
C. Carroll	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	15	.265	.355	.506
P. Smith	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.155	.256	.211
G. Moreno	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	1	0	21	.286	.373	.427
L. Gurriel Jr.	1-4	4	1	1	1	0	0	1	14	.217	.271	.309
M. Kepler	2-4	4	1	2	4	1	0	1	17	.174	.174	.348
N. Arenado	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	0	1	13	.240	.311	.399
I. Vargas	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	19	.257	.300	.396
T. Troy	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	13	.221	.290	.345

Pitching

Player	IP	H	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
B. Pfaadt	5.0	4	6	72-54	4.84	72
R. Thompson	2.0	2	4	28-21	3.06	28
D. Jameson	2.0	2	1	27-19	3.77	27

Win probability

ARI 100%SD 0%

Win probability over timeSD win %

Biggest swing: Kepler homered to right (417 feet), Moreno scored and Gurriel Jr. scored. (+12% ARI)

Team stats

ARISD

698

Hits

654

377

Runs

348

Home Runs

363

RBI

340

Stolen Bases

282

Walks

297

642

Strikeouts

753

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ARISD

7.17%

Barrel%

9.23%

38.35%

Hard-hit%

43.06%

.340

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant