ARI vs SD — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPetco Park · San Diego, California

Arizona

Diamondbacks

Final

Top hitters

ARI

AVG

.294▲

AVG

.317

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ARI

Starter

Jose Cabrera

Arizona Diamondbacks · 0-2

4.1 IP, 4 ER, 2 K, 2 BB

Fastball Spin 46th

5.60 ERA · 12 K · 1.53 WHIP

Starter

Michael King

San Diego Padres · 6-7

6.0 IP, ER, 4 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 30th

3.41 ERA · 92 K · 1.15 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Padres powered past the Diamondbacks with a dominant 10-4 victory! Their offensive explosion was fueled by a standout performance that left the D-backs scrambling all night long.

The Padres unleashed a batting barrage, scoring a whopping 10 runs, showcasing their offensive prowess throughout the game.
With a strong showing at Petco Park, the Padres solidified their position in the standings, proving their resilience in the playoff race.
This victory not only boosts the Padres' confidence but also highlights their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, leaving the Diamondbacks in the dust.

Starters: Jose Cabrera vs Michael KingBatting average: F. Tatis Jr. (.281)ERA: M. King (3.52)

How our pick did

Pick to winPadres to winHit ✓

Contact quality

ARI4 R · .366 xBA

SD10 R · .297 xBA

SD scored more despite the lower team xBA — ARI squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

SD win2nd in the NL West, 14 GB

Looking ahead

The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 14 games back — winners of 2 straight, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 15 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Padres back to .500 at 46-46.
SD leads series 2-1 — they meet again Jul 9.
The Padres are up next home vs ARI (Jul 9), then home vs TOR.
The Diamondbacks are up next at SD (Jul 9), then at LAD.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ARI	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	4	10	1
SD	0	0	1	1	2	4	2	0		10	13	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · SD
F. Tatis Jr. · Single
112.3 mph · .690 xBA
Hardest hit
M. Kepler · Double
107.2 mph · .730 xBA
Longest hit
L. Campusano · Home Run
406 ft · .530 xBA
Best barrel
T. Troy · Home Run
104.6 mph · .890 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Morillo · Sinker
99 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Michael King
SD
+24%
Xander Bogaerts
SD
+14%
Miguel Andujar
SD
+14%

Scoring summary

Moreno doubled to right, Vargas scored.1st Inning1-0
Merrill grounded out to pitcher, Song scored, Tatis Jr. to third.3rd Inning1-1
Andujar doubled to left, Campusano scored.4th Inning1-2
Bogaerts singled to left, Tatis Jr. scored and Merrill scored.5th Inning1-4
Campusano homered to left center (406 feet).6th Inning1-5
Song singled to right, Andujar scored.6th Inning1-6
Tatis Jr. singled to left, Song scored, Tatis Jr. to second.6th Inning1-7
Merrill singled to right, Tatis Jr. scored.6th Inning1-8
Troy homered to left center (405 feet), Gurriel Jr. scored.7th Inning3-8
Andujar doubled to left, Cronenworth scored.7th Inning3-9
Bowen singled to left, Andujar scored.7th Inning3-10
Kepler doubled to right, Carroll scored.8th Inning4-10

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
K. Marte	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	20	.266	.323	.482
I. Vargas	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	14	.257	.303	.396
C. Carroll	0-3	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	17	.261	.353	.497
G. Moreno	2-4	4	0	2	1	0	0	0	23	.294	.377	.434
M. Kepler	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	17	.179	.207	.357
L. Gurriel Jr.	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	14	.222	.273	.310
N. Arenado	3-4	4	0	3	0	0	0	0	20	.243	.312	.399
P. Smith	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	17	.141	.236	.192
T. Troy	1-4	4	1	1	2	1	0	0	10	.222	.289	.368

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J. Cabrera	4.1	4	4	4	2	2	0	74-46	5.60	74
B. Garcia	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	9-7	2.05	9
T. Clarke	1.0	5	4	3	0	0	1	27-21	2.68	27
J. Morillo	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	0	14-12	3.06	14
R. Thompson	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	15-10	2.97	15

Win probability

ARI 0%SD 100%

Win probability over timeSD win %

Biggest swing: Andujar doubled to left, Campusano scored. (+14% SD)

Team stats

ARISD

714

Hits

668

386

Runs

352

Home Runs

371

RBI

344

Stolen Bases

286

Walks

300

659

Strikeouts

769

598

Runners LOB

582

Statcast profile

ARISD

7.17%

Barrel%

9.23%

38.35%

Hard-hit%

43.06%

.340

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant