PIT vs WSH — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballNationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia

Pittsburgh

Pirates

Final

MLB.TVNationals.TV

Top hitters

PIT

AVG

.333▲

WSH

AVG

.280▲

Luis García Jr.

Washington Nationals

0-3

xwOBA 85th

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PIT

Starter

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates · 9-3

5.2 IP, ER, 7 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 82nd

3.24 ERA · 122 K · 1.10 WHIP

WSH

Starter

Carson Palmquist

Washington Nationals · 0-1

1.0 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 0 BB

Fastball Spin 20th

8.44 ERA · 7 K · 1.69 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Pirates dominated the Nationals with a final score of 7-1! A standout performance by the Pirates' offense propelled them to a commanding victory at Nationals Park.

The Pirates' offense was on fire, racking up seven runs, showcasing their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
The Nationals struggled to contain the Pirates, allowing seven runs while only managing to put one on the board, highlighting a stark contrast in offensive efficiency.
With this win, the Pirates continue to strengthen their position in the standings, making a statement against their division rivals.

Starters: Braxton Ashcraft vs Carson PalmquistBatting average: L. Garcia Jr. (.283)ERA: F. Griffin (2.87)

How our pick did

Pick to winNationals to winMiss

Contact quality

PIT7 R · .313 xBA

WSH1 R · .381 xBA

PIT scored more despite the lower team xBA — WSH squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PIT win4th in the NL Central, 12 GB

Looking ahead

The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12 games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Nationals sit 4th in the NL East, 7 games back — coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Pirates back to .500 at 47-47.
PIT wins series 2-1.
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).
The Nationals are up next home vs NYY (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7	11	0
WSH	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · WSH
J. Wood · Home Run
113.1 mph · .990 xBA
Hardest hit · PIT
B. Lowe · Groundout
109.3 mph · .180 xBA
Longest hit
J. Wood · Home Run
428 ft · .990 xBA
Best barrel
R. O'Hearn · Flyout
99.8 mph · .470 xBA
Fastest pitch
B. Ashcraft · Sinker
99.3 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
+14%
James Wood
WSH
+12%
Henry Davis
PIT
+8%

Scoring summary

Griffin stole home, Reynolds stole second.1st Inning1-0
Griffin stole home, Reynolds stole second.1st Inning1-0
Wood homered to right (428 feet).1st Inning1-1
Davis reached on infield single to third, Gonzales scored, Callihan to second, Mangum to third.2nd Inning2-1
Lowe singled to center, Callihan scored and Mangum scored, Davis to second.2nd Inning4-1
Valdez singled to right, Davis scored, Lowe to third.2nd Inning5-1
Gonzales singled to left, Reynolds scored, O'Hearn to second.8th Inning6-1
Davis walked, O'Hearn scored, Callihan to second, Mangum to third.8th Inning7-1

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
K. Griffin	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	2	24	.271	.326	.403
B. Lowe	1-5	5	0	1	2	0	2	23	.242	.318	.494
B. Reynolds	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	0	14	.284	.395	.470
E. Valdez	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	2	14	.333	.384	.712
B. Cook	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	.161	.161	.194
R. O'Hearn	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	1	14	.283	.337	.463
N. Gonzales	2-3	3	1	2	1	1	0	14	.307	.363	.390
J. Mangum	0-3	3	1	0	0	0	0	21	.307	.356	.366
T. Callihan	1-3	3	1	1	0	1	1	18	.242	.342	.484
H. Davis	1-3	3	1	1	2	1	0	15	.153	.247	.327

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
B. Ashcraft	5.2	6	1	1	2	7	1	94-62	3.24	94
Y. Ramirez	1.0	0	0	0	3	1	0	26-11	3.51	26
M. Montgomery	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4-3	4.50	4
D. Santana	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	11-8	4.95	11
C. Sanders	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13-9	6.23	13

Win probability

PIT 100%WSH 0%

Win probability over timeWSH win %

Biggest swing: Nuñez grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Millas out at second, Tena to third. (+11% PIT)

Team stats

PITWSH

807

Hits

760

457

Runs

479

112

Home Runs

122

438

RBI

455

Stolen Bases

333

Walks

297

841

Strikeouts

740

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PITWSH

7.77%

Barrel%

8.66%

40.6%

Hard-hit%

38.78%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant