PIT vs WSH — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballNationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia

Pittsburgh

Pirates

Final

Peacock

Top hitters

PIT

AVG

.312▲

WSH

AVG

.285

2Luis García Jr.2-5 · HR · 2 RBI.282▲
3CJ Abrams1-4 · 1 RBI.269
4James Wood0-3.266

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PIT

Starter

Bubba Chandler

Pittsburgh Pirates · 3-8

4.0 IP, 4 ER, 0 K, 4 BB

xwOBA 42nd

4.82 ERA · 79 K · 1.44 WHIP

WSH

Starter

Cade Cavalli

Washington Nationals · 5-4

2.1 IP, 3 ER, 3 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 48th

3.88 ERA · 105 K · 1.38 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Pirates stormed past the Nationals with an impressive 11-5 victory! Their offensive explosion was fueled by a powerful performance that left the Nationals scrambling.

The Pirates' bats came alive, racking up 11 runs to overpower the Nationals and secure a decisive win at Nationals Park.
With a standout offensive showing, the Pirates demonstrated their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, leaving the Nationals' pitching staff reeling.
This victory not only boosts the Pirates' confidence but also shakes up the standings, highlighting their determination to make a push in the division.

Starters: Bubba Chandler vs Cade CavalliBatting average: L. Garcia Jr. (.280)ERA: F. Griffin (2.87)

How our pick did

Pick to winNationals to winMiss

Contact quality

PIT11 R · .309 xBA

WSH5 R · .291 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — PIT both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PIT win4th in the NL Central, 12 GB

Looking ahead

The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12 games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Nationals sit 4th in the NL East, 7 games back — coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Pirates back to .500 at 47-47.
PIT wins series 2-1.
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).
The Nationals are up next home vs NYY (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	5	2	11	13	0
WSH	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	5	10	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · PIT
B. Lowe · Home Run
107.6 mph · .980 xBA
Hardest hit · WSH
D. Crews · Home Run
106.7 mph · .950 xBA
Longest hit
D. Crews · Home Run
400 ft · .950 xBA
Best barrel
D. Crews · Home Run
106.7 mph · .950 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Montgomery · 4-Seam Fastball
100.7 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Konnor Griffin
PIT
+23%
Mason Montgomery
PIT
+17%
Luis García Jr.
WSH
+13%

Scoring summary

Callihan singled to right, O'Hearn scored and Gonzales scored.2nd Inning2-0
Mangum singled to left, Callihan scored.2nd Inning3-0
Reynolds homered to center (399 feet).3rd Inning4-0
García Jr. homered to right (370 feet), Ruiz scored.3rd Inning4-2
Vivas grounded out to first, Crews scored.4th Inning4-3
Abrams hit sacrifice fly to shortstop, Wood scored.5th Inning4-4
Griffin singled to right, Davis scored and Triolo scored, Mangum to third.8th Inning6-4
Lowe homered to right (396 feet), Mangum scored and Griffin scored.8th Inning9-4
Crews homered to left center (400 feet).8th Inning9-5
Davis singled to left, O'Hearn scored and Gonzales scored.9th Inning11-5

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
K. Griffin	2-4	4	1	2	2	0	1	1	27	.276	.332	.404
B. Lowe	1-5	5	1	1	3	1	0	1	20	.242	.316	.498
B. Reynolds	1-5	5	1	1	1	1	0	1	14	.282	.393	.474
E. Valdez	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	4	26	.310	.359	.662
B. Cook	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.161	.161	.194
R. O'Hearn	1-2	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	28	.284	.344	.463
N. Gonzales	3-4	4	2	3	0	0	1	0	22	.312	.369	.397
E. Rodriguez	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	14	.260	.388	.470
H. Davis	1-1	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	2	.159	.251	.331
T. Callihan	1-2	2	1	1	2	0	0	1	6	.250	.347	.484
J. Triolo	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	10	.240	.312	.316
J. Mangum	1-4	4	1	1	1	0	1	2	24	.306	.357	.364

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
B. Chandler	4.0	6	4	4	4	0	1	86-47	4.82	86
M. Montgomery	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	16-12	4.37	16
I. Mattson	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	12-6	4.50	12
G. Soto	2.0	1	1	1	1	2	1	27-17	4.26	27
D. Santana	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	16-13	4.82	16

Win probability

PIT 100%WSH 0%

Win probability over timeWSH win %

Biggest swing: Griffin singled to right, Davis scored and Triolo scored, Mangum to third. (+22% PIT)

Team stats

PITWSH

818

Hits

766

464

Runs

480

112

Home Runs

123

444

RBI

456

Stolen Bases

336

Walks

302

850

Strikeouts

751

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PITWSH

7.77%

Barrel%

8.66%

40.6%

Hard-hit%

38.78%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant