BAL vs CIN — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballGreat American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio

Baltimore

Orioles

Final

Peacock

Top hitters

BAL

AVG

.310

CIN

AVG

.272

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

BAL

Starter

Kyle Bradish

Baltimore Orioles · 5-9

7.2 IP, 3 ER, 5 K, BB

xwOBA 57th

3.75 ERA · 101 K · 1.40 WHIP

CIN

Starter

Nick Lodolo

Cincinnati Reds · 3-2

6.0 IP, ER, 4 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 5th

4.68 ERA · 46 K · 1.46 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Reds edged out the Orioles with a final score of 3-2! The standout pitching performance was key, as the Reds held the Orioles to just two runs in a tightly contested battle.

The Reds' pitching staff shined bright, allowing only two runs, showcasing their ability to stifle the Orioles' offense when it mattered most.
With this win, the Reds continue to climb the standings, proving they are a team to watch as the season progresses.
In a game that featured tight defense and strategic plays, the Reds capitalized on their opportunities, sealing the victory in front of their home crowd.

Starters: Kyle Bradish vs Nick LodoloBatting average: E. De La Cruz (.276)ERA: C. Burns (2.40)

How our pick did

Pick to winReds to winHit ✓

Contact quality

BAL2 R · .352 xBA

CIN3 R · .263 xBA

CIN scored more despite the lower team xBA — BAL squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CIN win5th in the NL Central, 15½ GB

Looking ahead

The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 15½ games back — coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 12½ games back — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
BAL wins series 2-1.
The Reds are up next home vs PHI (Jul 9), then home vs CHC.
The Orioles are up next home vs KC (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	7	0
CIN	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1		3	5	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · BAL
T. Ward · Single
106.7 mph · .550 xBA
Hardest hit · CIN
S. Stewart · Groundout
106.5 mph · .510 xBA
Longest hit
S. Steer · Home Run
374 ft · .650 xBA
Best barrel
T. Ward · Double
102.3 mph · .530 xBA
Fastest pitch
B. Burke · 4-Seam Fastball
98 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Nick Lodolo
CIN
+24%
Spencer Steer
CIN
+17%
Tejay Antone
CIN
+12%

Scoring summary

Steer homered to right center (374 feet), Suárez scored.5th Inning0-2
Mayo singled to left, Ward scored.6th Inning1-2
Stewart doubled to left, Arroyo scored.8th Inning1-3
Henderson hit sacrifice fly to left, Beavers scored.9th Inning2-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
G. Henderson	0-4	4	0	0	1	0	0	18	.223	.295	.406
A. Rutschman	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	18	.254	.323	.451
T. Ward	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	1	19	.253	.378	.353
P. Alonso	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	17	.251	.344	.466
C. Mayo	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	0	11	.190	.257	.370
S. Basallo	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	.256	.321	.468
T. O'Neill	0-2	2	0	0	0	1	0	13	.184	.290	.291
D. Beavers	0-0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6	.222	.313	.342
L. Taveras	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	2	20	.241	.321	.361
J. Jackson	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	2	12	.248	.263	.391
J. Holliday	0-0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	.187	.294	.364
B. Alexander	3-4	4	0	3	0	0	0	13	.310	.365	.433

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
K. Bradish	7.2	5	3	3	1	5	1	106-73	3.75	106
R. Garcia	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6-3	2.37	6

Win probability

BAL 0%CIN 100%

Win probability over timeCIN win %

Biggest swing: Steer homered to right center (374 feet), Suárez scored. (+22% CIN)

Team stats

BALCIN

714

Hits

674

414

Runs

369

104

Home Runs

106

401

RBI

350

Stolen Bases

346

Walks

331

825

Strikeouts

829

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

BALCIN

8.45%

Barrel%

10.13%

42.6%

Hard-hit%

39.52%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant