HOU vs DET — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballComerica Park · Detroit, Michigan

Houston

Astros

46-49 · 21-23 away

Final

Detroit

Tigers

43-50 · 23-20 home

MLB.TVTigers.TV

Top hitters

HOU

AVG

.298

Jeremy Peña

Houston Astros

3-5 · 2 RBI

xwOBA 71stvs LHP .333

DET

AVG

.290

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

HOU

Starter

4.36 ERA · 63 K · 1.36 WHIP

DET

Starter

Framber Valdez

Detroit Tigers · 4-5

6.0 IP, 4 ER, 2 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 38th

4.05 ERA · 77 K · 1.34 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Astros outlasted the Tigers with a thrilling 8-6 victory at Comerica Park! Houston's offensive firepower was the game-changer, showcasing their ability to capitalize on key moments.

The Astros flexed their muscles at the plate, scoring a whopping eight runs to secure the win, proving their offensive depth is a force to be reckoned with.
Despite a valiant effort from the Tigers, who put up six runs, it wasn't enough to match the relentless Astros lineup that kept the pressure on all game long.
This victory solidifies the Astros' position in the standings, highlighting their determination to maintain a strong presence as the season heats up.

Starters: Kai-Wei Teng vs Framber ValdezBatting average: R. Greene (.288)ERA: K. Montero (3.39)

How our pick did

Pick to winHOU to winHit ✓

Contact quality

HOU8 R · .342 xBA

DET6 R · .306 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — HOU both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

HOU win3rd in the AL West, 2 GB

Looking ahead

The Astros sit 3rd in the AL West, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Tigers sit 4th in the AL Central, 4½ games back — winners of 5 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
HOU wins series 3-1.
The Astros are up next at TEX (Jul 10-12).
The Tigers are up next home vs PHI (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	2	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	8	16	1
DET	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	6	11	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · DET
R. Greene · Double
109.8 mph · .730 xBA
Hardest hit · HOU
C. Smith · Home Run
108.7 mph · .860 xBA
Longest hit
K. Carpenter · Home Run
390 ft · .760 xBA
Best barrel
C. Smith · Home Run
108.7 mph · .860 xBA
Fastest pitch
D. Anderson · 4-Seam Fastball
97.2 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Jeremy Peña
HOU
+37%
Isaac Paredes
HOU
+36%
Kerry Carpenter
DET
+26%

Scoring summary

Smith homered to left (380 feet), Walker scored.2nd Inning2-0
Altuve grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Peña scored, Paredes out at second.3rd Inning3-0
Carpenter homered to right center (390 feet), McGonigle scored, Keith scored and Torkelson scored.3rd Inning3-4
Peña singled to center, Diaz scored, Vázquez to second.4th Inning4-4
Torkelson doubled to left, Rogers scored, Greene to third.4th Inning4-5
Lee homered to left center (369 feet).5th Inning4-6
Walker singled to left, Paredes scored, Altuve to second.7th Inning5-6
Peña singled to center, Diaz scored on error, Peña to second, Vázquez to second, Vázquez safe at third on fielding error by center fielder Outman.8th Inning6-6
Paredes doubled to right, Peña scored and Vázquez scored.8th Inning8-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Pena	3-5	5	2	3	2	0	0	1	14	.298	.360	.449
I. Paredes	2-4	4	1	2	2	0	1	0	22	.250	.347	.414
J. Altuve	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	15	.239	.311	.391
R. Delgado	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.286	.318	.286
C. Walker	4-5	5	1	4	1	0	0	0	17	.243	.312	.473
C. Smith	1-3	3	1	1	2	1	0	1	17	.220	.298	.368
J. Loperfido	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	.223	.321	.351
Y. Diaz	2-5	5	2	2	0	0	0	1	18	.254	.277	.377
J. Meyers	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	1	1	18	.211	.271	.320
B. Matthews	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	.196	.246	.328
T. Trammell	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	12	.267	.330	.419
C. Vazquez	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	13	.214	.273	.327

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
K. Teng	3.2	8	5	4	1	1	1	58-39	4.36	58
S. Okert	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	1	15-10	2.50	15
A. Blubaugh	2.0	2	0	0	0	2	0	28-20	3.52	28
B. King	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	11-9	2.31	11
J. Hader	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	11-7	0.82	11

Win probability

HOU 100%DET 0%

Win probability over timeDET win %

Biggest swing: Paredes doubled to right, Peña scored and Vázquez scored. (+39% HOU)

Team stats

HOUDET

679

Hits

634

372

Runs

333

108

Home Runs

356

RBI

318

Stolen Bases

280

Walks

299

686

Strikeouts

711

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

HOUDET

9.39%

Barrel%

9.23%

39.86%

Hard-hit%

40.94%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant