SEA vs CLE — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballProgressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio

Seattle

Mariners

Final

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVMariners.TV

Top hitters

SEA

AVG

.288

CLE

AVG

.269

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

SEA

Starter

Logan Gilbert

Seattle Mariners · 6-5

7.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 66th

3.42 ERA · 107 K · 1.01 WHIP

CLE

Starter

Slade Cecconi

Cleveland Guardians · 4-6

6.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 30th

4.18 ERA · 70 K · 1.36 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Guardians edged out the Mariners 4-3 in a thrilling showdown at Progressive Field! A standout performance by the Guardians' lineup helped secure the victory as they capitalized on key opportunities.

The Guardians made the most of their scoring chances, delivering a clutch performance that saw them convert on critical moments throughout the game.
Strong pitching from the Guardians kept the Mariners in check, allowing just enough room for their bats to take flight when it mattered most.
With this victory, the Guardians showcased their resilience, inching closer in the standings and keeping hopes alive for the postseason.

Starters: Logan Gilbert vs Slade CecconiBatting average: B. Rocchio (.269)ERA: P. Messick (2.67)

How our pick did

Pick to winCLE to winHit ✓

Contact quality

SEA3 R · .376 xBA

CLE4 R · .321 xBA

CLE scored more despite the lower team xBA — SEA squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CLE win2nd in the AL Central

Looking ahead

The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Mariners sit 2nd in the AL West, 0½ games back — losers of 3 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
CLE wins series 2-1.
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).
The Mariners are up next at TB (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8	0
CLE	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0		4	7	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · SEA
D. Canzone · Single
111.3 mph · .720 xBA
Hardest hit · CLE
G. Arias · Single
105.8 mph · .510 xBA
Longest hit
R. Arozarena · Home Run
427 ft · .970 xBA
Best barrel
J. Rodríguez · Single
109.8 mph · .950 xBA
Fastest pitch
L. Gilbert · 4-Seam Fastball
98.9 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Slade Cecconi
CLE
+27%
Hunter Gaddis
CLE
+21%
Cade Smith
CLE
+17%

Scoring summary

Watson doubled to right, Bazzana scored, Manzardo to third.4th Inning0-1
Ingle singled to right, Manzardo scored and Watson scored.4th Inning0-3
Rocchio doubled to left, Bazzana scored.5th Inning0-4
Arozarena homered to center (427 feet), Rodríguez scored and Canzone scored.8th Inning3-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J.P. Crawford	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	25	.219	.339	.369
J. Rodriguez	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	0	0	18	.250	.311	.422
D. Canzone	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	0	1	19	.275	.350	.545
R. Arozarena	2-4	4	1	2	3	1	0	0	14	.288	.376	.450
J. Naylor	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	11	.253	.313	.365
C. Raleigh	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	12	.162	.261	.310
L. Raley	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	15	.238	.302	.485
C. Young	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	14	.251	.313	.366
C. Emerson	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	19	.206	.292	.467

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
L. Gilbert	7.0	7	4	4	0	7	0	103-78	3.42	103
J. Ferrer	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10-7	2.57	10

Win probability

SEA 0%CLE 100%

Win probability over timeCLE win %

Biggest swing: Watson doubled to right, Bazzana scored, Manzardo to third. (+14% CLE)

Team stats

SEACLE

633

Hits

609

334

Runs

321

101

Home Runs

325

RBI

307

Stolen Bases

280

Walks

310

711

Strikeouts

669

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SEACLE

9.64%

Barrel%

6.39%

40.96%

Hard-hit%

35.64%

.340

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant