SEA vs CLE — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballProgressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio

Seattle

Mariners

Final

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVMariners.TV

Top hitters

SEA

AVG

.283

CLE

AVG

.290

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

SEA

Starter

Emerson Hancock

Seattle Mariners · 5-4

5.2 IP, ER, 6 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 40th

3.47 ERA · 87 K · 1.05 WHIP

CLE

Starter

Gavin Williams

Cleveland Guardians · 9-4

5.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 30th

3.81 ERA · 117 K · 1.17 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

In a thrilling showdown, the Guardians edged out the Mariners 6-5 at Progressive Field! The Guardians' offense shone bright, driving in six runs to secure the nail-biting victory.

The Guardians' offense was on fire, scoring six runs, showcasing their ability to capitalize on opportunities and keep the pressure on the Mariners throughout the game.
With the victory, the Guardians continue to bolster their standing, proving their resilience and determination as they fight for a strong finish this season.
The Mariners, despite a valiant effort with five runs, couldn't match the Guardians' explosive batting, highlighting the critical difference in offensive execution.

Starters: Emerson Hancock vs Gavin WilliamsBatting average: B. Rocchio (.269)ERA: P. Messick (2.67)

How our pick did

Pick to winCLE to winHit ✓

Contact quality

SEA5 R · .353 xBA

CLE6 R · .264 xBA

CLE scored more despite the lower team xBA — SEA squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CLE win2nd in the AL Central

Looking ahead

The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Mariners sit 2nd in the AL West, 0½ games back — losers of 3 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
CLE wins series 2-1.
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).
The Mariners are up next at TB (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	13	1
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5		6	12	2

Statcast

Hardest hit · CLE
D. Schneemann · Double
108.2 mph · .630 xBA
Hardest hit · SEA
C. Raleigh · Lineout
105.8 mph · .670 xBA
Longest hit
C. Raleigh · Lineout
370 ft · .670 xBA
Best barrel
C. Raleigh · Lineout
105.8 mph · .670 xBA
Fastest pitch
G. Williams · Sinker
100.5 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Rhys Hoskins
CLE
+36%
Chase DeLauter
CLE
+26%
Emerson Hancock
SEA
+26%

Scoring summary

Garver singled to right, Raleigh scored.2nd Inning1-0
Naylor doubled to right, Rodríguez scored.3rd Inning2-0
Naylor scored on error, Arozarena safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Rocchio.3rd Inning3-0
Bazzana hit sacrifice fly to center, Arias scored.5th Inning3-1
Rodríguez reached on infield single to second, Robles scored.6th Inning4-1
Schneemann singled to center, Rocchio scored, Ingle to second.8th Inning4-2
DeLauter singled to center, Ingle scored and Schneemann scored, Kwan to third.8th Inning4-4
Hoskins doubled to left, DeLauter scored and Kwan scored. Seattle Mariners challenged: call on the field was upheld.8th Inning4-6
Robles reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Bazzana. Young scores. Emerson to 3rd. Robles to 2nd.9th Inning5-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J.P. Crawford	2-6	6	0	2	0	0	1	16	.222	.339	.368
J. Rodriguez	2-4	4	1	2	1	1	2	21	.253	.315	.423
J. Naylor	2-4	4	1	2	1	0	0	15	.256	.318	.370
R. Arozarena	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	1	19	.283	.370	.442
C. Raleigh	1-3	3	1	1	0	2	0	24	.165	.268	.310
C. Young	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	0	21	.253	.315	.367
C. Emerson	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	1	18	.205	.288	.455
M. Garver	1-3	3	0	1	1	1	2	18	.190	.325	.300
D. Canzone	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	7	.274	.349	.542
V. Robles	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	1	19	.242	.275	.273

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
E. Hancock	5.2	5	1	1	3	6	98-58	3.47	98
E. Bazardo	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	10-5	1.96	10
G. Speier	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	13-8	1.71	13
M. Rucker	0.1	2	4	4	2	0	21-11	8.53	21
J. Simpson	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	18-10	9.00	18

Win probability

SEA 0%CLE 100%

Win probability over timeCLE win %

Biggest swing: DeLauter singled to center, Ingle scored and Schneemann scored, Kwan to third. (+38% CLE)

Team stats

SEACLE

641

Hits

616

337

Runs

325

102

Home Runs

328

RBI

311

Stolen Bases

283

Walks

310

719

Strikeouts

677

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SEACLE

9.64%

Barrel%

6.39%

40.96%

Hard-hit%

35.64%

.340

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant