HOU vs DET — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballComerica Park · Detroit, Michigan

Houston

Astros

46-49 · 20-23 away

Final

Detroit

Tigers

43-50 · 23-19 home

MLB.TVTigers.TV

Top hitters

HOU

AVG

.314▼

DET

AVG

.333▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

HOU

Starter

Spencer Arrighetti

Houston Astros · 7-4

3.0 IP, 8 ER, 7 K, 5 BB

xwOBA 14th

4.00 ERA · 75 K · 1.29 WHIP

DET

Starter

Keider Montero

Detroit Tigers · 4-5

7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, BB

xwOBA 67th

3.39 ERA · 56 K · 1.00 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Tigers dominated the Astros with a commanding 8-0 victory at Comerica Park! The standout performance came from the Tigers' offense, which unleashed a relentless attack throughout the game.

The Tigers' bats were on fire, scoring eight runs and leaving the Astros in the dust.
With this win, the Tigers showcased their power, completely shutting down the Astros' offense, who failed to score a single run.
This decisive victory not only boosts the Tigers' confidence but also highlights their ability to dominate at home, making Comerica Park a fortress for opposing teams.

Starters: Spencer Arrighetti vs Keider MonteroBatting average: R. Greene (.292)ERA: F. Valdez (3.91)

How our pick did

Pick to winHOU to winMiss

Contact quality

HOU0 R · .253 xBA

DET8 R · .359 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — DET both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

DET win4th in the AL Central, 4½ GB

Looking ahead

The Tigers sit 4th in the AL Central, 4½ games back — winners of 5 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Astros sit 3rd in the AL West, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
HOU wins series 3-1.
The Tigers are up next home vs PHI (Jul 10-12).
The Astros are up next at TEX (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1
DET	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	0		8	6	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · HOU
Y. Diaz · Double
106.7 mph · .700 xBA
Hardest hit · DET
R. Greene · Groundout
105.5 mph · .620 xBA
Longest hit
K. Carpenter · Home Run
412 ft · .900 xBA
Best barrel
K. Carpenter · Home Run
105.3 mph · .900 xBA
Fastest pitch
N. Pearson · Sinker
97.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Keider Montero
DET
+21%
Kerry Carpenter
DET
+10%
James Outman
DET
+7%

Scoring summary

Dingler struck out swinging, Outman scored on throwing error by catcher Diaz, McGonigle stole third.3rd Inning0-1
Carpenter homered to right (412 feet), McGonigle scored.3rd Inning0-3
Keith homered to right (341 feet).4th Inning0-4
Outman homered to right (407 feet), McKinstry scored and Vierling scored.4th Inning0-7
Dingler singled to center, McGonigle scored.4th Inning0-8

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	H	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Pena	1-4	4	1	0	0	10	.289	.354	.445
Y. Alvarez	0-3	3	0	0	2	13	.314	.427	.619
J. Meyers	0-1	1	0	0	0	3	.202	.259	.315
I. Paredes	1-3	3	1	0	0	12	.246	.343	.409
R. Delgado	0-0	0	0	1	0	6	.286	.318	.286
C. Walker	1-4	4	1	0	0	15	.234	.305	.461
J. Altuve	2-3	3	2	0	0	11	.240	.313	.395
B. Matthews	0-1	1	0	0	1	5	.199	.250	.333
J. Loperfido	0-4	4	0	0	2	15	.226	.324	.355
Y. Diaz	1-3	3	1	0	0	5	.248	.273	.376
C. Smith	0-3	3	0	0	0	9	.219	.298	.358
T. Trammell	0-2	2	0	1	0	19	.274	.337	.429

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Arrighetti	3.0	5	8	8	5	7	3	93-49	4.00	93
N. Pearson	3.0	1	0	0	2	1	0	48-27	3.07	48
B. Abreu	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10-7	6.15	10
J. Meyers	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9-5	0.00	9

Win probability

HOU 0%DET 100%

Win probability over timeDET win %

Biggest swing: Carpenter homered to right (412 feet), McGonigle scored. (+11% DET)

Team stats

HOUDET

674

Hits

628

372

Runs

325

108

Home Runs

356

RBI

311

Stolen Bases

278

Walks

292

681

Strikeouts

702

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

HOUDET

9.39%

Barrel%

9.23%

39.86%

Hard-hit%

40.94%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant