CIN vs PIT — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Cincinnati

Reds

Final

MLB.TVReds.TV

Top hitters

CIN

AVG

.282

PIT

AVG

.301

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CIN

Starter

Andrew Abbott

Cincinnati Reds · 5-4

5.1 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, BB

xwOBA 23rd

3.90 ERA · 70 K · 1.41 WHIP

PIT

Starter

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates · 6-7

5.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 93rd

3.10 ERA · 114 K · 0.97 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Reds triumphed over the Pirates with a final score of 6-4! The standout performance from the Reds' lineup was pivotal in securing this victory, driving home crucial runs throughout the game.

The Reds capitalized on their offensive momentum, scoring six runs to outpace the Pirates' four.
With this win, the Reds showcased their ability to perform under pressure, further solidifying their competitive edge in the standings.
Strong contributions from key players highlighted the Reds' strategy, proving instrumental in overcoming the Pirates at PNC Park.

Starters: Andrew Abbott vs Paul SkenesBatting average: N. Gonzales (.297)ERA: P. Skenes (2.86)

How our pick did

Pick to winPIT to winMiss

Contact quality

CIN6 R · .326 xBA

PIT4 R · .264 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — CIN both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CIN win5th in the NL Central, 16½ GB

Looking ahead

The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 16½ games back — coming off a loss, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12½ games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
CIN wins series 2-1.
The Reds are up next home vs CHC (Jul 10-12).
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CIN	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6	8	1
PIT	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	4	9	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · PIT
K. Griffin · Home Run
108.9 mph · 1.000 xBA
Hardest hit · CIN
N. Marte · Home Run
108.9 mph · .860 xBA
Longest hit
K. Griffin · Home Run
435 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
N. Marte · Home Run
108.9 mph · .860 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Montgomery · 4-Seam Fastball
101 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Noelvi Marte
CIN
+35%
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT
+21%
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
+21%

Scoring summary

Griffin homered to left center (435 feet).1st Inning0-1
Steer singled to center, Lowe scored, Suárez to second.2nd Inning1-1
Stephenson singled to right, Suárez scored, Steer to third.2nd Inning2-1
Dunn hit sacrifice fly to right, Steer scored, McLain to second, Stephenson to third.2nd Inning3-1
De La Cruz hit sacrifice fly to center, Stephenson scored, McLain to third.2nd Inning4-1
Lowe hit sacrifice fly to center, Davis scored.5th Inning4-2
Ozuna homered to center (408 feet).6th Inning4-3
Valdez homered to left (414 feet).6th Inning4-4
Marte homered to left center (405 feet), Stewart scored.8th Inning6-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
B. Dunn	1-2	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	12	.282	.335	.387
D. Myers	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	.250	.351	.375
E. De La Cruz	0-3	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	13	.273	.341	.492
J. Bleday	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	17	.239	.347	.516
S. Stewart	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	14	.249	.340	.445
N. Lowe	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	14	.257	.350	.480
N. Marte	1-1	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	6	.210	.273	.407
E. Suarez	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	19	.209	.273	.366
S. Steer	1-4	4	1	1	1	0	0	3	17	.240	.318	.428
T. Stephenson	2-4	4	1	2	1	0	0	0	17	.218	.308	.347
M. McLain	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	17	.198	.302	.344

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
A. Abbott	5.1	6	4	3	1	6	3	94-64	3.90	94
T. Antone	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	17-10	2.38	17
B. Burke	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	20-12	2.82	20
P. Johnson	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	13-12	3.09	13
C. Ferguson	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	18-12	1.32	18

Win probability

CIN 100%PIT 0%

Win probability over timePIT win %

Biggest swing: Marte homered to left center (405 feet), Stewart scored. (+39% CIN)

Team stats

CINPIT

599

Hits

720

331

Runs

409

Home Runs

313

RBI

391

Stolen Bases

302

Walks

300

745

Strikeouts

750

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CINPIT

10.13%

Barrel%

7.77%

39.52%

Hard-hit%

40.6%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant