NYY vs BOS — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballFenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts

New York

Yankees

51-42 · 26-18 away

Final

Boston

Red Sox

43-48 · 14-25 home

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV

Top hitters

NYY

AVG

.295▼

Paul Goldschmidt

New York Yankees

0-4

xwOBA 41stvs LHP .337

2Ali Sánchezvs LHP .3160-2.286
3Ben Rice0-1.280▼
4Cody Bellinger0-4.264▼

BOS

AVG

.333▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

NYY

Starter

Will Warren

New York Yankees · 7-3

5.2 IP, 5 ER, 0 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 43rd

3.75 ERA · 84 K · 1.36 WHIP

BOS

Starter

Payton Tolle

Boston Red Sox · 4-5

7.0 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 85th

2.78 ERA · 69 K · 1.02 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Red Sox took down the Yankees in a commanding 6-1 victory at Fenway Park! The standout performance came from a powerful offensive display that left New York scrambling all night.

The Red Sox unleashed their bats, scoring six runs en route to a decisive win, showcasing their offensive prowess against a rival team.
With a solid pitching performance, the Red Sox limited the Yankees to just one run, demonstrating control and dominance on the mound.
This victory not only boosts the Red Sox's confidence but also tightens the competition in the standings, making every game count as the season progresses.

Starters: Will Warren vs Payton TolleBatting average: C. Rafaela (.285)ERA: R. Suarez (2.83)

How our pick did

Pick to winBOS to winHit ✓

Contact quality

NYY1 R · .337 xBA

BOS6 R · .338 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — BOS both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

BOS win4th in the AL East, 11 GB

Looking ahead

The Red Sox sit 4th in the AL East, 11 games back — winners of 6 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Yankees sit 2nd in the AL East, 4 games back — coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
BOS wins series 4-0.
The Red Sox are up next at NYM (Jul 10-12).
The Yankees are up next at WSH (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0
BOS	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1		6	9	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · BOS
W. Contreras · Home Run
111.9 mph · .910 xBA
Hardest hit · NYY
J. Domínguez · Double
107.9 mph · .690 xBA
Longest hit
W. Contreras · Home Run
418 ft · .910 xBA
Best barrel
A. Volpe · Double
106.5 mph · .600 xBA
Fastest pitch
Y. De los Santos · Sinker
97.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Payton Tolle
BOS
+27%
Willson Contreras
BOS
+15%
Anthony Seigler
BOS
+7%

Scoring summary

Contreras singled to center, Abreu scored.1st Inning0-1
Cheng grounded into fielder's choice to second, Durbin scored, Wong out at second, Seigler to third.2nd Inning0-2
Gasper grounded into fielder's choice to first, Seigler scored, Cheng out at second.2nd Inning0-3
Contreras homered to left (418 feet).3rd Inning0-4
Wong hit sacrifice fly to center, Durbin scored.6th Inning0-5
Wells grounded out to second, Volpe scored.8th Inning1-5
Wong singled to left, Duran scored.8th Inning1-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
P. Goldschmidt	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	14	.295	.355	.560
A. Rosario	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	12	.242	.281	.460
B. Rice	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.280	.371	.582
C. Bellinger	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	20	.264	.360	.452
J. Dominguez	1-3	3	0	1	0	1	1	15	.234	.272	.442
J. Caballero	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	1	12	.256	.316	.405
J. Chisholm Jr.	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	6	.226	.310	.405
A. Volpe	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	2	12	.262	.363	.364
S. Jones	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	13	.226	.324	.355
A. Sanchez	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	7	.286	.348	.381
A. Wells	0-1	1	0	0	1	0	0	9	.164	.268	.252

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
W. Warren	5.2	7	5	5	3	0	1	90-55	3.75	90
R. Yarbrough	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	0	22-14	4.02	22
Y. De los Santos	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	16-10	1.35	16

Win probability

NYY 0%BOS 100%

Win probability over timeBOS win %

Biggest swing: Contreras singled to center, Abreu scored. (+9% BOS)

Team stats

NYYBOS

650

Hits

646

403

Runs

313

120

Home Runs

386

RBI

299

Stolen Bases

329

Walks

231

705

Strikeouts

652

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

NYYBOS

10.61%

Barrel%

7.51%

42.84%

Hard-hit%

37.41%

.330

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant