NYY vs BOS — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballFenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts

New York

Yankees

51-42 · 26-20 away

Final

Boston

Red Sox

43-48 · 16-25 home

PeacockERADM

Top hitters

NYY

AVG

.289▼

BOS

AVG

.333

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

NYY

Starter

Carlos Rodón

New York Yankees · 4-2

5.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 4 BB

xwOBA 65th

3.30 ERA · 52 K · 1.25 WHIP

BOS

Starter

Sonny Gray

Boston Red Sox · 9-1

7.1 IP, 0 ER, 9 K, BB

xwOBA 63rd

2.69 ERA · 75 K · 1.11 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Red Sox edged out the Yankees 5-4 in a thrilling contest at Fenway Park! The standout performance from the Red Sox proved pivotal in securing this hard-fought victory.

The Red Sox showcased their power with a decisive edge in runs, capitalizing on key moments to secure the win.
With a narrow margin, every play counted, and the Red Sox's ability to convert opportunities made all the difference.
The victory keeps the Red Sox competitive in the standings, showcasing their resilience in a tight race.

Starters: Carlos Rodon vs Sonny GrayBatting average: C. Rafaela (.284)ERA: R. Suarez (2.83)

How our pick did

Pick to winBOS to winHit ✓

Contact quality

NYY4 R · .303 xBA

BOS5 R · .256 xBA

BOS scored more despite the lower team xBA — NYY squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

BOS win4th in the AL East, 11 GB

Looking ahead

The Red Sox sit 4th in the AL East, 11 games back — winners of 6 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Yankees sit 2nd in the AL East, 4 games back — coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
BOS wins series 4-0.
The Red Sox are up next at NYM (Jul 10-12).
The Yankees are up next at WSH (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	3	1
BOS	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	6	2

Statcast

Hardest hit · NYY
A. Rosario · Single
105.1 mph · .530 xBA
Hardest hit · BOS
R. Gonzalez · GIDP
102 mph · .350 xBA
Longest hit
A. Wells · Lineout
354 ft · .310 xBA
Fastest pitch
T. Guerrero · Sinker
101.3 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Sonny Gray
BOS
+40%
Masataka Yoshida
BOS
+38%
Amed Rosario
NYY
+29%

Scoring summary

Durbin singled to center, Abreu scored and Contreras scored.4th Inning0-2
Rice flied out to right, Caballero scored on throwing error by right fielder Abreu, Volpe safe at third on error.9th Inning1-2
Goldschmidt grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Volpe scored.9th Inning2-2
Rosario singled to right, Schuemann scored on error, Rosario safe at second on throwing error by right fielder Abreu.10th Inning3-2
Wells grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Rosario scored. Boston Red Sox challenged: call on the field was upheld.10th Inning4-2
Seigler singled to right, Durbin scored.10th Inning4-3
Cheng hit sacrifice fly to right, Monasterio scored, Yoshida to third.10th Inning4-4
Duran singled to right, Yoshida scored.10th Inning4-5

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Chisholm Jr.	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	2	18	.223	.306	.399
A. Volpe	0-1	1	1	0	0	1	0	9	.252	.357	.351
B. Rice	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	13	.272	.362	.566
J. Dominguez	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	2	14	.214	.250	.405
D. Bednar	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
P. Goldschmidt	0-1	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	.289	.351	.549
F. Cruz	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
C. Bellinger	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	11	.262	.361	.446
S. Jones	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	3	14	.215	.311	.338
M. Schuemann	0-1	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	.200	.378	.400
A. Rosario	2-3	3	1	2	1	1	0	19	.252	.294	.458
O. Cabrera	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	17	.000	.000	.000

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
C. Rodon	5.0	1	2	0	4	6	96-55	3.30	96
P. Blackburn	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	14-12	2.50	14
D. Bednar	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	33-19	3.09	33
F. Cruz	0.1	3	3	2	0	0	10-7	2.57	10

Win probability

NYY 0%BOS 100%

Win probability over timeBOS win %

Biggest swing: Yoshida doubled to right, Monasterio to third. (+39% BOS)

Team stats

NYYBOS

656

Hits

662

405

Runs

323

121

Home Runs

388

RBI

309

Stolen Bases

334

Walks

237

718

Strikeouts

663

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

NYYBOS

10.61%

Barrel%

7.51%

42.84%

Hard-hit%

37.41%

.330

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant