MIA vs STL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballBusch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri

Miami

Marlins

Final

MLB.TVCardinals.TVMarlins.TV

Top hitters

MIA

AVG

.335▲

STL

AVG

.290▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIA

Starter

Max Meyer

Miami Marlins · 9-0

7.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 60th

2.60 ERA · 107 K · 1.11 WHIP

STL

Starter

Michael McGreevy

St. Louis Cardinals · 3-6

6.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, BB

xwOBA 12th

3.12 ERA · 57 K · 1.14 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Marlins shut out the Cardinals 4-0 in a dominant performance at Busch Stadium! The Marlins' pitching was exceptional, allowing no runs and keeping the Cardinals' offense at bay.

The Marlins' pitching staff was lights out, holding the Cardinals scoreless and showcasing a masterclass in control on the mound.
With four runs on the board, the Marlins effectively capitalized on their scoring opportunities, while the Cardinals struggled to find any rhythm offensively.
This victory not only boosts the Marlins' confidence but also sends a clear message about their potential as they gear up for the stretch run.

Starters: Max Meyer vs Michael McGreevyBatting average: J. Walker (.290)ERA: M. McGreevy (3.35)

How our pick did

Pick to winSTL to winMiss

Contact quality

MIA4 R · .350 xBA

STL0 R · .202 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — MIA both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIA win3rd in the NL East, 3 GB

Looking ahead

The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 3 games back — winners of 6 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 10½ games back — coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10.
MIA wins series 2-1.
The Marlins are up next home vs CLE (Jul 10-12).
The Cardinals are up next home vs ATL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	8	0
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIA
G. Conine · Single
110.9 mph · .660 xBA
Hardest hit · STL
L. Nootbaar · Groundout
105.5 mph · .510 xBA
Longest hit
G. Pauley · Flyout
381 ft · .260 xBA
Best barrel
G. Pauley · Flyout
100 mph · .510 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Petersen · 4-Seam Fastball
99.3 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Max Meyer
MIA
+38%
Michael McGreevy
STL
+28%
Graham Pauley
MIA
+12%

Scoring summary

Pauley doubled to right, Ruiz scored.8th Inning1-0
Stowers grounded out to first, Pauley scored, Edwards to second, Conine to third. Miami Marlins challenged: call on the field was overturned.8th Inning2-0
Marsee singled to center, Mack scored and Ruiz scored.9th Inning4-0

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Marsee	1-5	5	0	1	2	0	0	21	.198	.319	.299
G. Conine	1-3	3	0	1	0	2	1	21	.222	.317	.444
X. Edwards	1-3	3	0	1	0	1	0	18	.293	.375	.424
K. Stowers	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	2	19	.224	.313	.421
O. Lopez	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	15	.335	.369	.476
O. Caissie	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	8	.231	.288	.426
H. Hernandez	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	12	.226	.295	.409
J. Mack	0-3	3	1	0	0	1	0	18	.252	.315	.395
E. Ruiz	2-3	3	2	2	0	1	0	13	.273	.374	.545
G. Pauley	1-4	4	1	1	1	0	1	15	.169	.213	.281

Pitching

Player	IP	H	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
M. Meyer	7.0	2	2	5	89-54	2.60	89
M. Petersen	1.0	1	0	1	19-13	3.09	19
C. Faucher	1.0	0	0	1	10-6	3.48	10

Win probability

MIA 100%STL 0%

Win probability over timeSTL win %

Biggest swing: Pauley doubled to right, Ruiz scored. (+26% MIA)

Team stats

MIASTL

655

Hits

654

349

Runs

359

Home Runs

335

RBI

347

Stolen Bases

270

Walks

264

671

Strikeouts

607

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MIASTL

7.61%

Barrel%

8.44%

39.97%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant