MIA vs STL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballBusch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri

Miami

Marlins

Final

MLB.TVCardinals.TVMarlins.TV

Top hitters

MIA

AVG

.332▲

STL

AVG

.294▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIA

Starter

Tyler Phillips

Miami Marlins · 1-3

7.1 IP, 2 ER, K, 0 BB

xwOBA 23rd

3.02 ERA · 50 K · 1.31 WHIP

STL

Starter

Kyle Leahy

St. Louis Cardinals · 6-4

5.0 IP, ER, 5 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 7th

4.09 ERA · 67 K · 1.48 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Cardinals edged out the Marlins 2-1 in a thrilling showdown at Busch Stadium! The standout performance by the Cardinals' pitching staff was the key factor in this hard-fought victory.

The Cardinals' pitching was stellar, holding the Marlins to just one run, showcasing their dominance on the mound.
With two crucial runs, the Cardinals capitalized on scoring opportunities, proving their efficiency in tight situations.
This win keeps the Cardinals competitive in the standings, highlighting their determination as the season progresses.

Starters: Tyler Phillips vs Kyle LeahyBatting average: J. Walker (.290)ERA: M. McGreevy (3.12)

How our pick did

Pick to winSTL to winHit ✓

Contact quality

MIA1 R · .232 xBA

STL2 R · .322 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — STL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

STL win3rd in the NL Central, 10½ GB

Looking ahead

The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 10½ games back — coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 3 games back — winners of 6 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
MIA wins series 2-1.
The Cardinals are up next home vs ATL (Jul 10-12).
The Marlins are up next home vs CLE (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
STL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0		2	6	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · STL
P. Pagés · Groundout
106.1 mph · .510 xBA
Hardest hit · MIA
O. Caissie · Double
106 mph · .670 xBA
Longest hit
B. Jordan · Flyout
389 ft · .530 xBA
Best barrel
O. Caissie · Double
106 mph · .670 xBA
Fastest pitch
R. O'Brien · Sinker
100.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Kyle Leahy
STL
+17%
Riley O'Brien
STL
+17%
JoJo Romero
STL
+15%

Scoring summary

Torres homered to right (364 feet), Winn scored.2nd Inning0-2
Pauley hit a ground rule double, Caissie scored.5th Inning1-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Marsee	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	1	17	.196	.318	.298
O. Lopez	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	17	.332	.365	.476
K. Stowers	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	13	.226	.315	.416
X. Edwards	1-3	3	0	1	0	1	0	19	.298	.380	.430
H. Hernandez	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	24	.217	.288	.392
G. Conine	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	1	6	.214	.298	.405
J. Sanoja	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	1	9	.257	.297	.361
O. Caissie	1-1	1	1	1	0	1	0	8	.231	.290	.427
E. Ruiz	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	.266	.366	.532
G. Pauley	1-2	2	0	1	1	0	0	9	.176	.219	.297
L. Jimenez	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	7	.188	.290	.213
B. Navarreto	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	.000	.333	.000

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Phillips	7.1	6	2	2	0	1	1	97-63	3.02	97
C. Gibson	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	7-4	5.87	7

Win probability

MIA 0%STL 100%

Win probability over timeSTL win %

Biggest swing: Torres homered to right (364 feet), Winn scored. (+17% STL)

Team stats

MIASTL

676

Hits

664

358

Runs

360

Home Runs

344

RBI

348

Stolen Bases

277

Walks

268

681

Strikeouts

623

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MIASTL

7.61%

Barrel%

8.44%

39.97%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant