CLE vs CWS — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballRate Field · Chicago, Illinois

Cleveland

Guardians

Final

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV

Top hitters

CLE

AVG

.269

CWS

AVG

.286

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CLE

Starter

Tanner Bibee

Cleveland Guardians · 2-8

6.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, BB

xwOBA 25th

3.78 ERA · 81 K · 1.14 WHIP

CWS

Starter

Chris Murphy

Chicago White Sox · 2-0

1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB

Fastball Spin 80th

4.80 ERA · 16 K · 1.60 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Guardians edged out the White Sox in a nail-biter, securing a thrilling 4-3 victory! Let’s break down how this electrifying finish went down at Rate Field.

The Guardians clinched the win with a balanced offensive effort, showcasing their ability to capitalize on key moments against the White Sox.
With solid pitching, the Guardians held the White Sox to just three runs, proving their defensive prowess in a tight contest.
This victory keeps the Guardians competitive in the standings, maintaining their momentum as they chase postseason aspirations.

Starters: Tanner Bibee vs Chris MurphyBatting average: C. Meidroth (.268)ERA: D. Martin (3.18)

How our pick did

Pick to winCWS to winMiss

Contact quality

CLE4 R · .306 xBA

CWS3 R · .446 xBA

CLE scored more despite the lower team xBA — CWS squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CLE win2nd in the AL Central

Looking ahead

The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The White Sox sit atop the AL Central — losers of 3 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
CHW win series 2-1.
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).
The White Sox are up next home vs ATH (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	4	8	0
CWS	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	10	2

Statcast

Hardest hit · CWS
R. Grichuk · Home Run
108.6 mph · .960 xBA
Hardest hit · CLE
D. Schneemann · Forceout
102 mph · .140 xBA
Longest hit
R. Grichuk · Home Run
416 ft · .960 xBA
Best barrel
B. Montgomery · Home Run
107.1 mph · .950 xBA
Fastest pitch
G. Taylor · Sinker
100.7 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Shawn Armstrong
CLE
+56%
Randal Grichuk
CWS
+41%
Tanner Bibee
CLE
+36%

Scoring summary

Watson singled to left, Halpin scored and Rocchio scored, Manzardo to second, Watson to second, Manzardo safe at third on throwing error by left fielder Antonacci.6th Inning2-0
B. Montgomery hit sacrifice fly to center, Teel scored.7th Inning2-1
Bailey walked, Halpin scored, Schneemann to second, Manzardo to third.8th Inning3-1
B. Montgomery homered to center (411 feet).9th Inning3-2
Grichuk homered to left center (416 feet).9th Inning3-3
Watson singled to left, Halpin scored, Fairchild to second.10th Inning4-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Bazzana	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	3	19	.261	.357	.446
B. Rocchio	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	2	25	.269	.344	.388
D. Fry	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	10	.211	.328	.358
P. Halpin	1-2	2	3	1	0	0	0	6	.188	.204	.250
K. Manzardo	1-3	3	0	1	0	2	1	22	.233	.328	.397
R. Hoskins	1-4	4	0	1	0	1	3	26	.175	.313	.349
S. Fairchild	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.158	.407	.158
K. Watson	2-4	4	0	2	3	1	0	14	.238	.273	.381
D. Schneemann	0-4	4	0	0	0	1	1	18	.209	.282	.340
P. Bailey	0-4	4	0	0	1	1	1	23	.224	.274	.343
S. Kwan	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	1	15	.211	.322	.259

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Bibee	6.0	3	0	0	1	3	0	89-58	3.78	89
E. Sabrowski	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	0	15-11	2.86	15
C. Holderman	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-1	1.59	3
H. Gaddis	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	0	13-9	3.68	13
T. Herrin	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6-3	3.04	6
C. Smith	0.2	3	2	2	1	1	2	28-16	3.22	28
S. Armstrong	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	0	26-13	3.13	26

Win probability

CLE 100%CWS 0%

Win probability over timeCWS win %

Biggest swing: Grichuk homered to left center (416 feet). (+49% CWS)

Team stats

CLECWS

597

Hits

611

316

Runs

361

Home Runs

108

302

RBI

345

Stolen Bases

303

Walks

266

650

Strikeouts

716

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CLECWS

6.39%

Barrel%

10.8%

35.64%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.310

xwOBA

.340

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant