CLE vs CWS — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballRate Field · Chicago, Illinois

Cleveland

Guardians

Final

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV

Top hitters

CLE

AVG

.275

CWS

AVG

.291

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CLE

Starter

Gavin Williams

Cleveland Guardians · 9-4

5.0 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, BB

xwOBA 30th

3.82 ERA · 111 K · 1.14 WHIP

CWS

Starter

Anthony Kay

Chicago White Sox · 6-2

6.0 IP, 0 ER, 8 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 14th

4.24 ERA · 63 K · 1.39 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

What a nail-biter at Rate Field! The White Sox edged the Guardians in a thrilling 6-5 showdown.

The White Sox powered through with a strong offensive showing, claiming the narrow victory by scoring six runs.
A standout performance from the White Sox hitters kept the Guardians on their toes, securing this nail-biting contest.
This win propels the White Sox higher in the standings, intensifying the battle for playoff positioning.

Starters: Gavin Williams vs Anthony KayBatting average: C. Meidroth (.271)ERA: D. Martin (3.18)

How our pick did

Pick to winCLE to winMiss
SpreadLean CLE -112Miss
TotalUnder 7.5Miss

Contact quality

CLE5 R · .307 xBA

CWS6 R · .320 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — CWS both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CWS win1st in the AL Central

Looking ahead

The White Sox sit atop the AL Central — losers of 3 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
CHW win series 2-1.
The White Sox are up next home vs ATH (Jul 10-12).
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	5	8	0
CWS	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	6	10	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · CLE
T. Bazzana · Groundout
106.1 mph · .310 xBA
Hardest hit · CWS
L. Acuña · Lineout
104.6 mph · .540 xBA
Longest hit
A. Hedges · Flyout
375 ft · .510 xBA
Best barrel
A. Hedges · Flyout
100.4 mph · .510 xBA
Fastest pitch
G. Williams · 4-Seam Fastball
99.6 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Sam Antonacci
CWS
+94%
Anthony Kay
CWS
+34%
Braden Montgomery
CWS
+31%

Scoring summary

B. Montgomery doubled to left, Meidroth scored.2nd Inning0-1
Benintendi singled to left, Antonacci scored, Vargas to third.3rd Inning0-2
Grichuk homered to left (374 feet).6th Inning0-3
Watson singled to right, Kwan scored and Schneemann scored, Bazzana to third.7th Inning2-3
Hoskins singled to center, Bazzana scored, Watson to third.7th Inning3-3
Antonacci singled to right, B. Montgomery scored.7th Inning3-4
Bailey singled to right, Bazzana scored.9th Inning4-4
Manzardo hit sacrifice fly to center, Bailey scored, Rocchio to third. Cleveland Guardians challenged call on the field was overturned.9th Inning5-4
Antonacci singled to center, B. Montgomery scored and Peters scored. Cleveland Guardians challenged call on the field was upheld.9th Inning5-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Bazzana	1-3	3	2	1	0	2	0	29	.274	.373	.469
D. Fry	0-2	2	0	0	0	1	1	14	.219	.339	.371
K. Watson	1-1	1	0	1	2	0	0	3	.077	.077	.077
P. Bailey	1-1	1	1	1	1	0	0	8	.238	.279	.365
B. Rocchio	3-5	5	0	3	0	0	1	13	.275	.351	.398
R. Hoskins	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	1	30	.176	.313	.357
K. Manzardo	0-3	3	0	0	1	1	3	21	.235	.324	.404
G. Arias	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	5	21	.192	.222	.346
S. Fairchild	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	.167	.423	.167
S. Kwan	0-0	0	1	0	0	2	0	10	.206	.321	.251
A. Hedges	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	6	.255	.319	.343
D. Schneemann	1-2	2	1	1	0	0	0	4	.216	.288	.352

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
G. Williams	5.0	5	2	2	1	8	0	95-60	3.82	95
T. Herrin	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	1	16-10	3.08	16
S. Armstrong	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	14-9	3.32	14
C. Smith	1.2	2	2	2	1	3	0	28-19	2.78	28

Win probability

CLE 0%CWS 100%

Win probability over timeCWS win %

Biggest swing: Antonacci singled to center, B. Montgomery scored and Peters scored. Cleveland Guardians challenged call on the field was upheld. (+77% CWS)

Team stats

CLECWS

583

Hits

598

310

Runs

353

Home Runs

106

296

RBI

337

Stolen Bases

295

Walks

263

627

Strikeouts

692

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CLECWS

6.39%

Barrel%

10.8%

35.64%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.310

xwOBA

.340

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant