KC vs TB — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida

Kansas City

Royals

Final

MLB.TVRoyals.TVRays.TV

Top hitters

AVG

.300▼

John Rave

Kansas City Royals

0-3

AVG

.326

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays

1-3 · 2B · 1 RBI

xwOBA 87th

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

Starter

Michael Wacha

Kansas City Royals · 5-5

7.0 IP, ER, 5 K, BB

xwOBA 50th

3.48 ERA · 77 K · 1.16 WHIP

Starter

Drew Rasmussen

Tampa Bay Rays · 6-4

6.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 82nd

2.62 ERA · 89 K · 0.88 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Royals edge the Rays in a nail-biter at Tropicana Field, securing a 2-1 victory!

The Royals snagged a thrilling 2-1 victory over the Rays at Tropicana Field, showcasing a solid performance despite being out-hit. With a sharp pitching display, M. Wacha earned the win, dominating with seven innings of one-run ball, leading KC to a crucial win.
Both teams left plenty of runners on base, with the Rays stranding 10 and the Royals 9, but KC's efficiency reigned supreme. C. Jensen and L. Thomas each drove in key runs, helping the Royals push their record to 33-46 while the Rays sit at 43-32.

Starters: Michael Wacha vs Drew RasmussenBatting average: Y. Diaz (.326)ERA: D. Rasmussen (2.59)

How our pick did

Pick to winTB to winMiss
SpreadLean TB -186Miss
TotalUnder 7.5Hit ✓

Contact quality

KC2 R · .296 xBA

TB1 R · .234 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — KC both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

KC win5th in the AL Central, 10 GB

Looking ahead

The Royals sit 5th in the AL Central, 10 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Rays lead the AL East by 4 — coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Royals are up next at BAL (Jul 10-12).
The Rays are up next home vs SEA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
KC	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	0
TB	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · TB
J. Caminero · Groundout
115.8 mph · .630 xBA
Hardest hit · KC
C. Jensen · Single
109.2 mph · .780 xBA
Longest hit
J. Caglianone · Flyout
395 ft · .860 xBA
Best barrel
J. Caglianone · Flyout
107.6 mph · .860 xBA
Fastest pitch
A. Lange · Sinker
97.3 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Michael Wacha
KC
+38%
Alex Lange
KC
+20%
John Schreiber
KC
+14%

Scoring summary

Thomas doubled to left, Massey scored, Thomas to third.2nd Inning1-0
Jensen singled to center, Loftin scored, Collins to second.5th Inning2-0
Díaz doubled to left, Palacios scored.5th Inning2-1

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
C. Jensen	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	1	12	.244	.311	.434
M. Garcia	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	16	.261	.320	.373
J. Caglianone	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	16	.270	.344	.472
S. Perez	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	16	.206	.249	.338
M. Massey	0-3	3	1	0	0	1	0	16	.261	.285	.449
L. Thomas	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	1	17	.232	.350	.366
J. Rave	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	9	.300	.462	.900
N. Loftin	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	11	.242	.343	.408
I. Collins	0-2	2	0	0	0	1	0	13	.227	.338	.318

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
M. Wacha	7.0	6	1	1	1	5	99-63	3.48	99
J. Schreiber	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	18-9	2.56	18
A. Lange	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15-10	3.86	15

Win probability

KC 100%TB 0%

Win probability over timeTB win %

Biggest swing: Díaz doubled to left, Palacios scored. (+16% TB)

Team stats

KCTB

649

Hits

635

331

Runs

327

Home Runs

318

RBI

312

Stolen Bases

267

Walks

269

616

Strikeouts

540

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

KCTB

8.6%

Barrel%

4.83%

44.22%

Hard-hit%

34.16%

.320

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant