CLE vs CWS — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballRate Field · Chicago, Illinois

Cleveland

Guardians

Final

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV

Top hitters

CLE

AVG

.271

CWS

AVG

.287

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CLE

Starter

Parker Messick

Cleveland Guardians · 7-4

7.2 IP, 2 ER, 10 K, BB

xwOBA 80th

2.67 ERA · 101 K · 1.05 WHIP

CWS

Starter

Sean Burke

Chicago White Sox · 5-4

6.1 IP, ER, 6 K, BB

xwOBA 63rd

3.71 ERA · 87 K · 1.21 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The White Sox edged out the Guardians in a thrilling finale! Let's break down this nail-biter!

The White Sox secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over the Guardians, showcasing their defensive prowess on home turf at Rate Field.
With a strong performance, the White Sox limited the Guardians to just one run, while their offense found the right moments to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
This win adds another notch to the White Sox's belt as they continue to push forward in the standings, seeking to cement their place in the competitive landscape.

Starters: Parker Messick vs Sean Burke

How our pick did

Pick to winCWS to winHit ✓
SpreadLean CWS +115Hit ✓
TotalUnder 7Hit ✓

Contact quality

CLE1 R · .297 xBA

CWS2 R · .281 xBA

CWS scored more despite the lower team xBA — CLE squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CWS win1st in the AL Central

Looking ahead

The White Sox sit atop the AL Central — losers of 3 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
CHW win series 2-1.
The White Sox are up next home vs ATH (Jul 10-12).
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
CWS	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0		2	3	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · CWS
R. Grichuk · Groundout
106.3 mph · .510 xBA
Hardest hit · CLE
K. Watson · Home Run
104.7 mph · .900 xBA
Longest hit
M. Vargas · Flyout
390 ft · .850 xBA
Best barrel
K. Watson · Home Run
104.7 mph · .900 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Holderman · Sinker
99.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Sean Newcomb
CWS
+42%
Sean Burke
CWS
+18%
Austin Hedges
CLE
+11%

Scoring summary

C. Montgomery singled to right, Grichuk scored.4th Inning0-1
Watson homered to right (373 feet).5th Inning1-1
Vargas homered to left (376 feet).6th Inning1-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Bazzana	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	17	.268	.365	.458
K. Manzardo	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	15	.231	.323	.398
B. Rocchio	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	12	.271	.346	.392
R. Hoskins	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	15	.173	.311	.351
D. Schneemann	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	11	.213	.284	.347
S. Fairchild	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.158	.407	.158
G. Arias	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.192	.222	.346
K. Watson	2-4	4	1	2	1	1	0	1	18	.176	.176	.353
S. Kwan	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	22	.206	.320	.255
A. Hedges	2-3	3	0	2	0	0	0	1	12	.267	.333	.362
P. Halpin	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	.174	.191	.239
D. Fry	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	.217	.336	.368

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
P. Messick	7.2	3	2	2	1	10	1	95-63	2.67	95
C. Holderman	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	6-3	1.61	6

Win probability

CLE 0%CWS 100%

Win probability over timeCWS win %

Biggest swing: Vargas homered to left (376 feet). (+18% CWS)

Team stats

CLECWS

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CLECWS

6.39%

Barrel%

10.8%

35.64%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.310

xwOBA

.340

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant