SEA vs PIT — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Seattle

Mariners

Final

MLB.TVMariners.TV

Top hitters

SEA

AVG

.284

PIT

AVG

.304

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

SEA

Starter

Bryan Woo

Seattle Mariners · 6-6

4.0 IP, 5 ER, 4 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 69th

4.26 ERA · 92 K · 1.04 WHIP

PIT

Starter

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates · 7-3

6.0 IP, ER, 10 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 82nd

3.07 ERA · 107 K · 1.09 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Pirates dominated the Mariners with a resounding 11-1 victory at PNC Park! Let's dive into how this game unfolded.

The Pirates exploded offensively, racking up a whopping 11 runs, showcasing their hitting prowess throughout the game.
The Mariners struggled to find their footing, managing only 1 run as they fell into a deep slump against a relentless Pirates lineup.
With this decisive win, the Pirates are looking to build momentum as the season progresses, while the Mariners will need to regroup and reassess.

Starters: Bryan Woo vs Braxton AshcraftBatting average: N. Gonzales (.296)ERA: P. Skenes (2.86)

How our pick did

Pick to winSEA to winMiss

Contact quality

SEA1 R · .360 xBA

PIT11 R · .378 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — PIT both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PIT win4th in the NL Central, 12 GB

Looking ahead

The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12 games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Mariners sit 2nd in the AL West — losers of 3 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Pirates back to .500 at 47-47.
PIT wins series 2-1.
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).
The Mariners are up next at TB (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	1
PIT	0	0	0	5	0	0	4	2		11	15	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · SEA
J. Rodríguez · Single
109.2 mph · .530 xBA
Hardest hit · PIT
B. Reynolds · Double
109 mph · .810 xBA
Longest hit
C. Emerson · Flyout
402 ft · .600 xBA
Best barrel
E. Valdez · Single
106.8 mph · .870 xBA
Fastest pitch
A. Hoppe · Sinker
99.7 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Endy Rodríguez
PIT
+18%
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
+16%
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
+11%

Scoring summary

Rodríguez singled to left, Crawford scored, Raleigh to second.1st Inning1-0
Rodríguez doubled to right, Gonzales scored and O'Hearn scored.4th Inning1-2
Callihan tripled to right, Rodríguez scored.4th Inning1-3
Mangum singled to left, Callihan scored.4th Inning1-4
Valdez singled to center, Mangum scored.4th Inning1-5
O'Hearn doubled to right, Lowe scored and Reynolds scored, Gonzales to third.7th Inning1-7
Rodríguez singled to right, Gonzales scored, O'Hearn to third.7th Inning1-8
Callihan hit sacrifice fly to left, O'Hearn scored.7th Inning1-9
Reynolds doubled to center, Valdez scored.8th Inning1-10
O'Hearn doubled to right, Cook scored.8th Inning1-11

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J.P. Crawford	1-4	4	1	1	0	1	18	.224	.350	.384
C. Raleigh	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	9	.166	.258	.316
J. Rodriguez	2-4	4	0	2	1	2	12	.248	.309	.426
J. Naylor	2-4	4	0	2	0	1	13	.257	.317	.373
R. Arozarena	0-3	3	0	0	0	2	10	.284	.369	.437
We. Wilson	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	.143	.143	.143
D. Canzone	0-4	4	0	0	0	2	16	.275	.346	.549
L. Raley	0-4	4	0	0	0	4	22	.235	.295	.490
C. Young	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	14	.254	.319	.375
C. Emerson	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	10	.212	.278	.465

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
B. Woo	4.0	6	5	5	2	4	86-57	4.26	86
M. Rucker	2.0	2	0	0	0	3	26-20	3.00	26
N. Davila	1.0	4	4	4	1	0	24-16	2.63	24
A. Hoppe	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22-14	5.87	22

Win probability

SEA 0%PIT 100%

Win probability over timePIT win %

Biggest swing: Rodríguez doubled to right, Gonzales scored and O'Hearn scored. (+18% PIT)

Team stats

SEAPIT

614

Hits

697

329

Runs

393

100

Home Runs

320

RBI

375

Stolen Bases

268

Walks

296

678

Strikeouts

730

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SEAPIT

9.64%

Barrel%

7.77%

40.96%

Hard-hit%

40.6%

.340

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant