PHI vs WSH — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballNationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia

Philadelphia

Phillies

Final

MLB.TVNationals.TV

Top hitters

PHI

AVG

.321▼

Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies

3-4

xwOBA 52nd

WSH

AVG

.287▼

2James Wood0-5.265
3Luis García Jr.vs RHP .3001-3 · HR · 1 RBI.263▲
4Jorbit Vivas1-2 · HR · 1 RBI.262

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PHI

Starter

Aaron Nola

Philadelphia Phillies · 3-4

5.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 43rd

5.58 ERA · 82 K · 1.45 WHIP

WSH

Starter

Carson Palmquist

Washington Nationals · 0-0

3.1 IP, ER, 3 K, BB

Fastball Spin 20th

2.70 ERA · 3 K · 0.90 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Phillies edge the Nationals in a thrilling finish! Here's how it all went down.

The Phillies clinched a tight victory over the Nationals, demonstrating their late-game resilience. With a crucial push in the later innings, they secured the win and kept their playoff hopes alive.
A standout performance came from the Phillies' offense, showcasing their power with timely hits that turned the tide. Despite the Nationals' efforts, it wasn’t enough to hold off the relentless Philly attack.
This win not only boosts the Phillies' momentum, but it also tightens the playoff race, showing just how competitive this season remains. Each game counts, and the Phillies are making every moment matter!

Starters: Aaron Nola vs Miles MikolasBatting average: C. Abrams (.286)ERA: F. Griffin (3.15)

How our pick did

Pick to winPHI to winHit ✓

Contact quality

PHI5 R · .312 xBA

WSH4 R · .245 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — PHI both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

PHI win2nd in the NL East, 3 GB

Looking ahead

The Phillies sit 2nd in the NL East, 3 games back — coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Nationals sit 4th in the NL East, 7 games back — coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
PHI wins series 3-1.
The Phillies are up next at DET (Jul 10-12).
The Nationals are up next home vs NYY (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PHI	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	5	8	0
WSH	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	6	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · PHI
G. Rincones Jr. · Single
109.7 mph · .710 xBA
Hardest hit · WSH
J. Tena · Groundout
108.3 mph · .480 xBA
Longest hit
L. García Jr. · Home Run
412 ft · .870 xBA
Best barrel
B. Stott · Double
106.2 mph · .840 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Alvarado · Sinker
100 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Derek Hill
PHI
+73%
Curtis Mead
WSH
+34%
Jhoan Duran
PHI
+20%

Scoring summary

García Jr. homered to center (412 feet).1st Inning0-1
Vivas homered to right center (403 feet).2nd Inning0-2
Stott doubled to right, Marsh scored, Bohm to third.4th Inning1-2
Realmuto hit sacrifice fly to center, Bohm scored, Stott to third.4th Inning2-2
Rincones Jr. singled to center, Stott scored.4th Inning3-2
Mead homered to left (394 feet), Crews scored.6th Inning3-4
Hill homered to right center (382 feet), Stubbs scored.9th Inning5-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Turner	2-5	5	0	2	0	0	0	1	23	.229	.280	.335
B. Marsh	3-4	4	1	3	0	0	0	1	16	.321	.353	.507
B. Harper	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	18	.264	.366	.511
A. Bohm	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	14	.227	.280	.360
B. Stott	1-4	4	1	1	1	0	0	1	19	.241	.297	.405
J.T. Realmuto	0-2	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	14	.203	.286	.324
G. Rincones Jr.	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	21	.143	.143	.250
E. Sosa	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	.233	.268	.403
K. Schwarber	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10	.252	.367	.594
G. Stubbs	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.167	.250	.167
J. Crawford	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	.240	.297	.335
D. Hill	1-1	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	5	.333	.333	.524

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
A. Nola	5.0	3	2	2	2	5	2	86-54	5.58	86
K. Backhus	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	0	7-5	5.23	7
J. Bowlan	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	1	12-7	3.80	12
J. Alvarado	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	26-19	6.11	26
S. Johnson	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10-6	6.75	10
J. Duran	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	0	16-11	1.69	16

Win probability

PHI 100%WSH 0%

Win probability over timeWSH win %

Biggest swing: Hill homered to right center (382 feet), Stubbs scored. (+71% PHI)

Team stats

PHIWSH

621

Hits

678

344

Runs

429

103

Home Runs

105

333

RBI

407

Stolen Bases

230

Walks

265

684

Strikeouts

656

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PHIWSH

8.39%

Barrel%

8.66%

42.67%

Hard-hit%

38.78%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant